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Published byAbel Fox Modified over 9 years ago
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Disintermediation & Disruption Suling Zhang
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Xiaomi Case
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Smart Phone OS Market Share “The bulk of these Android players are squarely focused on the sub- US$200 space, driven by demand at increasingly value-oriented consumers.” - IDC
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Smart Phone Shipment
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Hyper-competitive Smart Phone Market Android average selling price: US$230 in third quarter, down from US$267 The strength of the long tail of regional and local vendors 8% decline in the top 5 collective share 1.4 billion smartphones to be shipped worldwide in 2015 9.8% compound annual growth rate for the 2014–2018 Average selling price of US$297 worldwide in 2014, dropping to US$241 by 2018 Each generation of flagship phones shows less and less differentiation from its predecessors
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China Mobile Phone Market (source: Statista, 2015)
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China Mobile Phone Market Largest smart phone market 37% of the global aggregate High level of saturation 75% of users access Internet through cell phone Slower growth (64% in 2013, 14% in 2014) Growth spurred by consumers switching to 3G and 4G smartphones 70% of clients using 2G cell phones 58% owners in 3 rd or lower cities In Tier 1 cities consumers are attracted to sophisticated devices with a luxurious brand image Chinese consumers tend to prefer handsets with larger display screens.
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Players in China Market Xiaomi: 14% (5.1% of world market, the 3rd largest) Samsung: 12% Competition: Foreign companies’ influence in China is declining year by year as the market share of Chinese companies continues to rise. China is Apple’s largest market (36%). Apple is planning to triple the number of Apple retail stores in the next two years. Samsung has been the best at producing phones that are ‘good enough’, Local companies benefit from cheaper production costs, a close partnership with local operators and providing applications tailored to Chinese consumers Half of the top ten world manufacturers are now Chinese: Xiaomi (3 rd ), Lenovo (4 th ), Huawei (5 th ), Yulong (8 th ) and ZTE (9 th ).
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Q: Is 2010 a right time to create Xiaomi in China? timing by analyzing: Customers trends: demographics, life style, values Technology trends Competition landscape Questions to ask: Can I come up with the right product and business model? Do I have the capability to execute it?
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Four Important Parties to Heed to Supplier Computer processors, sensors, displays, user interface devices, open source software, common functions, cloud storage and processing, open data Combiner: Drones 3D printing Investor Users: co-innovators, esp. DIY users market experimenters Lobbyist
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Founder Team
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Founder Jun Lei Founder of Kingsoft Founder of Zhuoyue Successful angel investor 11.6 million followers on Weibo
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www.mi.com Image: a hip, cool company that understands what the younger generation wants.
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Chronicle of Events 2010.6: Founded in Beijing 2010.8: MIUI 2010.12: MI Chat (1 million users in 1 month) 2011.8: MI 1 Smartphone ($330), bbs.xiaomi.cn (37 million users) 2012.8: MI 2 Smartphone (11 million units sold in 11 months) 2012.11: Xiaomi Box ($50) 2013.7: Red Mi ($150) 2013.8: Hugo Barra (Google Android VP) joined Xiaomi 2013.9: MI 3 Smartphone (the World’s fastest Android smartphone) 2013.10: MI TV ($500) 2014.7: MI 4 Smartphone 2015.1: MI Note ($540)
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Xiaomi Strategy Fast growth from a niche market to a mass market Create a blue ocean Disrupt the market leader from all sides Great products at affordable price customized to clients needs
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Xiaomi Tactics Quality: Tongrentang Use same components and assemblers as the industry leaders Customized Android system for Chinese users Efficiency: Walmart, Costco Operating cost around 4% Focus on three core products Direct sell online and social networking websites 7500 employees Hire the best/most productive Deliver more than the customer expected: Haidilao
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What factors should be eliminated that the industry has taken for granted? Eliminate What factors should be reduced well below the industry standard? Reduce What factors should be created that the industry has never offered? Create What factors should be raised well beyond the industry standard? Raise Four Actions to create a Blue Ocean
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Formulating your Blue Ocean business model Buyer utility Price Finding the price which attracts the largest market Cost Simplify your operation Change design Find partner Restructure price Acceptance
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Build an User Community Motto: born for the fans Initial 100 users are key Users submit ideas, experiment with different ways of using the product and spread word-of-mouth Sample ideas: filter calls, alert wifi free riders Encourage interactions with users Founder team at least 15 minutes to interact with users on forum Engineers to interact directly with fan and feel they are working for fans Ride the wave of social media 11m users in Xiaomi BBS, 10m in QQ space, 30m followers in Weibo, 3m followers on Wechat Offline activities for fans: Mi Fan Festival, Same city Mi Fan Meeting, MIPop Award
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Xiaomi Marketing Image brand: Young, Cool Create an atmosphere of Losers’ Counterback Good at telling stories Use opinion leaders Celebrity like product launch event, fans attended Create your own language E.g. F code, MIPop
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Xiaomi Box Brothers
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Xiaomi Flash Sales MI1: 300,000 units preordered in half day M12: 100,000 units sold in 2 minutes Red Mi: 100,000 unites sold in 1.5 minutes Red Mi Note: 2.2 million preorders in 3 minutes Q: Will Flash Sales continue to work for Xiaomi?
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MI Smartphone Sales Trajectory Expansion into 6 countries: 1m Xiaomi handset in US, 1m in India
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Financing History 2010.12: $40 million at valuation of $250 million 2011.12: $90 million at valuation of $1 billion 2012: $216 million at valuation of 4 billion 2013: market valuation of 10 billion 2014.12: $1.1 billion at valuation of $45 billion
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Fast Rate of Innovation Idea generation Users generate ideas more than just beta testing and being focus groups Research & Development: open source software, cloud computing, off-the-shelf component, specialized parts become commodities as billions of smart phones sold. Funding: crowdfunding, abundance of VC (Downes & Nunes, 2014)
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Unconstrained Growth The declining costs of information Large database of standardized information on marketing, sales, and other transaction data, user feedback, performance comparison Give consumers great leverage Companies cannot hid behind slick marketing campaigns Lower transaction costs for new products Exponential growth of new transactions Users no longer divided into pioneers, early adoption, early majority, late majority, laggards Q: strength of brand weakens?
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Xiaomi’s Evolution towards an Xiaomi Ecosystem Build an ecosystem of related hardware connected on a single software platform with value-adding services and contents Smart hardware: MI Band, MI air purifier, MI camcorder, MI Router, MI Mobile Charger, headsets, iHealth, wifi generator Smart appliances: Midea Content Online video webites: aiQiyi and Youku Social networking service MiChat Movie, game studios Games: 14Q4: monthly revenue RMB200 million Education, domestic services, map Operating system: MIUI Cloud storage Proprietary software Goal: make another 50 Xiaomi, investing in 100 hardware companies Q:How would the smaller companies compete?
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Challenges Optimizing sales and profits while curbing the downside risk of excess or insufficient inventory. Patents Stiff competition at all fronts
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Xiaomi’s Patent Challenges Global patent system More than 100 patent disputes by smart phone suppliers by 2013 Tit-for-Tat global patent war on daily basis patent litigation and patent purchase costs smart phone markers up to $20 billion between 2011 and 2012 Patent spending by Google & Apple exceeds R&D spending Patent pool, cross licensing
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Can Apple be disrupted by Xiaomi? How will Xiaomi be Disrupted?
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