1. Presented to Maine Department of Transportation August 15 2005 John Dorrer, Director Labor Market Information Services Maine Department of Labor John.Dorrer@Maine.Gov 207-287-2271 Maine Workforce Challenges: Demographic Trends and Finding Skilled Workers

2. Maine Economy Demographics Foreign Competition Technology Values

3. Workforce Dynamics Stocks and Flows New Grads Maine’s Workforce Foreign Immigrants Domestic In-migrants Disabled Populations Dropouts Emerging WorkersEstablished WorkersSenior Workers Low Wage Workers Senior Workers

4. If you want one year of prosperity, grow grain. If you want ten years of prosperity, grow trees. If you want a 100 years of prosperity, grow people Old Chinese Proverb

5. Maine Workforce Demographics

6. Projected change in population by age group in Maine between 2000 and 2010

7. Average annual civilian labor force growth in Maine by decade with 2000 to 2010 forecast

8. Maine’s Senior Workforce: The Numbers (000) Age Cohort 20002010 M F T M F T M F T M F T 55-64 40 37 77 66 60 126 65+ 13 10 23 17 12 29

9. Maine Resident Pupil Counts 1970-2017 Population, labor force, and employed in Maine

10. Age 14-1819-2122-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465-99 Female0.7 %1.4 %2.8 %12.2 %15.1 %13.4 %6.3 %1.2 % Male0.4 %0.9 %1.9 %10.5 %12.4 %11.5 %7.1 %1.4 % Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

11. Age 14-1819-2122-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465-99 Female0.2 %0.6 %0.8 %4.0 %7.4 %7.8 %3.9 %0.6 % Male0.4 %1.7 %2.7 %12.4 %21.8 %22.8 %10.8 %1.2 % Manufacturing

12. Age 14-1819-2122-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465-99 Female0.1 %*0.1 %0.5 %2.5 %4.1 %3.0 %1.7 %0.3 % Male0.3 %2.4 %4.6 %18.3 %24.2 %23.0 %12.3 %1.8 % *=Value significantly distorted to protect confidentiality Construction Industry

13. Emerging Labor Force: Maine vs. U.S. Population Change 1990-2000 % Persons under 5 years old % Persons 65+ years % White % Black or African-American % Asian % Latino or Hispanic Origin % Foreign Born % persons 18-64 with Disability who are employed (2002) MaineU.S 3.813.1 5.5 6.8 14.412.4 96.975.1 0.512.3 0.7 3.6 0.712.5 2.911.1 33.0 30.0

14. Emerging Labor Force: Risk Factors 2004 % Teens (16-19) High School Dropouts % Teens (16-19) not in school and not working % Children Living in Families where no parent has full time year round employment % Children in Poverty % Young Adults (18-24) Disconnected* 2002 * Persons 18-24 not in school, are not working and have no degree beyond HS Maine U.S 12 9 12 9 8 8 8 8 27 25 27 25 13 16 13 16 18 15 18 15 Source: Maine Kids Count 2004

15. Table 1: In-Migration and Out-Migration in Northern Maine and Southern Maine from 1995- 2000, Total and Among 18-24 Years Old Age GroupIn-Migration Out- MigrationBalance All 5+ Maine110,732107,440+3,292 Northern Maine24,57183,707-59,136 Southern Maine86,16123,733+62,428 18-24 Years Old Maine16,81425,733-8,919 Northern Maine3,89519,881-15,986 Southern Maine12,9195,852+7,067 Source: Public Use Micro Files (PUMS), 5%, Census 2000, U.S. Census Bureau, tabulations by Center for Labor Market Studies.

16. Maine Workforce Skills Requirements

17. Gross Product per Maine Manufacturing Job (Adjusted for Inflation) 1980 = $30,000 2000 = $60,000

19. MaineOccupations Forecast Top Ten 2002-2012 Fastest Projected Rate of Job Growth +Medical Assistants +Social and Human Services Assistant +Self-Enrichment Education Teachers +Physician Assistants +Medical Records and Health Information Techs. +Personal and Home Care Aides +Personal Financial Advisors +Physical Therapy Assistants +Massage Therapists +Veterinary Technologists and Techs.

20. MaineOccupations Forecast Top Ten 2002-2012 Jobs with the Most Openings +Cashiers +Retail Sales Persons +Food Prep and Service Workers +Waitpersons +Registered Nurse +General and Operations Managers +Home Care Aids +Food Preparation Workers +Janitors and Cleaners +First Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers

21. MaineOccupations Forecast Top Ten 2002-2012 Occupations with the largest Employment Requiring a Bachelors Degree General Managers Secondary Teachers Elementary Teachers Middle School Teachers Accountants and Auditors Lawyers Financial Managers Social Workers Insurance Agents

22. Employment Outlook U.S. Highway Street and Bridge Construction 2002 2012 Pct Change 344,400 363,800 5.0

23. Maine Employment Trends Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 1994-2004 1994 2004 Pct Change 3,300 3,700 12.0

24. Occupational Employment Outlook Construction-Related in Maine Occupation20022012 Pct Change Annual Openings Highway Maintenance Workers Operating Engineers First Line Supervisors (Constr)ConstructionLaborers209016903250395022901720336041101043450507070

25. Occupational Employment Outlook Professionals and High Skilled Occupation20022012 Pct Change AnnualOpenings Civil Engineers 11301140-20 Surveying and Mapping Tech. 3314002120 Civil Eng. Tech 520520-10 Carpenters and Electricians 13,78014,2703.6280