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CAN RESIDENTIAL RECYCLING WORK IN THE U.S.? Bill Caesar, CEO WCA
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The problems with residential recycling today Commodity prices Contamination Processing costs Commercial terms 2
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The problems with residential recycling today Commodity prices Contamination Processing costs Commercial terms 3 2011*2014*Change OCC $ 153 $ 101-34.1% ONP $ 133 $ 66-50.8% MXP $ 110 $ 54-50.8% UBC $ 1,602 $ 1,506-6.0% Steel $ 276 $ 191-30.8% HDPEn $ 678 $ 89732.4% HDPEc $ 492 $ 57116.2% PET $ 645 $ 343-46.8% *Commodity prices are the average price for the year
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The problems with residential recycling today Commodity prices Contamination Processing costs Commercial terms 4 Sources of contamination Single stream – trade-off between volume, collection efficiencies, and contamination “New” recycling areas “Monstrous hybrids” Glass
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The problems with residential recycling today Commodity prices Contamination Processing costs Commercial terms 5 Poor processing yield (and cost to dispose of residue) Shortage of experienced managers Hard to find competent (and legal) labor Limited equipment innovation
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The problems with residential recycling today Commodity prices Contamination Processing costs Commercial terms 6 Haulers use recycling as a “loss leader” on muni contracts Munis demand outrageous terms (and we agree...) ̵ Fixed/floor pricing (above zero) ̵ Unlimited contamination ̵ No cost for glass in blend value
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Residential SS MRF Economics – not so attractive Processing Economics Single-stream “on the tip floor at the MRF” Processing cost Disposal (10% trash) SG&A Total Costs Commodity sale Inclusive of “claims” Inclusive of glass @ -25/ton EBITDA 7 Investment Economics Land (lease) Building (buy) Processing equipment and balers* Yellow iron All-in ~$12 million $ 0/ton $60/ton $ 5/ton $85/ton $ 5/ton $70/ton $15/ton sold For a ~10K ton/month MRF, the payback is ~7.5 years with current prices/costs *30-40 TPH system with two balers $50/ton T&D for disposal; 30% glass by inbound volume 2x10 hour shifts, 6 days, 80% uptime Depreciation of $7M over 10 years = $60K/month ($135K/month)
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What has to change to make recycling sustainable? Recyclers have to earn a reasonable return over a business cycle How? Manage the things they have control over: Price inbound material properly Manage contamination Improve operating efficiencies Hope for strong commodity markets... 8 Prerequisites Communities have to want to recycle (and “recycle right”) – regulation? Communities have to be willing to pay for it Global demand for commodities Technical innovation
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