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Pathways to Prosperity 101 An Introduction to the Report and the Network Pathways Network Institute October 1, 2014 1
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RELEASED BY HARVARD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF EDUCATION, 2011 THE PATHWAYS TO PROSPERITY REPORT: THE PROBLEM DEFINED AND THE VISION
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THE PATHWAYS TO PROSPERITY REPORT “The American system for preparing young people to lead productive and prosperous lives as adults is clearly badly broken. Failure to aggressively overcome this challenge will surely erode the fabric of our society.” 3
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EDUCATION LEVEL OF U.S. LABOR FORCE 4 Source: Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce, 2012
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U.S. HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATION RATE STAGNATING Source: Schleicher (2007) based on OECD data. Approximated by percentage of persons with high school or equivalent qualfications in the age groups 55-64, 45-55, 35-44, and 25-34 years 13 1 1 27 5
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Source: Levy & Murnane. Dancing with Robots, Third Way Foundation, 2013 2000-2010 UPTICK IN H.S. GRADUATION RATES 6
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THE U.S. LAGS IN COLLEGE COMPLETION 7
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THE US SKILLS GAP HURTS GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS We are falling behind in the educational attainment of our young people in an economy where human capital drives productivity and innovation from 4th… …to 12th
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COLLEGE COMPLETION RATES ALARMINGLY LOW Note: Four-year schools have a six-year graduation window; two-year schools have a three-year graduation window. Source: Condition of Education, NCES, 2013 9
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Sources: Recovery 2020, Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce, 2013; and Complete College America 2020 EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS 10
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EXAMPLES OF JOBS THAT REQUIRE MIDDLE SKILLS Source: “Who Can Fix the Middle Skills Gap?” Harvard Business Review, 2012, T Kochan, D Finegold, P Osterman Data from Occupational Outlook Handbook, U.S. BLS, 2010 SectorType of Job Number of Openings Median Annual Pay Computers & IT Computer Support Specialists 607,100$46,260 EngineeringElectrical Technicians151,000$56,040 Health CareRespiratory Therapists112,700$54,280 Life, Physical & Social Sciences Environmental Science Technicians 29,000$41,380 Production Semiconductor Processors 21,100$33,130 11
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OCCUPATION MATTERS 43% of young workers with Licenses and Certificates earn more than those with an Associate’s degree 27% of young workers with Licenses and Certificates earn more than those with an Bachelor’s degree 31% of young workers with an Associate’s degree earn more than those with an Bachelor’s degree Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce 12
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STEM OPPORTUNITIES ABOUND Source: The Hidden STEM Economy, Brookings, 2013. 13
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TRENDS IN THE EMPLOYMENT / POPULATION RATIOS OF TEENS, SELECTED YEARS, 2000 – 2011 (IN %) 14
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U.S. EMPLOYMENT / POPULATION RATIOS Comparisons of the Employment/Population Ratios of 16-17 Year Old Males and 68-75 Year Old Males in the U.S. in 1999-2000 and 2011-2012 (in %) Source: Andy Sum, Key Findings on the Labor Market Experiences of Teens and Young Adults (16-24 Years Old) in the U.S. from 2000 – 2012: Implications for Pathways to Prosperity, 2013
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YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT: 2007 AND 2011 16
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STRONG VOCATIONAL SYSTEMS: THE NEW VET In strong vocational systems, 40% to 75% of upper secondary students choose to participate: VET can be school based or mix of school and work
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WHAT MANY AMERICANS THINK... MYTHS ABOUT VOCATIONAL EDUCATION IN EUROPE: Early tracking, no choices Lack of career advancement Narrowly serve needs of employers Prepare young people for (dirty dangerous) low wage trades, not a range of professions Academics are not rigorous Dumping ground for young people who can’t do anything else 18
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WHAT ARE TYPICAL HIGH QUALITY VOCATIONAL MODELS? Dual systems Combine school and work on weekly schedule Usually 3-4 years to completion “School is not the center of the world” School-based systems School is launch pad May have school-based enterprises within the school Always includes work-based learning; could be 60% of school week, required 6 months, or 1-2 years after 2 years of VET school Both models serve 40% to 75% of young people Students choose at age 15 Results in a nationally recognized qualification 19
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PHOTOGRAPH © 2005 David Binder THE NEW VOCATIONAL EDUCATION IS OF HIGH VALUE TO STUDENTS Has permeable pathways through postsecondary technical education Includes modern occupations learned through simultaneous study of sophisticated theory and application to real problems Requires STEM competencies, complex problem-solving in messy situations, and expertise in communication, team work, and presentation Responds to needs of adolescent development (talent pipeline of young professionals) 20
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IN SWITZERLAND NO DEAD ENDS: EDUCATION IS FLEXIBLE 21
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PHOTOGRAPH Metro Early College High School QUALITY MARKERS THAT ASSURE THE YOUNG PROFESSIONAL’S SUCCESS Qualifications are transferable among companies The student “owns” his or her skills and can sell them in the market place Workplace trainers are credentialed to work with young people Applied assessments are given by teams of employers, unions & educators Apprenticeships are keyed to needs of labor market but employers must meet standards to participate 22
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PHOTOGRAPH Metro Early College High School STATE POLICIES ENABLE STRONG VET SYSTEMS TO SUCCEED Within a legal framework, social partners (unions, employers & government) work with educators: Government provides infrastructure, ensures breadth, and controls quality State and industry support robust intermediary organizations to provide “glue” A social compact ensures the provision of education and training opportunities for all young people between the ages of 16 and 19 but requires them to take advantage of these opportunities 23
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NET-BENEFIT FOR AN AVERAGE SWISS TRAINING FIRM 24
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THE PATHWAYS TO PROSPERITY NETWORK Ten states with 25 regions, rural to urban, serving as starting places for demonstrating success, with a focus on scaling grades 9-14 integrated academic and career pathways statewide. Not a new program or add-on reform, but a strategic alignment and bolstering of existing initiatives to improve education, workforce, and economic outcomes.
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Regional Level State Level Multistate Network National & Federal Levels FOUR LEVELS OF PATHWAYS WORK
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MOST PREVALENT CAREER AREAS OF FOCUS BASED ON REAL-TIME LABOR MARKET DATA 28 Advanced Manufacturing Few know the opportunities and salaries, stigma attached Health careers But paths must be carefully chosen to ensure mobility Information Technology Cross-cutting and key to all 21 st century careers, not just in IT fields
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KEY PATHWAYS IMPLEMENTATION LEVERS Rigorous Academic and Career 9- 14 Pathways Early, sustained career counseling and information Engaged employers: work-based learning opps. & curricula support Intermediary links between education and employers Committed state leaders and favorable policy environment
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ORGANIZING AROUND AN INTERMEDIARY Regional Intermediary BusinessK-12CommunityGovernment Post- secondary Source: Learning for Jobs, OECD Reviews of Vocational Education and Training Essential Roles Plan: Awareness; asset mapping; data/metrics Convene: Set vision and align goals; coordinate and communicate Broker: Foster and support partnerships and work-based learning Evaluate: Define benchmarks and standards; evaluate outcomes
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Postsecondary Pathways System Outcomes: Financially sustainable, aligned and integrated 9- 14(+) career pathway systems Increased number of skilled young professionals with credentials of value to the labor market State and regional economies develop talent pipelines in key industry sectors Career and Technical Ed. Advanced Skilled Jobs Intern- ships, WBL Low Skilled Jobs Semi- Skilled Jobs Middle Skilled Jobs Rigorous Academics Acceleration & College/Career Readiness through Dual Enrollment, Integrated Instruction, and WBL Acceleration & College/Career Readiness through Dual Enrollment, Integrated Instruction, and WBL Stackable Credentials AA/AAS BA/BS Secondary Pathways GRADES 9-14 INTEGRATED PATHWAYS
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TAILORED TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE JFF/HGSE works with each state and region to prioritize needs and tailor technical assistance and supports to advance the state’s vision and goals: State Leadership Development Asset Mapping Regional Pathways Design and Mobilization Policy Development Communications and Marketing Fundraising Other JFF Services, which may include: –labor market information consulting, early college design services, student-centered learning strategies, instructional improvement coaching, teacher/leader professional development, and others
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CHALLENGES TO SYSTEMS BUILDING Early Career Advising –Most schools and communities lack a systemic strategy to introduce young people to the world of careers beginning in the early grades 9-14 Technical Pathways –Providers do not offer enough “high demand” and high quality career education that includes work-based learning Intermediaries –Communities lack organizations to serve as the “glue” between the schools system and employers: to convene employers, aggregate work based learning opportunities, align education with labor market needs Employer Engagement –Employers do not partner with education systems to build the talent pipelines for young professionals 33
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New model legislation in some states, such as: –Career Clusters/Pathways, HB 186, GA –California Career Pathways State Fund, AB 86, CA New resources at state level, such as: –Innovation Campuses, MO –P-TECH Replications, NY –Straight A Fund, OH –Performance Incentive Funds to Community Colleges, MA –SEA-hired Pathways Directors and Staff: MA, MO, TN –$250M Career Pathways Trust in CA; +$250M next year Employers driving interest in advanced manufacturing and IT pathways, such as: –Volkswagen and Wacker in TN –Cisco, IBM, Microsoft, Motorola, SAP, and Verizon in IL –Southwire in GA EXEMPLARY STATE POLICIES / RESOURCES
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CONTRIBUTING FACTORS TO “WHY NOW?” 35 Potential for systemic transformation & improvement across education and workforce outcomes Economic Crisis Un/under- employ- ment Interest in P-TECH Harvard and JFF ESEA, Perkins, WIA, etc. Skills Mismatch Inter- national Models Political and Public Will State Leader- ship
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WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR YOUR REGION? You have the opportunity to create pathways for your young people through building partnerships that prepare students for college, career, and a lifetime of citizenship How do youth in your region learn about career/college possibilities? How many young people do you know who are working, and how did they find their jobs? What do young people go on to do after graduating from high school? How do local employers currently support education (high school and college) in your region? How do high schools work with colleges? Any dual enrollment? How is your region connecting education, workforce, and economic development? Are there regional goals across them?
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Nancy Hoffman nhoffman@jff.org 617.728.4446, ext. 132 Amy Loyd aloyd@jff.org 617.728.4446, ext. 282 Bob Schwartz schwarro@gse.harvard.edu 617-496-6303 FOR MORE INFORMATION, CONTACT:
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