1. 1 1 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Chapter 13 Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance nAn Introduction to Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance and Analysis of Variance nAnalysis of Variance and the Completely Randomized Design the Completely Randomized Design nMultiple Comparison Procedures

2. 2 2 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nStatistical studies can be classified as being either experimental or observational. nIn an experimental study, one or more factors are controlled so that data can be obtained about how the factors influence the variables of interest. nIn an observational study, no attempt is made to control the factors. nCause-and-effect relationships are easier to establish in experimental studies than in observational studies. An Introduction to Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance nAnalysis of variance (ANOVA) can be used to analyze the data obtained from experimental or observational studies.

3. 3 3 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. An Introduction to Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance nIn this chapter three types of experimental designs are introduced. a completely randomized design a completely randomized design a randomized block design a randomized block design a factorial experiment a factorial experiment

4. 4 4 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. An Introduction to Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance nA factor is a variable that the experimenter has selected for investigation. nA treatment is a level of a factor. nExperimental units are the objects of interest in the experiment. nA completely randomized design is an experimental design in which the treatments are randomly assigned to the experimental units.

5. 5 5 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Analysis of Variance: A Conceptual Overview Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) can be used to test Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) can be used to test for the equality of three or more population means. for the equality of three or more population means. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) can be used to test Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) can be used to test for the equality of three or more population means. for the equality of three or more population means. Data obtained from observational or experimental Data obtained from observational or experimental studies can be used for the analysis. studies can be used for the analysis. Data obtained from observational or experimental Data obtained from observational or experimental studies can be used for the analysis. studies can be used for the analysis. We want to use the sample results to test the We want to use the sample results to test the following hypotheses: following hypotheses: We want to use the sample results to test the We want to use the sample results to test the following hypotheses: following hypotheses: H 0 :  1  =  2  =  3  = ... =  k H a : Not all population means are equal

6. 6 6 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. H 0 :  1  =  2  =  3  = ... =  k H a : Not all population means are equal If H 0 is rejected, we cannot conclude that all If H 0 is rejected, we cannot conclude that all population means are different. population means are different. If H 0 is rejected, we cannot conclude that all If H 0 is rejected, we cannot conclude that all population means are different. population means are different. Rejecting H 0 means that at least two population Rejecting H 0 means that at least two population means have different values. means have different values. Rejecting H 0 means that at least two population Rejecting H 0 means that at least two population means have different values. means have different values. Analysis of Variance: A Conceptual Overview

7. 7 7 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. For each population, the response (dependent) For each population, the response (dependent) variable is normally distributed. variable is normally distributed. For each population, the response (dependent) For each population, the response (dependent) variable is normally distributed. variable is normally distributed. The variance of the response variable, denoted  2, The variance of the response variable, denoted  2, is the same for all of the populations. is the same for all of the populations. The variance of the response variable, denoted  2, The variance of the response variable, denoted  2, is the same for all of the populations. is the same for all of the populations. The observations must be independent. The observations must be independent. nAssumptions for Analysis of Variance Analysis of Variance: A Conceptual Overview

8. 8 8 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nSampling Distribution of Given H 0 is True   Sample means are close together because there is only because there is only one sampling distribution one sampling distribution when H 0 is true. when H 0 is true. Analysis of Variance: A Conceptual Overview

9. 9 9 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nSampling Distribution of Given H 0 is False 33 33 11 11 22 22 Sample means come from different sampling distributions and are not as close together when H 0 is false. when H 0 is false. Analysis of Variance: A Conceptual Overview

10. 10 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Analysis of Variance and the Completely Randomized Design nBetween-Treatments Estimate of Population Variance nWithin-Treatments Estimate of Population Variance nComparing the Variance Estimates: The F Test nANOVA Table

11. 11 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Between-Treatments Estimate of Population Variance  2 Denominator is the degrees of freedom associated with SSTR Denominator is the degrees of freedom associated with SSTR Numerator is called the sum of squares due to treatments (SSTR) Numerator is called the sum of squares due to treatments (SSTR) The estimate of  2 based on the variation of the The estimate of  2 based on the variation of the sample means is called the mean square due to sample means is called the mean square due to treatments and is denoted by MSTR. treatments and is denoted by MSTR.

12. 12 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The estimate of  2 based on the variation of the The estimate of  2 based on the variation of the sample observations within each sample is called the sample observations within each sample is called the mean square error and is denoted by MSE. mean square error and is denoted by MSE. Within-Treatments Estimate of Population Variance  2 Denominator is the degrees of freedom associated with SSE Denominator is the degrees of freedom associated with SSE Numerator is called the sum of squares due to error (SSE) Numerator is called the sum of squares due to error (SSE)

13. 13 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Comparing the Variance Estimates: The F Test If the null hypothesis is true and the ANOVA If the null hypothesis is true and the ANOVA assumptions are valid, the sampling distribution of assumptions are valid, the sampling distribution of MSTR/MSE is an F distribution with MSTR d.f. MSTR/MSE is an F distribution with MSTR d.f. equal to k - 1 and MSE d.f. equal to n T - k. equal to k - 1 and MSE d.f. equal to n T - k. If the means of the k populations are not equal, the If the means of the k populations are not equal, the value of MSTR/MSE will be inflated because MSTR value of MSTR/MSE will be inflated because MSTR overestimates  2. overestimates  2. Hence, we will reject H 0 if the resulting value of Hence, we will reject H 0 if the resulting value of MSTR/MSE appears to be too large to have been MSTR/MSE appears to be too large to have been selected at random from the appropriate F selected at random from the appropriate F distribution. distribution.

14. 14 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nSampling Distribution of MSTR/MSE Do Not Reject H 0 Reject H 0 MSTR/MSE Critical Value FF FF Sampling Distribution of MSTR/MSE  Comparing the Variance Estimates: The F Test

15. 15 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquare F Treatments Error Total k - 1 n T - 1 SSTR SSE SST n T - k SST is partitioned into SSTR and SSE. SST is partitioned into SSTR and SSE. SST’s degrees of freedom (d.f.) are partitioned into SSTR’s d.f. and SSE’s d.f. SST’s degrees of freedom (d.f.) are partitioned into SSTR’s d.f. and SSE’s d.f. ANOVA Table for a Completely Randomized Design p - Value

16. 16 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. SST divided by its degrees of freedom n T – 1 is the SST divided by its degrees of freedom n T – 1 is the overall sample variance that would be obtained if we overall sample variance that would be obtained if we treated the entire set of observations as one data set. treated the entire set of observations as one data set. SST divided by its degrees of freedom n T – 1 is the SST divided by its degrees of freedom n T – 1 is the overall sample variance that would be obtained if we overall sample variance that would be obtained if we treated the entire set of observations as one data set. treated the entire set of observations as one data set. With the entire data set as one sample, the formula With the entire data set as one sample, the formula for computing the total sum of squares, SST, is: for computing the total sum of squares, SST, is: With the entire data set as one sample, the formula With the entire data set as one sample, the formula for computing the total sum of squares, SST, is: for computing the total sum of squares, SST, is: ANOVA Table for a Completely Randomized Design

17. 17 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. ANOVA can be viewed as the process of partitioning ANOVA can be viewed as the process of partitioning the total sum of squares and the degrees of freedom the total sum of squares and the degrees of freedom into their corresponding sources: treatments and error. into their corresponding sources: treatments and error. ANOVA can be viewed as the process of partitioning ANOVA can be viewed as the process of partitioning the total sum of squares and the degrees of freedom the total sum of squares and the degrees of freedom into their corresponding sources: treatments and error. into their corresponding sources: treatments and error. Dividing the sum of squares by the appropriate Dividing the sum of squares by the appropriate degrees of freedom provides the variance estimates degrees of freedom provides the variance estimates and the F value used to test the hypothesis of equal and the F value used to test the hypothesis of equal population means. population means. Dividing the sum of squares by the appropriate Dividing the sum of squares by the appropriate degrees of freedom provides the variance estimates degrees of freedom provides the variance estimates and the F value used to test the hypothesis of equal and the F value used to test the hypothesis of equal population means. population means. ANOVA Table for a Completely Randomized Design

18. 18 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test for the Equality of k Population Means F = MSTR/MSE H 0 :  1  =  2  =  3  = ... =  k  H a : Not all population means are equal nHypotheses nTest Statistic

19. 19 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test for the Equality of k Population Means nRejection Rule where the value of F  is based on an F distribution with k - 1 numerator d.f. and n T - k denominator d.f. Reject H 0 if p -value <  p -value Approach: Critical Value Approach: Reject H 0 if F > F 

20. 20 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. AutoShine, Inc. is considering marketing a long- AutoShine, Inc. is considering marketing a long- lasting car wax. Three different waxes (Type 1, Type 2, and Type 3) have been developed. n Example: AutoShine, Inc. In order to test the durability of these waxes, 5 new In order to test the durability of these waxes, 5 new cars were waxed with Type 1, 5 with Type 2, and 5 with Type 3. Each car was then repeatedly run through an automatic carwash until the wax coating showed signs of deterioration. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design

21. 21 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The number of times each car went through the The number of times each car went through the carwash before its wax deteriorated is shown on the next slide. AutoShine, Inc. must decide which wax to market. Are the three waxes equally effective? n Example: AutoShine, Inc. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design Factor... Car wax Treatments... Type I, Type 2, Type 3 Experimental units... Cars Response variable... Number of washes

22. 22 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 12345273029283133283130302928303231 Sample Mean Sample Variance Observation Wax Type 1 Wax Type 2 Wax Type 3 2.5 3.3 2.5 2.5 3.3 2.5 29.0 30.4 30.0 Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design

23. 23 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nHypotheses where:  1 = mean number of washes using Type 1 wax  2 = mean number of washes using Type 2 wax  3 = mean number of washes using Type 3 wax H 0 :  1  =  2  =  3  H a : Not all the means are equal Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design

24. 24 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Because the sample sizes are all equal: Because the sample sizes are all equal: MSE = 33.2/(15 - 3) = 2.77 MSTR = 5.2/(3 - 1) = 2.6 SSE = 4(2.5) + 4(3.3) + 4(2.5) = 33.2 SSTR = 5(29–29.8) 2 + 5(30.4–29.8) 2 + 5(30–29.8) 2 = 5.2 nMean Square Error nMean Square Between Treatments = (29 + 30.4 + 30)/3 = 29.8 Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design

25. 25 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nRejection Rule where F.05 = 3.89 is based on an F distribution with 2 numerator degrees of freedom and 12 denominator degrees of freedom p -Value Approach: Reject H 0 if p -value <.05 Critical Value Approach: Reject H 0 if F > 3.89 Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design

26. 26 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nTest Statistic There is insufficient evidence to conclude that There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean number of washes for the three wax the mean number of washes for the three wax types are not all the same. types are not all the same. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean number of washes for the three wax the mean number of washes for the three wax types are not all the same. types are not all the same. nConclusion F = MSTR/MSE = 2.60/2.77 =.939 The p -value is greater than.10, where F = 2.81. (Excel provides a p -value of.42.) (Excel provides a p -value of.42.) Therefore, we cannot reject H 0. Therefore, we cannot reject H 0. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design

27. 27 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquares F Treatments Error Total 2 14 5.2 33.2 38.4 12 2.60 2.77.939 nANOVA Table Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: A Completely Randomized Design p -Value.42

28. 28 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nExample: Reed Manufacturing Janet Reed would like to know if there is any Janet Reed would like to know if there is any significant difference in the mean number of hours worked per week for the department managers at her three manufacturing plants (in Buffalo, Pittsburgh, and Detroit). An F test will be conducted using  =.05. An F test will be conducted using  =.05. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

29. 29 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nExample: Reed Manufacturing A simple random sample of five managers from A simple random sample of five managers from each of the three plants was taken and the number of hours worked by each manager in the previous week is shown on the next slide. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study Factor... Manufacturing plant Treatments... Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Detroit Experimental units... Managers Response variable... Number of hours worked

30. 30 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 1 2 3 4 5 48 54 57 54 62 73 63 66 64 74 51 63 61 54 56 Plant 1 Buffalo Plant 2 Pittsburgh Plant 3 Detroit Observation Sample Mean Sample Variance 55 68 57 26.0 26.5 24.5 Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

31. 31 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. H 0 :  1  =  2  =  3  H a : Not all the means are equal where:  1 = mean number of hours worked per week by the managers at Plant 1 week by the managers at Plant 1  2 = mean number of hours worked per  2 = mean number of hours worked per week by the managers at Plant 2 week by the managers at Plant 2  3 = mean number of hours worked per week by the managers at Plant 3 week by the managers at Plant 3 1. Develop the hypotheses. p -Value and Critical Value Approaches p -Value and Critical Value Approaches Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

32. 32 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 2. Specify the level of significance.  =.05 p -Value and Critical Value Approaches p -Value and Critical Value Approaches 3. Compute the value of the test statistic. MSTR = 490/(3 - 1) = 245 SSTR = 5(55 - 60) 2 + 5(68 - 60) 2 + 5(57 - 60) 2 = 490 = (55 + 68 + 57)/3 = 60 (Sample sizes are all equal.) Mean Square Due to Treatments Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

33. 33 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 3. Compute the value of the test statistic. MSE = 308/(15 - 3) = 25.667 SSE = 4(26.0) + 4(26.5) + 4(24.5) = 308 Mean Square Due to Error (con’t.) F = MSTR/MSE = 245/25.667 = 9.55 p -Value and Critical Value Approaches p -Value and Critical Value Approaches Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

34. 34 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Treatment Error Total 490 308 798 2 12 14 245 25.667 Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquare 9.55 F ANOVA Table ANOVA Table Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study p -Value.0033

35. 35 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 5. Determine whether to reject H 0. We have sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean number of hours worked per week by department managers is not the same at all 3 plant. The p -value <.05, so we reject H 0. With 2 numerator d.f. and 12 denominator d.f., the p -value is.01 for F = 6.93. Therefore, the p -value is less than.01 for F = 9.55. p –Value Approach p –Value Approach 4. Compute the p –value. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

36. 36 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 5. Determine whether to reject H 0. Because F = 9.55 > 3.89, we reject H 0. Critical Value Approach Critical Value Approach 4. Determine the critical value and rejection rule. Reject H 0 if F > 3.89 We have sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean number of hours worked per week by department managers is not the same at all 3 plant. Based on an F distribution with 2 numerator d.f. and 12 denominator d.f., F.05 = 3.89. Testing for the Equality of k Population Means: An Observational Study

37. 37 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Multiple Comparison Procedures nSuppose that analysis of variance has provided statistical evidence to reject the null hypothesis of equal population means. nFisher’s least significant difference (LSD) procedure can be used to determine where the differences occur.

38. 38 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nTest Statistic Fisher’s LSD Procedure Based on the Test Statistic x i - x j __ where Reject H 0 if > LSD nHypotheses nRejection Rule

39. 39 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Fisher’s LSD Procedure Based on the Test Statistic x i - x j nExample: Reed Manufacturing Recall that Janet Reed wants to know if there is any Recall that Janet Reed wants to know if there is any significant difference in the mean number of hours worked per week for the department managers at her three manufacturing plants. Analysis of variance has provided statistical Analysis of variance has provided statistical evidence to reject the null hypothesis of equal population means. Fisher’s least significant difference (LSD) procedure can be used to determine where the differences occur.

40. 40 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. For  =.05 and n T - k = 15 – 3 = 12 degrees of freedom, t. 025 = 2.179 degrees of freedom, t. 025 = 2.179 MSE value was computed earlier MSE value was computed earlier Fisher’s LSD Procedure Based on the Test Statistic x i - x j

41. 41 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nLSD for Plants 1 and 2 Fisher’s LSD Procedure Based on the Test Statistic x i - x j Conclusion Conclusion Test Statistic Test Statistic = |55  68| = 13 Reject H 0 if > 6.98 Rejection Rule Rejection Rule Hypotheses (A) Hypotheses (A) The mean number of hours worked at Plant 1 is The mean number of hours worked at Plant 1 is not equal to the mean number worked at Plant 2.

42. 42 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nLSD for Plants 1 and 3 Fisher’s LSD Procedure Based on the Test Statistic x i - x j Conclusion Conclusion Test Statistic Test Statistic = |55  57| = 2 Reject H 0 if > 6.98 Rejection Rule Rejection Rule Hypotheses (B) Hypotheses (B) There is no significant difference between the mean There is no significant difference between the mean number of hours worked at Plant 1 and the mean number of hours worked at Plant 1 and the mean number of hours worked at Plant 3. number of hours worked at Plant 3.

43. 43 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nLSD for Plants 2 and 3 Fisher’s LSD Procedure Based on the Test Statistic x i - x j Conclusion Conclusion Test Statistic Test Statistic = |68  57| = 11 Reject H 0 if > 6.98 Rejection Rule Rejection Rule Hypotheses (C) Hypotheses (C) The mean number of hours worked at Plant 2 is The mean number of hours worked at Plant 2 is not equal to the mean number worked at Plant 3. not equal to the mean number worked at Plant 3.

44. 44 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. nThe experiment-wise Type I error rate gets larger for problems with more populations (larger k ). Type I Error Rates  EW = 1 – (1 –  ) ( k – 1)! The comparison-wise Type I error rate  indicates the level of significance associated with a single pairwise comparison. The comparison-wise Type I error rate  indicates the level of significance associated with a single pairwise comparison. The experiment-wise Type I error rate  EW is the probability of making a Type I error on at least one of the ( k – 1)! pairwise comparisons. The experiment-wise Type I error rate  EW is the probability of making a Type I error on at least one of the ( k – 1)! pairwise comparisons.

45. 45 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Experimental units are the objects of interest in the experiment. n A completely randomized design is an experimental design in which the treatments are randomly assigned to the experimental units. n If the experimental units are heterogeneous, blocking can be used to form homogeneous groups, resulting in a randomized block design. Randomized Block Design

46. 46 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. For a randomized block design the sum of squares total (SST) is partitioned into three groups: sum of squares due to treatments, sum of squares due to blocks, and sum of squares due to error. For a randomized block design the sum of squares total (SST) is partitioned into three groups: sum of squares due to treatments, sum of squares due to blocks, and sum of squares due to error. n ANOVA Procedure Randomized Block Design SST = SSTR + SSBL + SSE The total degrees of freedom, n T - 1, are partitioned such that k - 1 degrees of freedom go to treatments, b - 1 go to blocks, and ( k - 1)( b - 1) go to the error term. The total degrees of freedom, n T - 1, are partitioned such that k - 1 degrees of freedom go to treatments, b - 1 go to blocks, and ( k - 1)( b - 1) go to the error term.

47. 47 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquare F Treatments Error Total k - 1 n T - 1 SSTR SSE SST Randomized Block Design n ANOVA Table BlocksSSBL b - 1 ( k – 1)( b – 1) p - Value

48. 48 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Randomized Block Design n Example: Crescent Oil Co. Crescent Oil has developed three new blends of Crescent Oil has developed three new blends of gasoline and must decide which blend or blends to produce and distribute. A study of the miles per gallon ratings of the three blends is being conducted to determine if the mean ratings are the same for the three blends.

49. 49 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Randomized Block Design n Example: Crescent Oil Co. Five automobiles have been tested using each of Five automobiles have been tested using each of the three gasoline blends and the miles per gallon ratings are shown on the next slide. Factor... Gasoline blend Treatments... Blend X, Blend Y, Blend Z Blocks... Automobiles Response variable... Miles per gallon

50. 50 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Randomized Block Design 29.8 28.8 28.4 TreatmentMeans 12345 31302933263029293125302928292630.33329.33328.66731.00025.667 Type of Gasoline (Treatment) BlockMeans Blend X Blend Y Blend Z Automobile(Block)

51. 51 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Mean Square Due to Error Randomized Block Design MSE = 5.47/[(3 - 1)(5 - 1)] =.68 SSE = 62 - 5.2 - 51.33 = 5.47 MSBL = 51.33/(5 - 1) = 12.8 SSBL = 3[(30.333 - 29) 2 +... + (25.667 - 29) 2 ] = 51.33 MSTR = 5.2/(3 - 1) = 2.6 SSTR = 5[(29.8 - 29) 2 + (28.8 - 29) 2 + (28.4 - 29) 2 ] = 5.2 The overall sample mean is 29. Thus, n Mean Square Due to Treatments n Mean Square Due to Blocks

52. 52 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquare F Treatments Error Total 2 14 5.20 5.47 62.00 8 2.60.68 3.82 n ANOVA Table Randomized Block Design Blocks51.3312.804 p -Value.07

53. 53 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Rejection Rule Randomized Block Design For  =.05, F.05 = 4.46 For  =.05, F.05 = 4.46 (2 d.f. numerator and 8 d.f. denominator) (2 d.f. numerator and 8 d.f. denominator) p -Value Approach: Reject H 0 if p -value <.05 Critical Value Approach: Reject H 0 if F > 4.46

54. 54 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Conclusion Randomized Block Design There is insufficient evidence to conclude that There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the miles per gallon ratings differ for the three gasoline blends. The p -value is greater than.05 (where F = 4.46) and less than.10 (where F = 3.11). (Excel provides a p -value of.07). Therefore, we cannot reject H 0. The p -value is greater than.05 (where F = 4.46) and less than.10 (where F = 3.11). (Excel provides a p -value of.07). Therefore, we cannot reject H 0. F = MSTR/MSE = 2.6/.68 = 3.82 n Test Statistic

55. 55 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Factorial Experiment n In some experiments we want to draw conclusions about more than one variable or factor. n Factorial experiments and their corresponding ANOVA computations are valuable designs when simultaneous conclusions about two or more factors are required. n For example, for a levels of factor A and b levels of factor B, the experiment will involve collecting data on ab treatment combinations. n The term factorial is used because the experimental conditions include all possible combinations of the factors.

56. 56 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The ANOVA procedure for the two-factor factorial experiment is similar to the completely randomized experiment and the randomized block experiment. The ANOVA procedure for the two-factor factorial experiment is similar to the completely randomized experiment and the randomized block experiment. n ANOVA Procedure SST = SSA + SSB + SSAB + SSE The total degrees of freedom, n T - 1, are partitioned such that ( a – 1) d.f go to Factor A, ( b – 1) d.f go to Factor B, ( a – 1)( b – 1) d.f. go to Interaction, and ab ( r – 1) go to Error. The total degrees of freedom, n T - 1, are partitioned such that ( a – 1) d.f go to Factor A, ( b – 1) d.f go to Factor B, ( a – 1)( b – 1) d.f. go to Interaction, and ab ( r – 1) go to Error. Two-Factor Factorial Experiment We again partition the sum of squares total (SST) into its sources. We again partition the sum of squares total (SST) into its sources.

57. 57 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquare F Factor A Error Total a - 1 n T - 1 SSA SSE SST Factor B SSB b - 1 ab ( r – 1) Two-Factor Factorial Experiment Interaction SSAB ( a – 1)( b – 1) p - Value

58. 58 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Step 3 Compute the sum of squares for factor B Two-Factor Factorial Experiment n Step 1 Compute the total sum of squares n Step 2 Compute the sum of squares for factor A

59. 59 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Step 4 Compute the sum of squares for interaction Two-Factor Factorial Experiment SSE = SST – SSA – SSB - SSAB n Step 5 Compute the sum of squares due to error

60. 60 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. A survey was conducted of hourly wages for a A survey was conducted of hourly wages for a sample of workers in two industries at three locations in Ohio. Part of the purpose of the survey was to determine if differences exist in both industry type and location. The sample data are shown on the next slide. n Example: State of Ohio Wage Survey Two-Factor Factorial Experiment

61. 61 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Example: State of Ohio Wage Survey Two-Factor Factorial Experiment IndustryCincinnatiClevelandColumbusI$12.10$11.80$12.90 I 11.80 11.80 11.20 11.20 12.70 12.70 I 12.10 12.10 12.00 12.00 12.20 12.20 II 12.40 12.40 12.60 12.60 13.00 13.00 II 12.50 12.50 12.00 12.00 12.10 12.10 II 12.00 12.00 12.50 12.50 12.70 12.70

62. 62 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Factors Two-Factor Factorial Experiment Each experimental condition is repeated 3 times Each experimental condition is repeated 3 times Factor B: Location (3 levels) Factor B: Location (3 levels) Factor A: Industry Type (2 levels) Factor A: Industry Type (2 levels) n Replications

63. 63 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom MeanSquare F Factor A Error Total 1 17.50 1.43 3.42 12.50.12 4.19 n ANOVA Table Factor B 1.12.562 Two-Factor Factorial Experiment Interaction.37.192 4.69 1.55 p -Value.06.03.25

64. 64 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Conclusions Using the Critical Value Approach Two-Factor Factorial Experiment Interaction is not significant. Interaction: F = 1.55 < F  = 3.89 Interaction: F = 1.55 < F  = 3.89 Mean wages differ by location. Locations: F = 4.69 > F  = 3.89 Locations: F = 4.69 > F  = 3.89 Mean wages do not differ by industry type. Industries: F = 4.19 < F  = 4.75 Industries: F = 4.19 < F  = 4.75

65. 65 Slide © 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. n Conclusions Using the p -Value Approach Two-Factor Factorial Experiment Interaction is not significant. Interaction: p -value =.25 >  =.05 Interaction: p -value =.25 >  =.05 Mean wages differ by location. Locations: p -value =.03 <  =.05 Locations: p -value =.03 <  =.05 Mean wages do not differ by industry type. Industries: p -value =.06 >  =.05 Industries: p -value =.06 >  =.05