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Future Trends Impacting CAPS Customers ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au Challenger TAFE CAPS PD End of Year Forum 30 th November 2006
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 2 Rate of Change - exponential Amount of change now in 1 day grandparents had in 1 year Younger means faster Generational gap widening
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 3 I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download.
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 4 Customer driven world Product driven world shrinking Institutions - educ relig prof Bureaucracies - PS Big Biz Customer driven dominance global awareness - WWW knowledge expectations
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 5 By 2020 70 % of job types then do not exist now because Driving all Change : Technology
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 6 By 2020 80 % of technology then is not imagined yet Driving all Change : Technology
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 7 Japanese Robanoid 2006 Future Receptionist … ?
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 8 Imagine what some of those jobs might be ….. ?
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 9 Likely jobs in next 15 years : Director of Emerging Thought Chief Zookeeper - of people Biotech Hair Stylist Virtual Lifestyle Designer Nano Beautician Technician Chief Imagination Retailer Hacker Relations Manager Holographic Florist Modeller Online Client Consultant
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 10 Generations see the world differently The gap is
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 11 Parallel Universes ? Kids live them.
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 12 Looking at generational : Consumers Product innovators R & D executives Product providers Service providers
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 13 Ask yourself : What does this mean for TAFE Right now Into the future For students For staff For industry
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 14 Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60 Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30 Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45 Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 15 But first : Quick look at the changing Nature of Work
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 16
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 17 Changing Nature of Work From competitive capitalism to co opitalism From commodification to sustainability
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 18 Sustainability Farmers’ sign Albany Highway Williams WA 2003
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 19 Changing nature of work : Project based Team based Relationships One off alliances - partnerships Globally networked Fast flat skilled decision making Value driven
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 20 Values shift Tai Chi morning coffee break MIT Engineers USA
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 21 Changing Nature of Employment From full time permanent to Casualisation Contract - Part time Self employment - options Five Career changes Multi skilled employees Small businesses Increase in low income jobs SOHO : small office home office
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 22 Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60 Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30 Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45 Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 23 Baby Boomers
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 24 Baby Boomers 45 - 60 Downsizing lives Empty nesters Retired or part time work Male identity from job Questioning material status
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 25 Boomers & technology
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 26 Baby Boomers 45 - 60 : Sense of community Seek new safe experiences Security & Health conscious Defer to authority Love / hate change
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 27 Boomers Care
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 28 Impact for CAPS Baby Boomers 45 - 60 Winding down : leisure indulgence Group oriented - still volunteer Respect rank Steady relationships Need relationship continuity organising safe familiar experiences positive group identity
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 29 Gen Xers
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 30 Generation Xers 30 - 45 Single Childless Net Dating Varied lifestyles Varied workstyles SOHO
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 31 Gen X Singles
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 32 Generation Xers 30 - 45 Risk takers Personal journey Fast decisions Materialism assumed Environmental values Defer to heroes Expect & accept change
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 33 Gen X Lifestyle Dog
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 34 Impact for CAPS Generation X 30 - 45 Individual attention Fast action Short term pitch - staging pitch Results oriented Need choices short term immediacy complete – stand alone skills oriented demand quality of experience
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 35 DotComs
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 36 DotComs 15 - 30 Own path Temporary pairing Group socialising Internet relationships Wired Immediacy No home No single careers
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 37 DotComs Relationships
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 38 DotComs 15 - 30 I.d. from activity Multi channeled Multi actions Planetary group mission Temporary deference Need change Cluetrain Manifesto www.cluetrainmanifesto.com
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 39 Impact for CAPS DotComs 15 - 30 Passionate – value driven Team + personal relationships Short term fast involvement Multi channel activities Need choices no spin very short term flexibility innovation real positive outcomes
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 40 Ferals
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 41 Ferals 0 - 15 Wild Child No limits No boundaries Planetary mission : to create sustainable world Wired Parallel universes Unlimited mind channels Intuitive & telepathic
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 42 Ferals Virtual World
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 43 Ferals to 15 Future jobs unimportant Non consumers Global i.d. from self values No deference Respect only when useful Live change & ignore barriers
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 44 Ferals
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 45 Impact for CAPS Ferals to 15 Influencing market Expect new relationships & things Virtual world unknowns Need personal power trust clear values nb: super spin detectors no rules no hindrance ICT resource access multi channel everything
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 46 Summary …
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 47 CAPS Trends Forecast Summary exponential rate of change younger generations drive change personal communication → telepathy paradigm shift in values → feminine QBL - how things are done = profit relationships key for all success open options for Work / Life styles less governance more community power individual responsibility ! Virtual world emerging !
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 48 Facing the future at CAPS :
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30 November 2006 www.annimac.com.au 49 thank you www. annimac.com.au
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