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Regulation of Financial Institutions Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Open Classroom Northeastern University Boston, MA November 30, 2011 www.bostonfed.org
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Why Do We Regulate Financial Institutions? If everyone wants funds at the same time cannot liquidate loans Depositors want immediate access to funds Borrowers want longer-term financing Financial intermediaries borrow short and lend long – assume diversification reduces risk from maturity mismatch Depression – bank runs – widespread bank closures 2
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Depression Era Solution Deposit Insurance – FDIC Banks have special role – depositors get limited government guarantee Taxpayers at risk during failure Banks limited in what risk they take Banks have capital requirements – CAMELS Regular bank exams 3
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Problems Emerge Interest on deposits does not rise at weaker banks Weak banks have incentive to take more risk Gains go to shareholders, losses go to taxpayers Use financial institutions for other goals Savings and Loans GSEs Banks become larger and more complicated 4
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Too Big to Fail International loans – assumption that governments would not default Real estate loans – assumption real estate values would not fall Real estate securities – assumption securities with national pools of mortgages would be protected since national housing prices had not fallen 5
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2007-2008 Runs are not unique to banks Investment banks – Bear Stearns, Lehman Insurance – AIG Money market funds – Reserve Primary Fund Exotic structures – SIV International transmission of shocks – global banks are global problems 6
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Money Market Mutual Funds ( MMMFs ) Regulated by the SEC Must maintain significant liquidity ratios Limited in the duration and credit ratings of instruments they can hold Not required to alter net value (NAV) to reflect small movements in underlying asset values Like other mutual funds, not required to hold any capital as protection This structure can generate shareholder “runs” during times of financial stress 7
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Importance of Money Market Mutual Funds Critical players in short-term credit markets Significant buyers of CP, ABCP and CDs Important source of financing for organizations dependent on wholesale financing Largest investor focused on high-quality, very short-term paper 8
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9 Figure 1 Total Money Market Mutual Fund Assets Under Management Source: iMoneyNet September 12, 2006 - September 6, 2011
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10 Figure 2 Total Money Market Mutual Fund Assets Under Management by Type of Fund Source: iMoneyNet September 12, 2006 - September 6, 2011
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11 Figure 3 Daily Changes in Assets Under Management in Prime Money Market Mutual Funds August 1, 2008 - October 7, 2008 Source: iMoneyNet
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Response to the Rapid Withdrawals Treasury temporary insurance program Federal Reserve Bank of Boston administered Fed lending facility Addressed short-term liquidity needs of MMMFs Helped stabilize short-term credit markets disrupted by rapid liquidations Efforts proved successful at restoring stability, avoiding further harm Balances have gradually declined (low rate environment and corresponding returns) 12
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13 Figure 4 Highest-Yielding Prime Funds Average Gross and Net Yields Source: iMoneyNet August 30, 2011
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14 Figure 5 Foreign Exposure of Five Largest Prime Money Market Mutual Funds Source: Crane Data, Mutual Fund Company Websites As of February 28, 2011 and August 31, 2011
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Financial Stability and MMMFs Actions have been taken recently – improved liquidity and monthly reporting of holdings Credit risk and MMMFs holdings Is the current structure appropriate given the critical role of MMMFs to short-term credit markets? 15
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No One Proposal has been Settled on – My Preferred Approach A meaningful capital-like buffer – perhaps 3% If violated, automatically leads to conversion to a floating NAV If plan for a buffer isn’t produced and accepted, require MMMFs to float NAV 16
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Additional Actions A more proactive regulatory approach Reporting should be more frequent Reducing a fund’s maximum permissible exposure to any one firm Many (but not all) MMMFs have been significantly reducing exposure to troubled institutions – but are assets of riskier firms appropriate investments for MMMFs? 17
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MMMFs are Intertwined with Another Systemic Risk Issue Dependence of foreign branches and agencies in the U.S. on short-term wholesale funding Not able to get deposit insurance or FHLB membership Issuing jumbo CDs, CP, and repurchase agreements During times of stress, less stable than retail deposits 18
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Challenges from Europe Banks are large relative to their economies Global banks have significant operations in the United States Many global banks have large exposures to European sovereign debt Wholesale credit markets showing significant stress 19
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20 Figure 6 Bank Size Relative to Country Size: Assets of Largest Bank as a Share of GDP Source: Global Finance, IMF as of Year End 2010 Note: Includes the U.S. and all European countries with a bank ranked in the top 50 worldwide as of year end 2010.
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21 Figure 7 Stock Prices of Largest Banks in Europe and the United States Source: Global Finance, Bloomberg
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Final Thoughts Financial markets remain stressed Many global banks are experiencing wholesale funding issues We are not insulated from European stress Political will in many countries is lagging for directly addressing problems 22
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