1. Population Change in Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and the Socioeconomic Future of Texas and The United States Population Change in Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and the Socioeconomic Future of Texas and The United States Steve Murdock Hobby Center for the Study of Texas Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University TASSCC Conference Austin, Texas December 12, 2014

2. Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010 Total Population Percent Change YearTexasU.S. TexasU.S. 1850 212,592 23,191,876--- 1860 604,215 31,443,321184.235.6 1870 818,579 39,818,44935.526.6 1880 1,591,749 50,155,78394.526.0 1890 2,235,527 62,947,71440.425.5 1900 3,048,710 75,994,57536.420.7 1910 3,896,542 91,972,26627.821.0 1920 4,663,228 105,710,62019.714.9 1930 5,824,715 122,775,04624.916.1 1940 6,414,824 131,669,27510.17.2 1950 7,711,194 150,697,36120.214.5 1960 9,579,677 179,323,17524.219.0 1970 11,196,730 203,302,03116.913.4 1980 14,229,191 226,545,80527.111.4 1990 16,986,510 248,709,87319.49.8 2000 20,851,820 281,421,90622.813.2 2010 25,145,561 308,745,53820.69.7 Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

3. 3 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States (in Millions), 2000-2012 Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C. Pew Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.

4. 4 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas (in Millions), 2000-2012 Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C.Pew Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.

5. Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 PopulationNumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 California33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Virginia7,078,5158,001,024922,50913.0 Washington5,894,1216,724,540830,41914.1 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

6. Total Population in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010 Total Population Change Metropolitan Statistical Area20002010 Numeric% Houston-The Woodlands-Sugarland4,693,1615,920,416 1,227,25526.1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington5,204,1266,426,2141,222,08823.5 Austin-Round Rock1,249,7631,716,289466,52637.3 San Antonio-New Braunfels1,711,7032,142,508430,80525.2 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission569,463774,769205,30636.1 El Paso682,966804,123121,15717.7 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood330,714405,30074,58622.6 Brownsville-Harlingen335,227406,22070,99321.2 Laredo193,117250,30457,18729.6 College Station-Bryan184,885228,66043,77523.7 Tyler174,706209,71435,00820.0 Lubbock256,250290,80534,55513.5 Corpus Christi403,280428,18524,9056.2 Amarillo228,707251,93323,22610.2 Midland120,755141,67120,91617.3 Waco232,093252,67920,5868.9 Longview194,042214,36920,32710.5 Odessa121,123137,13016,00713.2 Sherman-Denison110,595120,87710,2829.3 San Angelo105,781111,8236,0425.7 Texarkana*89,30692,5653,2593.6 Beaumont-Port Arthur400,162403,1903,0280.8 Victoria91,01694,0032,9873.3 Abilene160,245162,2522,0071.3 Wichita Falls151,524151,306 -218-0.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb. 2013. *Texas portion only.

7. Population, Population Change, and Percent Change in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas by Numeric Change, April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2012 Metropolitan Statistical AreaApril 1, 2010July 1, 2012NumericPercent Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington6,426,2146,700,991274,7774.3 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land5,920,4166,177,035256,6194.3 Austin-Round Rock1,716,2891,834,303118,0146.9 San Antonio-New Braunfels2,142,5082,234,00391,4954.3 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission774,769806,55231,7834.1 El Paso804,123830,73526,6123.3 Killeen-Temple405,300420,37515,0753.7 Midland141,671151,6629,9917.1 Brownsville-Harlingen406,220415,5579,3372.3 Corpus Christi428,185437,1098,9242.1 Laredo250,304259,1728,8683.5 Odessa137,130144,3257,1955.2 Lubbock290,805297,6696,8642.4 College Station-Bryan228,660234,5015,8412.6 Amarillo251,933257,5785,6452.2 Tyler209,714214,8215,1072.4 Waco252,772256,3173,5451.4 San Angelo111,823114,8543,0312.7 Victoria94,00396,6202,6172.8 Longview214,369216,6792,3101.1 Abilene165,252166,9631,7111.0 Sherman-Denison120,877121,9351,0580.9 Beaumont-Port Arthur403,190404,1809900.2 Texarkana-Texarkana, AR149,198149,7015030.3 Wichita Falls151,306150,829-477-0.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb. 2013.

9. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 Population Estimates. Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2012

10. Change 2000-2010 Change 2010-2012* Geographic Area200020102012^ NumericPercentNumericPercent Arcola 1,0481,6421,65859456.7 161.0 Beasley 590641649 518.6 81.2 Cinco Ranch CDP 11,196 18,274 -NA- 7,07863.2 -NA- Fairchilds 678 763 841 8512.5 7810.2 Fresno CDP 6,603 19,069 -NA- 12,466188.8 -NA- Katy 11,775 14,102 14,661 2,32719.8 5594.0 Kendleton 466 380 385 (86)-18.5 51.3 Meadows Place 4,912 4,660 4,709 (252)-5.1 491.1 Mission Bend CDP 30,831 36,501 -NA- 5,67018.4 -NA- Missouri City 52,913 67,358 69,020 14,44527.3 1,6622.5 Needville 2,609 2,823 2,868 2148.2 451.6 New Territory CDP 13,861 15,186 -NA- 1,3259.6 -NA- Orchard 408 352 367 (56)-13.7 154.3 Pecan Grove CDP 13,551 15,963 -NA- 2,41217.8 -NA- Pleak 947 1,044 1,153 9710.2 10910.4 Richmond 11,081 11,679 11,807 5985.4 1281.1 Rosenberg 24,043 30,618 31,734 6,57527.3 1,1163.6 Simonton 718 814 824 9613.4 101.2 Stafford 15,681 17,693 17,962 2,01212.8 2691.5 Sugar Land 63,328 78,817 82,480 15,48924.5 3,6634.6 Thompsons 236 246 272 104.2 2610.6 Fulshear 716 1,134 1,883 41858.4 74966.0 Fort Bend 354,452 585,375 627,293 230,92365.1 41,9187.2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013. ^ Population estimates are not available for unincorporated places. *27 Months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012. Population and Population Change for Places in Ft. Bend County 2000 - 2012

11. Ten Largest States in the United States Ranked by Population Size in 2013 StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13 Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323,6329.7 7,383,3012.4 California33,871,65337,253,95638,332,521 3,382,30310.0 1,078,5652.9 Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,193 4,294,53320.6 1,302,6325.2 New York18,977,02619,378,10219,651,127 401,0762.1 273,0251.4 Florida15,982,57118,801,31019,552,860 2,818,73917.6 751,5504.0 Illinois12,419,92712,830,63212,882,135 410,7053.3 51,5030.4 Pennsylvania12,280,54812,702,37912,773,801 421,8313.4 71,4220.6 Ohio11,353,33611,536,50411,570,808 183,1681.6 34,3040.3 Georgia8,186,6539,687,6539,992,167 1,501,00018.3 304,5143.1 Michigan9,938,8239,883,6409,895,622 -55,183-0.6 11,9820.1 North Carolina8,046,3469,535,4839,848,060 1,489,13718.5 312,5773.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

12. Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase, 2010-2013 StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13 Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323,6329.7 7,383,3012.4 Texas20,851,82025,145,56126,448,193 4,293,74120.6 1,302,6325.2 California33,871,64837,253,95638,332,521 3,382,30810.0 1,078,5652.9 Florida15,982,37818,801,31019,552,860 2,818,93217.6 751,5504.0 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4839,848,060 1,486,17018.5 312,5773.3 Colorado4,301,2615,029,1965,268,367 727,93516.9 239,1714.8 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6539,992,167 1,501,20018.3 304,5143.1 Washington5,894,1216,724,5406,971,406 830,41914.1 246,8663.7 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0176,626,624 1,261,38524.6 234,6073.7 New York18,977,02619,378,10219,651,127 401,0762.1 273,0251.4 Virginia7,078,5158,001,0248,260,405 922,50913.0 259,3813.2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

13. StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change 2000-10 Change 2010-13 Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323,6329.7 7,383,3012.4 North Dakota642,237672,591723,393 30,3544.7 50,8027.6 Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,193 4,294,53320.6 1,302,6325.2 Utah2,233,1832,763,8852,900,872 530,70223.8 136,9875.0 Colorado4,302,0865,029,1965,268,367 727,11016.9 239,1714.8 Florida15,982,57118,801,31019,552,860 2,818,73917.6 751,5504.0 South Dakota754,858814,180844,877 59,3227.9 30,6973.8 Arizona5,130,2476,392,0176,626,624 1,261,77024.6 234,6073.7 Washington5,894,2816,724,5406,971,406 830,25914.1 246,8663.7 Alaska626,933710,231735,132 83,29813.3 24,9013.5 Wyoming493,786563,626582,658 69,84014.1 19,0323.4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2013

14. 14 Population and Population Change for Texas and the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013 Population.Change 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,1934,294,53320.61,302,6325.2 Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691,32020.3243,6886.0 Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151,3316.8112,6954.8 Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359,74424.8102,0045.6 Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321,73823.1102,8366.0 Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin County491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121,07917.827,0713.4 Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205,67036.141,2275.3 Denton County433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Cameron County334,884406,220417,27671,33621.311,0562.7 Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726,7118.511,8843.5 Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271,36129.517,1055.5 Bell County238,000310,235326,84372,23530.416,6085.4 Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241,13116.415,4755.3 Lubbock County242,644278,831289,32436,18714.910,4933.8 Webb County193,124250,304262,49557,18029.612,1914.9 Jefferson County251,968252,273252,3583050.1850.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

15. Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population.Change 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691,32020.3243,6886.0 Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151,3316.8112,6954.8 Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321,73823.1102,8366.0 Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359,74424.8102,0045.6 Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin County491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Denton County433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205,67036.141,2275.3 El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121,07917.827,0713.4 Hays County97,918157,112176,02659,18960.418,91412.0 Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271,36129.517,1055.5 Bell County238,000310,235326,84372,23530.416,6085.4 Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241,13116.415,4755.3 Midland County116,034136,870151,46820,83818.014,59810.7 Ector County121,124137,132149,37816,00613.212,2468.9 Webb County193,124250,304262,49557,18029.612,1914.9 Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726,7118.511,8843.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

16. Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population.Change 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691,32020.3243,6886.0 Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151,3316.8112,6954.8 Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321,73823.1102,8366.0 Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359,74424.8102,0045.6 Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin County491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Denton County433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205,67036.141,2275.3 El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121,07917.827,0713.4 Hays County97,918157,112176,02659,18960.418,91412.0 Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271,36129.517,1055.5 Bell County238,000310,235326,84372,23530.416,6085.4 Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241,13116.415,4755.3 Midland County116,034136,870151,46820,83818.014,59810.7 Ector County121,124137,132149,37816,00613.212,2468.9 Webb County193,124250,304262,49557,18029.612,1914.9 Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726,7118.511,8843.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and 2000-2010 Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

17. PopulationChange 2000 - 2010Change 2010 - 2013* County200020102013NumericPercentNumericPercent Loving6782951522.41315.9 Andrews13,00214,78616,7991,78413.72,01313.6 Kendall23,79333,41037,7669,61740.44,35613.0 Hays97,918157,112176,02659,18960.418,91412.0 Fort Bend354,286584,686652,365231,08965.267,67911.6 Williamson250,466422,617471,014172,21368.848,39711.5 Martin4,7464,7995,312531.151310.7 Midland116,034136,870151,46820,83818.014,59810.7 Denton433,065662,604728,799229,54953.066,19510.0 Montgomery293,779455,760499,137161,96755.143,3779.5 Travis811,7761,024,3311,120,954212,49026.296,6239.4 Collin491,272782,351854,778291,06959.272,4279.3 Comal78,022108,472118,48030,45039.010,0089.2 Hemphill3,3533,8074,15845413.53519.2 Crane3,9964,3754,7733799.53989.1 Dimmit10,2059,99610,897-209-2.09019.0 Ector121,124137,132149,37816,00613.212,2468.9 Guadalupe88,856131,537143,18342,67748.011,6468.9 Rockwall43,02378,33785,24535,31482.16,9088.8 McMullen847707764-140-16.5578.1 *Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold. *39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013. Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013

18. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White10,933,31311,397,345464,0324.210.8 52.4 45.3 Hispanic (All Races)6,669,6669,460,9212,791,25541.865.0 32.0 37.6 NH Black2,364,2552,886,825522,57022.112.2 11.3 11.5 NH Asian554,445948,426393,98171.19.2 2.7 3.8 NH Other330,141452,044121,90336.92.8 1.6 1.8 Total20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

19. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White8,426,1669,074,684648,5187.719.6 56.3 49.6 Hispanic (All Races)4,282,9016,143,1441,860,24343.456.1 28.6 33.6 NH Black1,631,4482,076,282444,83427.313.4 10.9 11.4 NH Asian415,219716,968301,74972.79.1 2.8 3.9 NH Other209,327268,65959,33228.31.8 1.4 1.5 Total14,965,06118,279,7373,314,67622.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

20. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White2,507,1472,322,661-184,486-7.4-18.8 42.6 33.8 Hispanic (All Races)2,386,7653,317,777931,01239.095.1 40.5 48.3 NH Black732,807810,54377,73610.67.9 12.4 11.8 NH Asian139,226231,45892,23266.29.4 2.4 3.4 NH Other120,814183,38562,57151.86.4 2.1 2.7 Total5,886,7596,865,824979,06516.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

25. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White194,552,774196,817,5522,264,7781.28.3 69.1 63.7 Hispanic (All Races)35,305,81850,477,59415,171,77643.055.5 12.5 16.3 NH Black33,947,83737,685,8483,738,01111.013.7 12.1 12.2 NH Asian10,123,16914,465,1244,341,95542.915.9 3.6 4.7 NH Other7,492,3089,299,4201,807,11224.16.6 2.7 3.0 Total281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

26. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White44,027,08739,716,562-4,310,525-9.8-228.4 60.9 53.5 Hispanic (All Races)12,342,25917,130,8914,788,63238.8253.7 17.1 23.1 NH Black10,610,26410,362,183-248,081-2.3-13.1 14.7 14.0 NH Asian2,420,2743,176,129755,85531.240.0 3.3 4.3 NH Other2,893,9283,795,702901,77431.247.8 4.0 5.1 Total72,293,81274,181,4671,887,6552.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

31. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White758,302938,474 180,17223.838.6 60.754.7 NH Black96,746120,510 23,76424.65.1 7.77.0 Hispanic327,760538,313 210,55364.245.1 26.231.4 NH Asian & Other66,955118,992 52,03777.711.2 5.46.9 Total1,249,7631,716,289 466,52637.3100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

32. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White161,723182,346 20,62312.817.5 51.041.9 NH Black28,86232,637 3,77513.13.2 9.17.5 Hispanic109,686185,913 76,22769.564.8 34.642.8 NH Asian & Other16,75133,864 17,113102.214.5 5.37.8 Total317,022434,760 117,73837.1100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

33. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White3,081,7343,248,509 166,7755.413.6 59.350.5 NH Black707,490941,599 234,10933.119.2 13.614.7 Hispanic1,121,4421,758,738 637,29656.852.2 21.527.4 NH Asian & Other293,460477,368 183,90862.715.0 5.67.4 Total5,204,1266,426,214 1,222,08823.5100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

34. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White735,112699,178 -35,934-4.9-11.1 50.239.1 NH Black227,185277,206 50,02122.015.4 15.615.5 Hispanic410,193661,960 251,76761.477.5 28.137.1 NH Asian & Other88,486147,481 58,99566.718.2 6.18.3 Total1,460,9761,785,825 324,84922.2100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

35. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White2,256,8572,340,268 83,4113.76.8 48.139.6 NH Black781,159996,221 215,06227.517.5 16.616.8 Hispanic1,352,3932,096,532 744,13955.060.7 28.835.4 NH Asian & Other302,752487,395 184,64361.015.0 6.58.2 Total4,693,1615,920,416 1,227,25526.1100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

36. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White542,563494,054 -48,509-8.9-16.5 39.829.8 NH Black244,702282,991 38,28915.613.0 18.017.1 Hispanic489,495744,227 254,73252.086.8 35.945.0 NH Asian & Other85,634134,692 49,05857.316.7 6.38.1 Total1,362,3941,655,964 293,57021.5100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

37. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White696,316773,807 77,49111.118.0 40.736.1 NH Black102,441130,070 27,62927.06.4 6.06.1 Hispanic863,1621,158,148 294,98634.268.5 50.454.0 NH Asian & Other49,78480,483 30,69961.77.1 2.93.8 Total1,711,7032,142,508 430,80525.2100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

38. Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group20002010 NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH* White151,728148,028 -3,700-2.4-4.1 31.225.7 NH Black30,00733,517 3,51011.73.9 6.25.8 Hispanic289,103370,886 81,78328.390.9 59.664.5 NH Asian & Other14,78423,139 8,35556.59.3 3.04.0 Total485,622575,570 89,94818.5100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in 2013. *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

39. POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

40. Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 19992010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White16,026,5428.3$59,22121,831,92810.8$53,988 Hispanic (All Races)7,797,87422.6$44,07912,583,54224.8$40,165 NH Black7,970,16524.8$38,54110,270,22927.1$33,568 NH Asian1,241,29112.6$68,0201,806,21712.4$67,142 Total33,899,81212.4$54,966 47,330,50215.3$50,046 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

41. Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 19992010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White856,0557.9$61,5421,111,2519.5$59,517 Hispanic (All Races)1,658,43425.4$39,1012,555,08026.8$37,087 Black515,85923.3$38,378717,45824.7$35,674 Asian63,59811.7$65,633120,60112.6$64,191 Total3,117,60915.4$52,260 4,521,02317.9$48,615 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

42. Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 52,9957.0$70,30787,6399.3$64,893 Hispanic (All Races) 57,89718.1$50,599139,33325.6$39,843 NH Black 15,93217.8$47,13029,90424.4$38,465 Asian 6,50215.6$64,80111,35213.9$67,317 Total 134,58911.1$63,905 274,80115.9$55,744 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

43. Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 168,3995.5$72,291234,2447.3$66,611 Hispanic (All Races) 219,00619.9$46,782419,02423.7$40,083 NH Black 134,47419.7$43,070220,86723.6$37,539 Asian 19,16510.0$72,04937,44111.0$70,006 Total 547,38510.8$63,245 934,82714.6$54,449 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

44. Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 142,9066.2$73,353167,5937.1$72,480 Hispanic (All Races) 294,48422.0$43,087533,71625.2$40,972 NH Black 167,27122.0$41,210223,99022.2$39,638 Asian 25,33811.4$67,70250,73212.9$67,333 Total 635,34913.7$58,497 986,22016.5$53,942 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

45. Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 47,8706.9$63,32957,4967.4$63,067 Hispanic (All Races) 182,88221.5$40,849258,42122.1$41,439 NH Black 17,94119.0$42,45724,35418.5$39,004 Asian 2,2779.8$53,0324,77811.1$56,056 Total 252,31115.1$51,091 351,73716.3$50,225 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

46. Percent of the Population Age 25 and Older in the United States and Texas with Less Than High School Diploma/GED by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

47. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White663,6753.617.730.248.6 NH Black72,63911.425.540.922.2 Hispanic282,85135.125.521.717.7 Asian52,5188.010.716.864.6 NH Other18,0513.223.438.637.1 Total1,089,73412.520.028.239.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

48. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White277,4122.612.626.058.8 Black39,24612.126.739.319.6 Hispanic150,36438.824.319.117.7 Asian27,2436.610.813.369.3 NH Other7,7672.524.946.339.5 Total502,03214.417.324.643.7 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

49. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White2,267,9686.422.332.438.9 NH Black567,12111.829.336.222.7 Hispanic894,96045.924.219.110.8 Asian224,53613.416.116.953.7 NH Other66,71710.018.637.933.6 Total4,021,30216.423.329.231.1 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

50. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White268,2344.814.523.557.2 NH Black184,58216.435.633.114.9 Hispanic269,88656.423.812.27.6 Asian24,48418.710.716.254.4 NH Other12,66211.214.236.538.1 Total759,84826.522.821.828.9 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

51. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White1,690,3886.622.831.838.7 NH Black613,99811.928.437.522.2 Hispanic1,120,68144.225.319.611.0 Asian265,70915.315.419.649.7 NH Other47,5029.719.438.633.5 Total3,738,27819.423.928.328.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

52. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Houston, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White419,8895.616.025.952.5 NH Black308,64015.531.634.918.0 Hispanic501,73450.922.816.49.8 Asian91,93915.815.017.152.1 NH Other14,93616.017.334.535.7 Total1,337,13825.722.123.928.3 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

53. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White563,0816.221.833.838.2 NH Black82,63811.123.141.424.3 Hispanic662,34428.429.628.713.4 Asian29,91613.114.823.848.3 NH Other16,4955.618.638.034.3 Total1,354,47417.525.531.625.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

54. Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White258,0225.419.033.442.2 NH Black50,16812.924.341.821.0 Hispanic488,60328.729.928.712.7 Asian20,09311.715.221.451.6 NH Other9,5816.712.630.042.0 Total826,46719.825.630.823.7 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

55. PROJECTIONS

56. U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060 Year (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands) Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White aloneBlack aloneAsian alone All other races 2010196,81837,68614,4659,29950,478308,746 2020199,31241,77618,24610,77863,784333,896 2030198,81845,45222,04413,50278,655358,471 2040193,88748,76925,88116,60394,876380,016 2050186,33451,98829,58320,166111,732399,803 2060178,95255,30233,10624,128128,780420,268 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

57. Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)

58. Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060

59. Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060 Age Group (Percent of total resident population as of July 1) 201020202030204020502060 Under 5 years6.5 6.26.16.05.9 5 to 19 years20.418.818.618.117.817.7 20 to 44 years33.633.032.331.531.631.3 45 to 64 years26.424.922.623.323.723.2 65 years and over13.116.820.321.020.921.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

60. Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races Total 63.812.24.73.016.3100.0 Under 5 years 50.813.64.36.025.3100.0 5 to 17 years 54.514.14.34.822.3100.0 18 to 24 years 57.114.34.93.620.1100.0 25 to 44 years 59.612.65.92.719.2100.0 45 to 64 years 71.711.34.42.010.6100.0 65 years and over 80.08.43.41.36.9100.0 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 78.09.13.81.57.6100.0 75 to 84 years 81.27.83.21.26.6100.0 85 years and over 84.96.82.50.94.9100.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

61. Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race)Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races Total 42.613.27.95.730.6100.0 Under 5 years 30.913.06.69.939.6100.0 5 to 17 years 33.613.26.89.037.4100.0 18 to 24 years 35.813.27.27.736.1100.0 25 to 44 years 39.013.58.56.033.0100.0 45 to 64 years 45.313.48.74.428.2100.0 65 years and over 55.812.57.72.721.3100.0 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 52.513.68.03.122.8100.0 75 to 84 years 56.711.77.92.521.2100.0 85 years and over 62.710.96.72.117.6100.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

62. Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration 62 YearNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 201011,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145,561 2020 11,576,5953,122,63711,137,6721,536,69327,373,597 2030 11,501,0203,280,94112,869,7531,638,24929,289,963 2040 11,182,5763,355,50014,570,8511,714,23230,823,159 2050 10,766,6223,366,52816,191,1501,728,20632,052,506 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 201011,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145,561 2020 11,752,5303,295,19812,031,0591,825,13028,903,917 2030 11,850,1803,658,99715,082,0582,309,76332,900,998 2040 11,676,1573,951,90918,489,8032,881,52536,999,394 2050 11,376,5764,182,15522,268,3903,483,17841,310,299 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 201011,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145,561 2020 11,931,8153,477,92813,003,1592,170,40930,583,311 2030 12,211,6644,080,45317,702,1323,288,53637,282,785 2040 12,194,1514,653,72523,514,9744,953,86145,316,711 2050 12,024,9135,195,86130,701,2087,283,54855,205,530 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

63. Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration for the State of Texas Year NH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) 201045.311.537.6 5.6100.0 2020 42.311.440.7 5.6100.0 2030 39.311.243.9 5.6100.0 2040 36.310.947.2 5.6100.0 2050 33.610.550.5 5.4100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5) 201045.311.537.6 5.6100.0 2020 40.711.441.6 6.3100.0 2030 36.011.145.8 7.1100.0 2040 31.610.750.0 7.7100.0 2050 27.510.253.9 8.4100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0) 201045.311.537.6 5.6100.0 2020 39.011.442.5 7.1100.0 2030 32.810.947.5 8.8100.0 2040 26.910.351.910.9100.0 2050 21.89.455.613.2100.0 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

64. Percent of Net Change in Population from 2010 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for State of Texas 64 Race/EthnicityNumberPercent Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) NH 1 White -630,723-9.1 NH Black 479,7036.9 Hispanic 6,730,22997.4 NH Asian & Other 2 327,7364.8 Total 6,906,945100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (Scenario 0.5) NH White -20,769-0.1 NH Black 1,295,3308.0 Hispanic 12,807,46979.2 NH Asian & Other 2,082,70812.9 Total 16,164,738100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (Scenario 1.0) NH White 627,5682.1 NH Black 2,309,0367.7 Hispanic 21,240,28770.7 NH Asian & Other 5,883,07819.5 Total 30,059,969100.0 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

65. Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 65 AgeNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total 2010 <1820.428.135.129.627.3 18-248.711.211.710.2 25-4425.729.130.132.328.2 45-6429.824.017.521.424.0 65+15.47.65.66.510.3 2030 <18 19.323.429.721.724.9 18-24 7.59.610.811.59.6 25-44 23.027.229.931.627.5 45-64 24.324.219.824.122.2 65+ 25.915.69.811.115.8 2050 <18 18.220.727.321.924.0 18-24 7.48.910.68.69.4 25-44 23.025.527.830.526.9 45-64 23.725.621.424.922.8 65+ 27.719.312.914.116.9 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

66. Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 66 AgeNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total 2010 <18 33.811.848.36.0100.0 18-24 38.712.643.25.5100.0 25-44 41.511.940.26.4100.0 45-64 56.111.527.45.0100.0 65+ 67.68.420.53.5100.0 2030 <18 25.410.356.67.7100.0 18-24 25.510.953.010.6100.0 25-44 27.310.851.710.1100.0 45-64 36.012.042.49.6100.0 65+ 53.610.829.46.2100.0 2050 <18 16.58.163.412.0100.0 18-24 17.18.962.012.0100.0 25-44 18.68.957.515.0100.0 45-64 22.710.552.414.4100.0 65+ 35.710.842.511.0100.0 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

67. 67 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2010 67

68. Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2050* 68 * Assuming rates of net migration equal to 2000-2010

69. Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 1,349,646754,2581,671,540317,0154,092,459 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 1,370,357819,9031,994,717347,7984,532,775 2030 1,342,716858,7772,316,580363,9464,882,019 2040 1,278,423876,1372,643,875371,1765,169,611 2050 1,198,102876,4752,946,940370,5875,392,104 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 1,313,873840,3362,153,854400,8564,708,919 2030 1,232,849901,5762,698,721482,6255,315,771 2040 1,118,087934,3263,289,505563,9005,905,818 2050 998,149945,4313,909,739646,5306,499,849 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 1,255,205856,1982,319,477459,0924,889,972 2030 1,113,765921,9463,099,887637,3625,772,960 2040 944,770935,9823,927,987851,4056,660,144 2050 784,522905,3824,767,4311,115,1387,572,473 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

70. Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.018.440.87.7100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 30.218.144.07.7100.0 2030 27.517.647.57.5100.0 2040 24.716.951.17.2100.0 2050 22.216.354.76.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 27.917.845.78.5100.0 2030 23.217.050.89.1100.0 2040 18.915.855.79.5100.0 2050 15.414.560.29.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 25.717.547.49.4100.0 2030 19.316.053.711.0100.0 2040 14.214.159.012.8100.0 2050 10.412.063.014.7100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

71. Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 784,693518,732905,940158,7742,368,139 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 785,498570,1531,107,349177,1052,640,105 2030 753,645605,3551,318,991186,8732,864,864 2040 701,895627,7561,545,129193,6733,068,453 2050 648,778640,5421,772,394196,0913,257,805 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 701,757581,4091,155,350198,5372,637,053 2030 597,468627,9101,435,586231,3332,892,297 2040 491,394656,5131,742,378264,0463,154,331 2050 401,233671,5392,070,126295,8843,438,782 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 624,417588,7601,201,188221,7012,636,066 2030 464,572634,1001,538,137285,9432,922,752 2040 329,773645,2781,881,934358,3413,215,326 2050 231,828625,4572,221,784443,1213,522,190 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

72. Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.121.938.36.7100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 29.821.641.96.7100.0 2030 26.321.146.06.5100.0 2040 22.920.550.46.3100.0 2050 19.919.754.46.0100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 26.622.043.87.5100.0 2030 20.721.749.68.0100.0 2040 15.620.855.28.4100.0 2050 11.719.560.28.6100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 23.722.345.68.4100.0 2030 15.921.752.69.8100.0 2040 10.320.158.511.1100.0 2050 6.617.863.112.6100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

73. Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010519,123118,4601,006,95870,2321,714,773 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 528,196128,5491,146,27477,1631,880,182 2030 520,278135,5081,276,11281,8622,013,760 2040 501,507139,7061,389,46184,6282,115,302 2050 481,423143,0291,486,50084,6922,195,644 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 525,902136,2291,217,70994,2011,974,041 2030 516,916152,3901,439,718122,5262,231,550 2040 493,614165,6721,654,245154,7232,468,254 2050 469,414177,6101,860,268188,3762,695,668 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 522,129143,4641,285,885114,3712,065,849 2030 505,748166,4951,590,232183,9922,446,467 2040 469,453184,4641,875,503287,6472,817,067 2050 432,051195,9312,122,756430,0443,180,782 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

74. Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 30.36.958.74.1100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 28.16.861.04.1100.0 2030 25.86.763.44.1100.0 2040 23.76.665.74.0100.0 2050 21.96.567.73.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 26.66.961.74.8100.0 2030 23.26.864.55.5100.0 2040 20.06.767.06.3100.0 2050 17.46.669.07.0100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 25.36.962.25.5100.0 2030 20.76.865.07.5100.0 2040 16.76.566.610.2100.0 2050 13.66.266.713.5100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

75. Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010517,64482,805342,76681,0511,024,266 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 542,46788,465411,77190,1501,132,853 2030 536,21591,785478,73495,6891,202,423 2040 513,78092,461549,628100,4351,256,304 2050 486,48791,175616,939102,8021,297,403 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 564,58190,350439,296106,6561,200,883 2030 573,84195,516545,978132,8721,348,207 2040 558,25597,481666,649162,4691,484,854 2050 545,61496,850794,234194,2661,630,964 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 588,72191,589467,601125,3491,273,260 2030 614,74096,704614,488182,7101,508,642 2040 598,42596,434777,758260,2431,732,860 2050 591,90691,337944,620362,9571,990,820 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

76. Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 201050.58.133.57.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 47.97.836.38.0100.0 2030 44.67.639.88.0100.0 2040 40.97.443.78.0100.0 2050 37.57.047.67.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2020 47.07.536.68.9100.0 2030 42.67.140.59.9100.0 2040 37.66.644.910.9100.0 2050 33.55.948.711.9100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2020 46.27.236.79.8100.0 2030 40.76.440.712.1100.0 2040 34.55.644.915.0100.0 2050 29.74.647.418.2100.0 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

77. Numeric Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Fort Bend County Time PeriodNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010-202,9066,32019,4707,64736,343 2020-301,9405,18320,9427,13535,200 2030-40-5,179-70017,4744,62816,223 2040-50-13,261-5,40212,641-1,869-7,891 2010-50-13,5945,40170,52717,54179,875 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 2010-2024,08333,96059,35443,169160,566 2020-3020,16637,08278,79455,573191,615 2030-4015,88538,847100,57766,261221,570 2040-506,27038,505120,59969,283234,657 2010-5066,404148,394359,324234,286808,408 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 2010-2047,97266,783108,36885,549308,672 2020-3042,59984,671173,357136,788437,415 2030-4038,997106,214269,638205,731620,580 2040-5029,468127,792390,738285,903833,901 2010-50159,036385,460942,101713,9712,200,568

78. Percent of Net Change in the Population from 2010-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Fort Bend County Race/Ethnicity Number Percent Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration NH White-13,594-17.0 NH Black5,4016.8 Hispanic70,52788.3 NH Asian & Other17,54122.0 Total79,875100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 NH White66,4048.2 NH Black148,39418.4 Hispanic359,32444.4 NH Asian & Other234,28629.0 Total808,408100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 NH White159,0367.2 NH Black385,46017.5 Hispanic942,10142.8 NH Asian & Other713,97132.4 Total2,200,568100.0

79. TEXAS EDUCATION

80. Education Level Is Related to Employment and Earnings Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter 2013 80 Unemployment Rate Median Weekly Earnings Median: $827 Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6%

81. Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010 Occupations Less Than High School /GED Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ Prof Degree NH White Managerial & Professional$ 72,446$ 84,504$ 120,792$ 149,819 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64,179 112,843 130,471 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94,875 119,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64,975 114,698 144,714 NH Black Managerial & Professional$ 47,483$ 52,186$ 84,758$ 99,073 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 Operatives and Laborers 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707 Total 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490 Hispanic Managerial & Professional$ 52,178$ 61,992$ 88,036$ 116,400 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 40,131 50,127 81,005 91,155 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,302 51,527 63,695 63,345 Operatives and Laborers 41,273 47,455 54,282 57,806 Total 38,221 47,760 81,548 108,473 NH Asian & Other Managerial & Professional$ 84,172$ 73,016$ 103,737$ 130,603 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,764 60,719 86,039 105,469 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 54,594 63,451 70,778 92,041 Operatives and Laborers 47,939 49,015 60,895 65,074 Total 50,815 55,496 93,474 123,035 Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

82. Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and Higher by Race/Ethnicity, 1990-2010 Educational Attainment Level NH White*NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal 1990 High School and Higher81.566.244.679.172.1 College and Higher25.212.07.341.320.3 2000 High School and Higher87.275.849.380.775.7 College and Higher30.015.38.947.823.2 2010 High School and Higher92.086.459.687.180.7 College and Higher34.119.711.646.025.9 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.

83. General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010 Expenditures Percent Change 2000-2010 20002010 ProgramTotal Per Student Total Per Student Total Per Student Total Elementary and Secondary$29,237,537,256$7,308$36,491,096,511$7,527.2824.83.0 Bilingual/ESL747,953,8271,5091,295,663,0241,66273.210.1 Gifted and Talented311,414,735930418,034,6781,13634.222.2 Special Education2,202,643,4054,5134,800,227,93310,779117.9138.8 Career and Technology Education*717,482,3749691,009,165,94298240.71.4 Total Public Colleges and Public Universities3,406,851,6074,079 3,746,005,0912,935 10.0-28.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon 1999-2000 and 2009-10 school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution. Source: Texas Education Agency, 1999-00, Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System and 2000-10 State Profile Report; 2009-10 and 1999-00, Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2009-2010 and1999-2000 Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.

84. Selected Characteristics of Texas Education 2 nd in Total Student Enrollment [4.9 million students (2010-11)] 1 1 st in Total Student Enrollment Growth [1998-99 to 2008-09 (806,781)] 1 1 st in Hispanic Student Enrollment Growth [1998-99 to 2008-09 (752,272)] 1 42 nd in Instruction and Instruction-Related Expenditures per Pupil ($5,443) 2 43 rd in Total Per Pupil Expenditures ($8,350) 2 28 th in Pupils per Teacher (14.7) 1 28 th in Average Freshman Graduation Rates for public secondary schools, 2008-09 (75.4%) 3 Ranked Last in the Percent of People 25 years and over Who have Completed High School [81.1% (including Equivalency)] 4 30 th in Percent of People 25 Years and Over Who Have Completed a Bachelor’s Degree (26.4%) 5 1 National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education, 2012 2 National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), National Public Education Financial Survey, FY 2008. 3 National Center for Education Statistics, 2008-09 Core of Common Data (CCD) 4 American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1501 5 American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1502

85. Selected Characteristics of Texas Education (2) 12 th in Percent of People below Poverty Level in the Past 12 Months (18.5%) 6 10 th in Percent of Children below Poverty Level in the Past 12 months (26.6%) 7 41 st in Percent of 18- to 24- Year Olds enrolled in Colleges and Universities (39.6%) 8 46 th in the Percent of Public High School Teachers Teaching with a Major in their Main Assignments (71.9%) 9 Between 2000 and 2010, Texas Student Age Population (Ages 5-17) Grew by a 67,522 People Per Year (or 675,220 between 2000-10) 10 In 2010, 4,937,351 children were of school age (Age 5-17), up from 4,262,131 (a 15.8% increase) 10 6 American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1701 7 American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1704 8 United States Education Dashboard, Data Derived from 2006-08 American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data 9 National Center for Education Statistics, Schools and Staffing Survey, 2007-08 10 U. S. Census Bureau, 2000 & 2010 Decennial Census

86. Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas YearNH a WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Total Public Education (All Levels)* 20102,137,393832,2022,805,785348,7916,124,171 20202,109,148874,2943,490,796533,0467,007,284 20302,128,376955,1944,428,574682,1968,194,340 20402,037,8041,028,9975,778,539973,9869,819,326 20501,979,1091,095,3427,207,2061,469,75511,751,412 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 20101,547,693632,4012,398,684269,0664,847,844 20201,548,792646,7562,917,449406,7555,519,752 20301,577,470706,2633,715,984480,5336,480,250 20401,479,111754,1734,865,439726,4527,825,175 20501,446,198798,1256,012,6771,109,4439,366,443 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 2011-2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for 1980-2010, 2011. * Excludes public health related educational institutions.

87. Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas YearNH WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Education (All Levels)* 201034.913.645.85.7 202030.112.549.87.6 203026.011.754.08.3 204020.810.558.89.9 205016.89.361.312.6 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 201031.913.049.55.6 202028.111.752.97.3 203024.310.957.37.5 204018.99.662.29.3 205015.48.564.211.9 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data for Public School Students for 1980-2010, 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools 2011- 2012, 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for 1980-2010, 2011. * Excludes public health related educational institutions. Note: Enrollment data based on 2009-10 school years.

88. Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Public Community Colleges 2010314,976130,786263,60037,261746,623 2020299,721149,167370,86858,999878,755 2030296,231163,939459,61892,6931,012,481 2040297,987181,123590,855117,6431,187,608 2050285,152196,248771,788170,6271,423,815 Public Universities 2010274,72469,015143,50142,464529,704 2020260,63578,371202,47967,292608,777 2030254,67584,992252,972108,970701,609 2040260,70693,701322,245129,891806,543 2050247,759100,969422,741189,685961,154 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010589,700199,801407,10179,7251,276,327 2020560,356227,538573,347126,2911,487,532 2030550,906248,931712,590201,6631,714,090 2040558,693274,824913,100247,5341,994,151 2050532,911297,2171,194,529360,3122,384,969 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

89. Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Public Community Colleges 201042.217.535.35.0 202034.117.042.26.7 203029.316.245.49.1 204025.115.349.89.8 205020.013.854.212.0 Public Universities 201051.913.027.18.0 202042.812.933.311.0 203036.312.136.115.5 204032.311.640.016.1 205025.810.544.019.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 201046.215.731.96.2 202037.715.338.58.5 203032.114.541.611.8 204028.013.845.812.4 205022.312.550.115.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon 2009-10 school years. * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

90. Year Total Public Elementary and Secondary Total Community Colleges Total Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010$36,491,096,511$1,202,291,349$2,543,713,742$3,746,005,091 202041,548,738,5631,415,064,2752,923,433,5044,338,497,779 203048,778,679,3811,630,404,0293,369,225,9354,999,629,964 204058,902,311,2421,912,412,0533,873,133,8875,785,545,940 205070,503,872,5422,292,777,5564,615,597,8406,908,375,396 Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System, 2000- 2010 and 1999-2000, State Profile Report, 2012; Texas Education Agency, 2009-2010 and 1999-2000 Public Education Information Management System Budget Report, 2012; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 181st Legislature 2010, 2012, Sources and Uses of Funds Universities, Health-Related Institutions, Lamar State Colleges and Texas State Technical Colleges FY 2010, 2012. Education Expenditures (All Sources in $2010) for Total Public Elementary and Secondary Schools and Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration

91. Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes 2000-2010 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

92. Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000-2010 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario) YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges 2010-20-4.814.140.758.322.7 2020-30 -1.29.923.957.117.9 2030-400.610.528.626.919.8 2040-50 -4.38.430.645.022.9 2010-50 -9.550.1192.8357.9112.9 Public Universities 2010-20-5.113.641.158.517.9 2020-30 -2.38.424.961.917.3 2030-402.410.227.419.215.9 2040-50 -5.07.831.246.020.9 2010-50 -9.846.3194.6346.793.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010-20-5.013.840.858.420.4 2020-30 -1.89.224.360.017.6 2030-401.610.428.122.318.1 2040-50 -4.78.130.845.622.0 2010-50 -9.748.3193.4351.3104.0 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.

93. Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in Households, 2010 - 2050 Household Change: 127.6%

94. Per Capita Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

95. Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

96. Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

97. Aggregate Household Income (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

98. Aggregate Consumer Expenditures (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

99. Aggregate State Tax Revenues (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

100. Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in U. S. Households, 2010 - 2060

101. The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics. George Bernard Shaw

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