1. 2013 Texas SDC/BIDC Conference for Data Users May 22, 2013 Austin, Texas Texas Population, Characteristics, Trends, and Projections

2. Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,48324.293.916.09 197011,196,7301,617,05316.986.7413.26 198014,229,1913,032,46127.141.5858.42 199016,986,5102,757,31919.965.8534.15 200020,851,8203,865,31022.849.6550.35 201025,145,5614,293,74120.654.9445.06 201226,059,203 913,6423.652.0547.95 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2012 2

3. Total Estimated Population by County, 2012 3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 85% of population 92% of population growth (2011-2012)

4. Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010 4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Census Counts 79 counties lost population over the decade

5. Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to 2012 5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96 counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural decline

6. The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012 6 Percent Increase 1.Midland, Texas4.6 2.Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky.3.7 3.Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla.3.6 4.The Villages, Fla.3.4 5.Odessa, Texas3.4 6.Jacksonville, N.C.3.3 7.Austin-Round Rock, Texas3.0 8.Casper, Wyo.3.0 9.Columbus, Ga.-Ala.2.9 10.Manhattan, Kan.2.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

7. The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012 7 Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas80,005 2.Los Angeles, Calif.73,764 3.Maricopa, Ariz.73,644 4.Dallas, Texas45,827 5.San Diego, Calif.38,880 6.King, Wash.35,838 7.Travis, Texas34,381 8.Orange, Calif.34,017 9.Tarrant, Texas32,997 10.Clark, Nev.32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013

8. 8 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

9. 9

10. 10 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

11. 11 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

12. Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

13. 13 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

14. 14 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

15. 15 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

16. 16 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

17. 17 Projected Population Growth in Williamson County, Texas 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

18. 18 Projected Population Growth in Harris County, Texas 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

19. 19 Projected Population Growth in Donley County, Texas 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

20. Projected Racial and Ethnic Population (2000-2010 Scenario), Texas, 2010-2050 20 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

21. Projected Racial and Ethnic Population (.5 Scenario), Texas, 2010-2050 21 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections,.5 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

22. Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 22 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

23. Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 23 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

24. Texas Population Pyramid, 2010 24 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections,.5 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

25. Texas Population Pyramid (.5 Migration Scenario), 2050 25 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections,.5 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

26. Texas Population Pyramid (2000-2010 Migration Scenario), 2050 26 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections,.2000-2010 Migration Scenario

27. Counties and places averages of estimates – ratio-correlation (births, deaths, elementary school enrollment, vehicle and voter registration) – component-method II (births, deaths and elementary school enrollment) – housing-unit method 27

28. Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2011-2012 28 Source: Texas State Data Center 2013 Population Estimates

29. Discussion Race/ethnic allocation Age-Race/Ethnic-Sex Addition of Asian category Sub-county projections 29

30. Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 30