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Supporting Iceland’s Investors

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1 Supporting Iceland’s Investors
MIGA: Supporting Iceland’s Investors in Emerging Markets June 2006 WORLD BANK GROUP MULTILATERAL INVESTMENT GUARANTEE AGENCY

2 The World Bank Group created 1944 IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development 1960 IDA International Development Agency 1956 IFC International Finance Corporation 1966 ICSID International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes 1988 MIGA Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency Who is MIGA? As many of you know, MIGA — the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency — is a part of the World Bank Group, and the only global entity that has as its sole mission the promotion of foreign direct investment into developing countries. I believe this mission is critical to the World Bank Group's overall goal of reducing poverty, since public spending and domestic private investment alone will not generate the needed economic growth. Promote FDI with the use of guarantees and TA

3 What is MIGA? Member of World Bank Group 167 members
Capital: $2 billion Capacity: up to $9 billion Gross/Net Exposure: $5.1 b/$3.3 b FDI Facilitated: Over $50 b Coverage in more than 85 countries Private and public partners Member of WBG 164 members Capital base: $2 billion; capacity: up to $9 billion Objective: - Facilitate flow and distribution of FDI into developing countries through risk mitigation Risk Mitigation Products: - TA for investment promotion - Online investment promotion tools - Guarantees against non-commercial risks - Mediation

4 MIGA’s Services We promote FDI into developing countries through:
Political risk guarantees for investors/lenders TA for developing country IPAs Online investment promotion: Ipanet, PrivatizationLink and FDIXchange Investment dispute mediation services MIGA has several products. MIGA's best-known product — its political risk insurance — is a powerful instrument for facilitating investments. Furthermore, our technical assistance and online information services help countries promote themselves to foreign investors, and link investors with investment opportunities. MIGA brings some unique advantages to its private sector partners and clients. By being part of the World Bank Group, and having as its shareholders both host countries and investor countries, MIGA brings security and credibility to an investment that is unmatched. Our presence in a potential investment can literally transform a "no-go" into a "go". MIGA's principal benefit is that we act as a potent deterrent against government actions that may adversely affect investments. And even if disputes do arise, our leverage with host governments frequently enables us to resolve differences to the mutual satisfaction of all parties. This allows existing investments to continue and other new investments are not discouraged.

5 On-Line Services for Investors, Lenders
The Investment Promotion Network: PrivatizationLink: The Investment Promotion Network an online portal to investment opportunities and business environment information FDI Xchange: PrivatizationLink country and sector information service featuring profiles of enterprises slated for divestiture in emerging markets FDI Xchange customized alert service delivering new market analysis and investment opportunities FDI Promotion Center toolkit, investor research, and e-learning for investment promotion practitioners

6 MIGA Guarantees: Insurance… ….but also risk management
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT improves the overall risk-return profile of the project may reduce provisioning requirements for lenders may lower cost of financing, lengthen tenors can protect corporate balance sheet CONFIDENCE deterrent against host government interference gives investors confidence investing in frontier markets mediation of investment disputes STABILITY provides stable environment for business operations + WORLD BANK GROUP “STAMP OF APPROVAL”

7 political risk insurance for projects adverse host government actions
Risk Management Confidence Credit Enhancement political risk insurance for projects deterrence of adverse host government actions Better Prospect of compensation reduction of both capital costs and financing cost investors gain confidence project risk / return profile improves for all investors greater interest from debt and equity investors more deals are closed

8 MIGA Guarantees Commercial Risk Investors/ financial institutions
Non-commercial Risk MIGA Coverages Transfer restriction and currency inconvertibility Expropriation War and civil disturbance Breach of contract Cross border

9 Coverage: Transfer Restriction/ Inconvertiblity
inability to convert local currency into forex inability to transfer forex out of host country excessive delays in acquiring forex currency depreciation not covered Currency Transfer Restriction and Inconvertibility Protects against losses arising from: Inability to convert local currency into foreign exchange and inability to transfer. Expropriation Protects against losses arising from nationalization and confiscation, creeping expropriation, and partial expropriation (expropriation of funds). Non-discriminatory measures not covered. War and Civil Disturbance Protects against losses arising from damage/disappearance of tangible assets (including revolution, insurrection, coups d'état, sabotage, and terrorism), and prolonged business interruption. Breach of Contract Protects against losses arising from breach or repudiation of a contract between the investor and the host country authorities (non-enforcement of an arbitration award is a prerequisite). Applied to breach of supply/take-off contract, a license agreement, etc., and breach of a sub-sovereign guarantee obligation.

10 Coverage: War/Civil Disturbance/Terrorism/Sabotage
damage/disappearance of tangible assets longer-term business interruption Currency Transfer Restriction and Inconvertibility Protects against losses arising from: Inability to convert local currency into foreign exchange and inability to transfer. Expropriation Protects against losses arising from nationalization and confiscation, creeping expropriation, and partial expropriation (expropriation of funds). Non-discriminatory measures not covered. War and Civil Disturbance Protects against losses arising from damage/disappearance of tangible assets (including revolution, insurrection, coups d'état, sabotage, and terrorism), and prolonged business interruption. Breach of Contract Protects against losses arising from breach or repudiation of a contract between the investor and the host country authorities (non-enforcement of an arbitration award is a prerequisite). Applied to breach of supply/take-off contract, a license agreement, etc., and breach of a sub-sovereign guarantee obligation.

11 Coverage: Expropriation
nationalization and confiscation “creeping” expropriation expropriation of funds partial expropriation (case by case) includes sub-sovereigns Currency Transfer Restriction and Inconvertibility Protects against losses arising from: Inability to convert local currency into foreign exchange and inability to transfer. Expropriation Protects against losses arising from nationalization and confiscation, creeping expropriation, and partial expropriation (expropriation of funds). Non-discriminatory measures not covered. War and Civil Disturbance Protects against losses arising from damage/disappearance of tangible assets (including revolution, insurrection, coups d'état, sabotage, and terrorism), and prolonged business interruption. Breach of Contract Protects against losses arising from breach or repudiation of a contract between the investor and the host country authorities (non-enforcement of an arbitration award is a prerequisite). Applied to breach of supply/take-off contract, a license agreement, etc., and breach of a sub-sovereign guarantee obligation.

12 Coverage: Breach of Contract
breach or repudiation of a contract or agreement with government entity non-enforcement of an arbitration includes sub-sovereigns Currency Transfer Restriction and Inconvertibility Protects against losses arising from: Inability to convert local currency into foreign exchange and inability to transfer. Expropriation Protects against losses arising from nationalization and confiscation, creeping expropriation, and partial expropriation (expropriation of funds). Non-discriminatory measures not covered. War and Civil Disturbance Protects against losses arising from damage/disappearance of tangible assets (including revolution, insurrection, coups d'état, sabotage, and terrorism), and prolonged business interruption. Breach of Contract Protects against losses arising from breach or repudiation of a contract between the investor and the host country authorities (non-enforcement of an arbitration award is a prerequisite). Applied to breach of supply/take-off contract, a license agreement, etc., and breach of a sub-sovereign guarantee obligation.

13 Types of investments covered
New investments (incl. modernization, restructuring, expansion, etc.) 3-15 (20) years Up to 90% of investment amount; up to 95% of loans No minimum amount; high ceilings Equity and quasi-equity Shareholder loans and loan guaranties Non-Shareholder loans Capital Markets transactions Technical Assistance Management Contracts Leases Franchising and Licensing Agreements Performance Bonds O&M Agreements

14 Preliminary application (online, no fee)
Guarantee process Preliminary application (online, no fee) Must be done before investor commits to project Completely confidential and non-binding Definitive application MIGA due diligence Host country approval Board concurrence Guarantee signed by MIGA and investor

15 Claims Experience Over 800 contracts ($14 billion) issued
Three claims filed and paid 2000: Indonesia power plant -- $15 m – expropriation 2004: Nepal hydroelectric station -- $145,000 – civil war damage 2005: Argentina – expropriation (ca. $1.5 million) Extensive experience successfully mediating disputes Most in power, mining sectors Transfer restriction – multilateral exception for MIGA-covered investments: 1998 – Russia 2001 – Argentina Venezuela

16 Typical Project Structure
Loan Guarantee Foreign Investor Bank Equity Loan Iceland Peru Shareholder Loan Project Enterprise

17 Guarantees Portfolio Europe and Central Asia Latin America/Caribbean Africa Asia and the Pacific Middle East and North Africa 45 25 16 13 3 $5.1 B Infrastructure Financial Oil, Gas and Mining Agribusiness and Manufacturing Tourism and Services 39 9 8 5 Gross Exposure, by sector and region*, in percent (as of 06/30/05) * Figures exceed 100% due to master contract with one client

18 The Proposal Case Study 1: Hydro Power – Laos
Significant hydropower potential but very limited internal electricity demand Major electricity market but limited internal energy resources US$1.25 B trans-basin power plant in Lao PDR with transmission facilities to the Thai border Laos Tailand Thailand NOTE: Each rating agency and each transaction type has different PRI requirements, depending also on the rating requirements of the arrangers/issuers. It is important to involve us early in the discussions so that we can ensure that the transaction is appropriately structured in a way that allows for the most effective, efficient use of MIGA’s guarantee. Project Project

19 Overcoming Obstacles Case Study 1: Hydro Power – Laos ISSUES SOLUTION
Lao Government budget limitations Limited environmental and technical capabilities of Laos USD1.5 B cost Commercial lenders would not assume political risks in Laos or Thailand Public Private Partnership WB advisory and technical assistance + experienced international power developer: EDF Project Finance scheme Political Risk Guarantees NOTE: Each rating agency and each transaction type has different PRI requirements, depending also on the rating requirements of the arrangers/issuers. It is important to involve us early in the discussions so that we can ensure that the transaction is appropriately structured in a way that allows for the most effective, efficient use of MIGA’s guarantee.

20 Nam Theun 2 Power Company
Case Study 1: Hydro Power – Laos Project Structure World Bank ADB MIGA NTP 1 EDF 1 EGGO US $ Banks Shareholder Agreement & Equity Thai Baht Banks Bilateral Agencies ECAs NOTE: Each rating agency and each transaction type has different PRI requirements, depending also on the rating requirements of the arrangers/issuers. It is important to involve us early in the discussions so that we can ensure that the transaction is appropriately structured in a way that allows for the most effective, efficient use of MIGA’s guarantee. Loans Nam Theun 2 Power Company

21 Risk Allocation Case Study 1: Hydro Power – Laos
Risks associated with relationship between Laos and Thailand leveraged through contractual obligations of both governments Additional leverage created through equity ownership by state-owned power companies of both countries Social and environmental problems resolved through the World Bank involvement Laos state-owned company contributes equity using IDA funds Project developed with 80% debt-to-equity ratio. Debt arranged by 9 leading commercial banks along with guarantees from MIGA, PRG, ADB and ECAs Funds provided by Thai banks NOTE: Each rating agency and each transaction type has different PRI requirements, depending also on the rating requirements of the arrangers/issuers. It is important to involve us early in the discussions so that we can ensure that the transaction is appropriately structured in a way that allows for the most effective, efficient use of MIGA’s guarantee.

22 Main Risks to Lenders Case Study 1: Hydro Power – Laos
Breach of Concession in Lao: Non-payment of termination payments triggered by Confiscation of assets Declared wars Embargoes Expropriation Breach of the Power Purchase Agreement in Thailand: Defaults on payments for electricity by EGAT; Non-payment of termination payments under the PPA Transfer Restriction (as a default option for the Breach of Contract) Expropriation through administrative, legislative and regulatory decisions for which there were no termination payments in the contracts War and Civil Disturbance unrelated to the actions of both governments

23 MIGA’s Value-Added Case Study 1: Hydro Power – Laos
Assisted in: syndication of larger amount of funds by Fortis bank and extension of finance period Provided customized solution to multi-country risks: MIGA covered not only political risks in Laos but risks in Thailand (breach of the purchase agreement between the project and Thai state-owned company, EGAT) Collaborated with sister agencies MIGA worked side by side with ADB and PRG to provide equal playing field for other arrangers NOTE: Each rating agency and each transaction type has different PRI requirements, depending also on the rating requirements of the arrangers/issuers. It is important to involve us early in the discussions so that we can ensure that the transaction is appropriately structured in a way that allows for the most effective, efficient use of MIGA’s guarantee.

24 Case Study 2: Geothermal Power – Kenya
$119 m in guarantees for OrPower 1 and 4 Coverage against all 4 risks BoC coverage for Site Agreement Investor: Ormat (Israel) Olkaria geothermal fields in Rift Valley Phase 1: 12 MW; Phase 4: 48 MW Alternative to hydro Significant local employment, sourcing of goods and services Revenues for government Extensive mediation in past 2 years

25 SME Telecoms/IP Investment – Sierra Leone
Case Study 3: SME Telecoms/IP Investment – Sierra Leone $2.8 m guarantee against 3 risks Conflict-affected country Limited, unreliable, expensive internet access Israeli investor ($3 m equity investment) Fixed line broadband wireless access and voice-over IP network Covered under MIGA’s Small Investment Program: coverage up to $5 m (no minimum) streamlined process special pricing 3-risk “package” (no BoC coverage)

26 thank you! www.miga.org Elena Palei Ph: +1-202- Fax: +1-202-522-2630
E: Keith Martin Ph: Fax: E:


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