1. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation– North Carolina The NC Race to the Top Evaluation: An Update February 14, 2013 Jessica Anderson, SERVE Center, UNCG Julie Marks, CIPP, UNC-CH Trip Stallings, Friday Institute, NCSU

2. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina NC Race to the Top Evaluation: 2013 Forward NC RttT is designed to be a “game changer” A coordinated set of innovative activities and policy reforms designed to collectively improve the performances of students, teachers, leaders, and schools Evaluation contributes to NC RttT “changing the game” in two ways: 1.Program Evaluation: Provide formative information on the implementation of NC RttT initiatives Inform decisions to improve implementation 2.Policy Evaluation: Assess – from the perspective of students, teachers, leaders, and schools – the improvements that have occurred as a result of NC RttT initiatives collectively and individually: Includes LEA-level outcomes for some initiatives Inform decisions about sustainability and impacts 2 Ending in 2013

3. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Focus of the Evaluation External evaluation provides objective analysis of the activities described in NC’s RttT grant proposal:  Implementation fidelity  Short-term outcomes  Collective/overall impact Even with the shift from formative to summative, however, this is still not an evaluation of specific teachers, leaders, or schools 3

4. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina NC Race to the Top Evaluation: Key Milestones in Year 2 Spring 2012: Completed 2 nd administration of the Teacher & Principal Survey (focus shifts to 365 sample schools instead of entire state); completed 3 reports (Comparison of Value-Added models; Regional Leadership Academy cost study; Year 1 STEM report) Summer 2012: Completed 3 reports (Local strategic staffing overview; Distinguished Leaders in Practice report; initial LEA expenditure report) 4

5. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina NC Race to the Top Evaluation: Key Milestones in Year 2 Fall 2012: Completed 4 reports (Technical follow-up to Value-Added report; initial North Carolina Teacher Corps & Teach for America report; Online professional development report; Year 2 STEM report); drafted an overall summary report of findings to date Winter 2012-13: Completed drafts of 7 reports (Year 2 statewide and Year 1 local professional development reports; Year 1 Regional Leadership Academies activities report; Year 1 New Teacher Support Program report; Year 2 District and School Transformation report; Year 1 Virtual Public Schools blended STEM courses report) 5

6. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina NC RttT Evaluation: Team Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation-NC (CERE-NC): SERVE Center, Carolina Institute for Public Policy, and Friday Institute Steering Committee: Gary Henry, Terri Shelton, & Glenn Kleiman Principal Investigator: Gary Henry Management Committee: Julie Marks, Jessica Anderson, and Trip Stallings Team Leaders: Teacher and Leader Effectiveness – Heather Higgens Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders – Trip Stallings Professional Development – Jeni Corn Turnaround of LEAs and Schools – Charles Thompson Local-Level Implementation and Spending – Nate Barrett Overall Impact – Gary Henry and Julie Marks Other Leadership Roles: LEA Coordinator – Lynn Amwake (camwake@serve.org; 336 574-8739);camwake@serve.org State Liaison - Trip Stallings (dtstalli@ncsu.edu; 919 513-8576)dtstalli@ncsu.edu 6

7. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina NC RttT Initiatives: Evaluation Organization 1.Teacher and leader effectiveness Integration of value-added student achievement measures into educator evaluation system 2.Equitable supply and distribution of teachers and leaders Teach for America, NC Teacher Corps, Regional Leadership Academies, Teacher Induction Program, Virtual Public School, Incentives 3.Professional development All professional development activities in support of RttT initiatives, including: PD for standards and assessment, IIS, and data use; and PD delivery capacity-building efforts 4.Turnaround of LEAs and schools Low-achieving LEAs and schools; STEM schools 5.Local-level implementation and spending on RttT Cloud computing, allocation of RttT funds, cost savings 6.Overall impact of RttT on students, teachers, and school leaders Cross-Initiative: Omnibus survey of teachers and principals 7

8. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org)http://cerenc.org Local Strategic Staffing – 18 LEAs developed full strategic staffing plans, and 55 others developed partial plans. Highlights: emergence of 2 nd -generation strategic staffing plans; potential for sustainability; diversity in strategic staffing approaches; and opportunities for idea-sharing across LEAs. Distinguished Leadership in Practice – In Year 1, DLP sessions were conducted for 194 principals (157 completed the program). Principal feedback and observation data indicate that face-to-face and online sessions were of high quality. Principal feedback and focus group data suggest that participants developed specific leadership knowledge and skills. 8

9. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org)http://cerenc.org Online Professional Development – Approximately half of the state’s educators completed at least one online module by the end of the 2011-12 school year. Overall, most participants agreed that the webinars and modules were relevant to their professional development needs, though some content was redundant with prior PD activities and not always content- or grade-specific, and some modules did not meet Learning Forward/NSDC standards. Most online modules were completed independently and not in PLCs. 9

10. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org)http://cerenc.org LEA Expenditures – Total RttT funds allocated to LEAs averages to $36 per pupil per year, though the range across LEAs is broad ($6- $218). Based on analyses of DSWs, LEAs plan to use the largest proportion of their RttT funds (49%) for technology, followed by professional development (21%) and strategic staffing (15%). In terms of planned activities, LEAs plan to prioritize RttT funds for professional development (43%) followed by technology (24%) and strategic staffing (20%). Value-Added Models – Evaluation of nine commonly-used teacher value-added models suggests that, while none of the models performs sufficiently well for high-stakes purposes on its own, four models (a three-level hierarchical linear model with one year of pretest scores, a three-level hierarchical linear model with two years of pretest scores, EVAAS, and a student fixed effects model) are sufficient for lower-stakes purposes. 10

11. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org)http://cerenc.org NC Teacher Corps & TFA – NCTC recruitment yielded 441 candidates, of whom 34 were selected (29 remain in the program; 22 have teaching jobs). TFA placed 157 corps members in 2011-12, and 219 in 2012- 13—many in teaching “pods” of 3 or more. Almost 90% of TFA corps members complete two-year commitments. STEM Affinity Network: Second-Year Report – Anchor schools have improved instruction and implemented STEM features (such as project-based learning and partnering for improvement of student learning) internally. Structures for networking, PD, curriculum development, and partnerships are in place to support affinity schools, though some of these activities have been delayed. There is not yet universal buy-in among anchor school staff, but many report improved instruction and implementation of STEM strategies. Students in anchor schools enjoy personalized attention and exhibit high motivation, engagement, and a passion for learning. 11

12. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Omnibus Teacher and Leader Survey Administered to probability sample of 365 schools across the state – a selection of schools that is reflective of the state as a whole Assesses “Instructional Climate”  23 dimensions on leadership and organizational conditions affecting instruction Baseline and Second Round Surveys completed – Fall 2011, Spring 2012 Next administration in progress soon (launches February 2013) and again in 2014 (last administration) 12

13. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina School-Level Activities Reports: https://s3.amazonaws.com/evaluation.tool s/evaluationdb/index.html https://s3.amazonaws.com/evaluation.tool s/evaluationdb/index.html 13

14. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Jess Anderson. SERVE Center, UNCG janderson@serve.org; (336) 543-6185 Julie Marks, CIPP, UNCCH jtmarks@email.unc.edu; (919) 962-7422 Trip Stallings, Friday Institute, NCSU dtstalli@ncsu.edu; (919) 513-8576 janderson@serve.org jtmarks@email.unc.edu dtstalli@ncsu.edu 14

15. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 1. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness Purpose of this Evaluation Project To ensure quality, consistency, and fairness of new and ongoing teacher and principal evaluation processes through examination of validity and reliability across multiple observational perspectives To examine educators’ perspectives on new evaluation standards and the effect of these standards on educators’ practices 15

16. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 1. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness Evaluation Questions Have valid and reliable measures of student growth been identified for inclusion in the teacher and administrator/principal evaluation process? Does the revised evaluation process allow for/make meaningful distinctions between teachers’ and administrators’ effective and ineffective performance? How do educators view the implementation/rollout of the evaluation process? Does the new evaluation process change educators’ attitudes? Does it change educators’ practices? Do performance incentives for teachers in low-performing schools have positive effects on student and teacher outcomes? 16

17. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 1. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness Evaluation Approaches Data sources: existing scholarship; quantitative data (including longitudinal DPI data and survey data collected from principals, teachers, and students); and qualitative data (including teacher and principal interviews, focus group data, and observations of teachers). Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery A. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness: Evaluation Preliminary Report: Reliability analysis of multiple VA models2/2012 Report: Preliminary evaluation of contractor's proposed approach to measuring educator impact on student achievement (based on existing data) 10/2012 Final Report: Evaluation of new EES elements and their implementation9/2014 B. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness: Incentives Report: School-level bonuses8/2013 Report: School-level and individual teacher bonuses6/2014 Final Report: Summative evaluation9/2014 17

18. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Purpose of this Evaluation Project To provide both summative and formative information about RttT efforts to increase the overall supply and to ensure the equitable distribution of effective educators statewide Evaluation Strands Baseline Regional Leadership Academies NCTC & TFA Expansion Strategic Staffing New Teacher Induction NCVPS Blended STEM Courses 18 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders

19. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Overall Evaluation Questions What is the nature and quality of the experiences provided by each of the initiative programs? Are students affected by each of these programs better off than students in schools and districts not served by these programs? Are these initiatives cost-effective and sustainable? To what extent did the initiatives further the goal of having an effective teacher in every classroom and an effective principal in every school? 19 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders

20. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Evaluation Approaches: Not just.... Observations Focus Groups Surveys Interviews Artifact Review Quant Analyses Accounting Data Baseline X RLAsX NCTC/TFAX Strategic StaffingX InductionX NCVPSX 20 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders

21. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Evaluation Approaches: Also... Observations Focus Groups Surveys Interviews Artifact Review Quant Analyses Accounting Data Baseline X RLAsXXXXXXX NCTC/TFAXXXX XX Strategic Staffing X XXXX InductionXXX X NCVPSXXXXXXX 21 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders

22. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery (I) A. Evaluation of overall changes in distribution of higher-quality & effective teachers & leaders Develop baseline estimates of the distribution of higher-quality teachers and school leaders, revised from initial RttT proposal estimates. 4/2013 Develop estimates of changes and trends in the distribution of higher- quality teachers and school leaders. 6/2014 B. Evaluation of Regional Leadership Academies Cost-effectiveness analyses2/2012 Final 2012 activity report2/2013 Final 2013 activity report2/2014 Final Report9/2014 C. Evaluation of TFA Expansion & NC Teacher Corps (NCTC) Report: Characteristics and placement of TFA and NCTC candidates10/2012 Interim Report: NCTC impact on teacher retention9/2013 Final Report: Impact, qualitative assessment, and policy recommendations9/2014 22 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders

23. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery (II) D. Evaluation of Induction Program for Novice Teachers Preliminary report/briefing on 1 st year implementation2/2013 Report: Impact and implementation of the 1 st year of the 2-year cycle 7/2013 Final Report: Program effectiveness, implementation, and sustainability10/2014 E. Evaluation of Strategic Staffing Efforts Report: Local SS plan and implementation review 9/2012 Report: State SS Y1 & Y2 review 9/2013 Final Report: Summative evaluation of local and state SS 9/2014 F. Evaluation of NCVPS Blended Courses Initial Report: Estimates of blended course impact on teachers, students 4/2013 Report: Qualitative assessment of Y1 and Y2 course offerings 9/2013 Final Report: Impact, qualitative assessment, and policy recommendations 9/2014 23 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders

24. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 3. Professional Development Purpose of this Evaluation Project To conduct ongoing analysis of the delivery and quality of state- and local-level professional development, with the goal of analyzing the impact of the PDI on local capacity, teacher practices, and student achievement. We will examine longitudinal education data combined with data collected using a sample of schools approach. 24

25. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 3. Professional Development Major Evaluation Questions State Strategies: To what extent did the state implement and support proposed RttT PD efforts? Short-Term Outcomes: What were direct outcomes of State-level RttT PD Efforts? Intermediate Outcome: To what extent did RttT PD efforts successfully update the NC Education Workforce? Impacts on student performance: To what extent are gains in student performance outcomes associated with RttT PD ? 25

26. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Evaluation Approaches Interviews and focus groups Observations PD, teaching practices, PLCs, local PD Sessions Research-based review of PD content and delivery, including reviews of the NCDPI Online Repository and eLearning Portal diagnostics Data reviews and analyses administrative data, PDI-specific data (PDI Participation Database data, survey data including PD Exit Surveys, leadership inventory, reflection), NCEES summary data, student data including EOG/EOC, graduation rates; LEA PD expenditure data Document reviews LEA PD Action Plans, other PDI-specific documents Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery First Annual Report 1/2012 Annual Report: Status of PDI (2 of 4 reports completed)12/2012 Annual Report: Status of PDI12/2013 Final Report: Impact 9/2014 26 3. Professional Development

27. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Purpose of this Evaluation Project To understand the extent to which and the ways in which interventions by the District and School Transformation division (DST) improve outcomes for students in the state’s lowest-performing schools and districts To explore the fidelity of implementation of the STEM Schools initiative and examine its impacts on students, teachers, principals, schools, and school networks. 27

28. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Evaluation Questions What problems are identified in the low-performing schools and districts? What are the main intervention strategies that the District and School Transformation unit employs to improve low-performing schools? What are the intended mechanisms of improvement? How do the strategies work? Do the strategies and mechanisms play out as intended? What is the impact of the intervention strategies on intermediate outcomes as well as student achievement and graduation rates? 28

29. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina STEM Anchor Evaluation Questions To what extent have the network of STEM anchor and cluster schools been implemented as intended? What are the impacts of the network of STEM anchor and cluster schools on student and on school-level outcomes and how do these impacts compare with the impacts of other transformation models? Can the impacts on student performance be disaggregated by student and school characteristics? What mechanisms are put in place for the sustainability and scaling up of the model, or its most successful elements? 29 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools

30. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Evaluation Approaches DST: 30+ site visits, multiple interviews (over the next three years with multiple people), observations, focus groups, surveys, artifact review, document analysis, and quantitative analyses. STEM: Predominantly qualitative analyses (observations of professional development, site visits to STEM schools, interviews with providers), with quantitative analyses (student and school staff surveys, administrative data). Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery A. Evaluation of District and School Transformation RttT Work Preliminary Baseline Report12/2011 Report: Formative Assessments of the Efforts to Transform the Lowest-Performing Schools2/2013 Annual Report12/2013 Final Report: Quantitative and qualitative findings 9/2014 B. Evaluation of STEM Anchor School System Development Baseline Scan and Year 1 report12/2011 & 3/2012 Year 2 Report11/2012 Year 3 Report12/2013 Year 4 Report 9/2014 30

31. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 5. Local-Level Implementation & Spending Purpose of this Evaluation Project To determine how Race to the Top funding is being allocated and used across districts and schools throughout NC 31

32. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Cloud Questions To what extent does the Cloud reduce state & local expenditures for technology? To what extent does the Cloud provide reliable, secure, accessible, and efficient service? How satisfied are LEAs with the Cloud Computing infrastructure? Local Spending Questions How do local districts spend RttT funds? Are some local RttT spending patterns associated with higher student performance in schools and districts? Local Efficiencies and Savings Questions Do RttT funds alter costs incurred by the state and districts? 32 5. Local-Level Implementation & Spending

33. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Evaluation Approaches Mixed-method approach, combining document review, interviews, surveys, and quantitative analysis of administrative data Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery Conduct baseline analysis of local education expenditures in preparation for cost analyses, which will specifically include the technology initiative 9/2012 Site reports on local RttT spending; survey findings; baseline productivity report4/2013 Follow-up to 2012 report; interval and summative productivity report9/2014 33 5. Local-Level Implementation & Spending

34. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 6. Overall Impact Purpose of this Evaluation Project To provide estimations of the overall impact of RttT- funded initiatives To explore under what conditions and circumstances the initiatives collectively and in various combinations appeared to be most effective, and for whom To consider sustainability options beyond the life of the grant To track and compare the metrics/goals defined in the proposal 34

35. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 6. Overall Impact Evaluation Questions Was each RttT initiative implemented as intended? What are the overall impacts of RttT on increasing student performance, such as achievement, engagement, attendance, graduation? Are the impacts of RttT on student performance larger in some schools/districts than others (for example, high-poverty or low- performing schools)? Are some RttT initiatives more effective in increasing student performance than others? How can the successful RttT initiatives be sustained after 2014? 35

36. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 6. Overall Impact Evaluation Approaches The Overall Impact evaluation will consider selected quantitative and qualitative data and results from all initiative-level evaluations, as well as cross-initiative and all-inclusive data Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery Summary of key formative findings, Years 1 and 22/2013 Overall cost and sustainability analysis of the RttT initiatives12/2013 Final Report: Synthesis and policy recommendations across initiatives 9/2014 36