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Published byGarey Paul Modified over 9 years ago
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Agency theory: how asymmetric information affects economic behavior
Asymmetric Information in Finance Financial Structure Adverse selection: Before a transaction Lemons Problem Moral hazard: After the transaction Principal – Agent Problem Debtor & Risk Conflicts of Interest No Bank Left Behind
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The Trouble With Lending:
The Mantra: ...A healthy, vibrant economy requires a financial system that moves funds from people who save to people who have productive investment opportunities… The Trouble With Lending: Worst risks line up first Borrowers won’t do what they “promised” The Trouble With Buying a Share: If it’s such a good deal, why offer it to me? Management might ripoff, not share with shareholders So how can a financial system “move funds” from savers to entrepreneurs?
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Financing business: Eight Facts
Stocks are not most important source of external financing Issuing marketable securities (debt and equity) not the main way businesses finance operations Indirect finance is much more important than direct finance Financial intermediaries the most important source of external funds The financial system is (supposed to be) heavily regulated Only large, well-established corporations have (had) easy access to securities markets to finance their activities need reputation and net worth Debt contracts: trust … but collateral Debt contracts: trust … but restrictive covenants
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Why Intermediaries? … Transaction Costs
Economies of scale Expertise: information specialists to handle adverse selection and moral hazard problems What went wrong? … Perverse incentives Asymmetric Information Problems Adverse selection before a transaction “Lemons problem” Moral hazard after the transaction Managers and principal - agent problem Debt & risky behavior…insurance & risky behavior Conflicts of interest
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Countering Adverse Selection
Private production and sale of information Free-rider problem Perverse incentives: who pays Moody’s? Government regulation to increase information Regulatory capture…the revolving door Financial intermediation: information specialists?!? Collateral and net worth…skin in the game Countering Moral Hazard: Principal - Agent Align manager incentives with owners’ Stock/stock options/bonuses/bonus claw-backs Monitor venture capital firms Avoid being owner: debt not equity
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Moral Hazard in Debt Markets
Borrowers have incentives to take on risk Heads they win Tails you lose Countering Moral Hazard in Debt Contracts Net worth and collateral…skin in the game Incentive compatible … loss is borrower’s, not lenders Enforce Restrictive Covenants Keep collateral valuable Provide information
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Incentives leading to the subprime-triggered crisis
The Players Homebuyer…live free…or default Appraiser…fee Mortgage broker…commission Originate and sell Securitizer: Investment banks/commercial banks Fees, bonuses Moving, not storage Ratings agency…fee “Investors”/GSEs…return Government role Regulation/supervision Deposit insurance Lender of last resort TBTF…Too Interconnected to Fail
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Economies of Scope and Conflicts of Interest
Underwriting and Research in (what was) Investment Banking Investment bank research used to underwrite securities serves sellers and buyers of the securities at same time …do not make negative or controversial comments about clients Jack Klugman/Citi dotcom research/pre-school recommendations Spinning: investment bank can allocate hot, underpriced, IPOs to executives of other companies in return for their companies’ future business Auditing and Consulting in Accounting Firms INCEST Auditors may skew opinions to get consulting business May audit information systems or tax and financial plans put in place by their consulting counterparts May provide an overly favorable audit to retain business Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002: SEC Oversight/CPA independence Audit committee independence/CEO-CFO signoff/… Global Legal Settlement of 2002: Separate research & underwriting
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Chapter 8 Questions Would the lemons problem be more severe for stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange, where only large-cap(italization) companies are listed, or stocks traded over-the-counter? Hint: Bernie Madoff once headed NASDAQ Which firms are most likely to use bank financing rather than issue bonds or stocks to finance their activities? Why? How does the free-rider problem aggravate adverse selection and moral hazard problems in financial markets? Why can the provision of several types of financial services by one firm lead to lower costs of information production? Why can the provision of several types of financial services by one firm lead to conflicts of interest?
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