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The Road Ahead: US Markets and the Investment Management Industry Boston Financial Client Forum Brian Reid September 15, 2009
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Total Fund Assets Up 9 Percent from Year-End 2008 * Data for 2009 is as July 31, 2009. Source: Investment Company Institute Mutual Funds Closed-End Funds ETFs (Billions of Dollars) 7,174 7,199 11,117 9,483 8,589 7,779 6,651 10,321 12,921 11,280 * 1
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Net New Cash Flows into U.S. Stock and Bond Mutual Funds 2 Dollars in Billions * Data for August 2009 are estimated through August 19, 2009. Source: Investment Company Institute 2008 2009 *
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Flows to Equity Funds Related to Global Stock Price Performance 1994-2009* 3 Billions of Dollars Percentage Points * Data are through July 2009. 1 The return on equities is measured as the year-over-year change in the MSCI All Country World Index. 2 Net new cash flow to equity funds is plotted as a six-month moving average. Sources: Investment Company Institute and Morgan Stanley Capital International. Net new cash flow 2 Total Return on Equities 1
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Flows to Bond Funds Related to Bond Returns 4 1 The total return on bonds is measured as the year-over-year change in the Citigroup Broad Investment Grade Bond Index. 2 Net new cash flow to bond funds is plotted as a three-month moving average of net new cash flow as a percentage of previous month-end assets. The data exclude flows to high-yield bond funds. Sources: Investment Company Institute and Citigroup. ( 1994–July 2009)
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Flows to Taxable Retail Money Market Funds Related to Interest Rate Spread (1989–July 2009) Interest Rate Spread 2 Percentage points * Data are through July 2009. 1 Net new cash flow is a percent of previous month-end taxable retail money market fund assets and is shown as a six-month moving average. 2 The interest rate spread is the difference between the taxable retail money market fund yield and the average interest rate on money market deposit accounts. Sources: Investment Company Institute, iMoneyNet, and Bank Rate Monitor. Net New Cash Flow 1 Percent of total net assets 5
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Net Issuance of ETF Shares * * Data are through July 2009. Sources: Investment Company Institute and Strategic Insight. Billions of Dollars 6
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Household Net Worth and Personal Savings as a Multiple of Disposable Personal Income 7 Source: Federal Reserve Board 0.22 0.18 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.02 0.26 Net Worth Savings (1960-2009) 19601967197419811988 1995 20022009
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Fund Complexes with Net Inflows to Stock and Bond Funds* 8 * Data are through July 2009. Source: Investment Company Institute (Percent of Complexes)
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Number of Fund Sponsors Fund Sponsors Leaving Total Number of Sponsors at Year-End Fund Sponsors Entering Source: Investment Company Institute 9
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10 * Excludes load fees and 12b-1 fees. Also excludes funds of funds and variable annuities. Sources: Investment Company Institute; Lipper; ValueLine Publishing, Inc.; CDA/Wiesenberger Investment Companies Service; © CRSP University of Chicago, used with permission, all rights reserved (312.263.6400/www.crsp.com); and Strategic Insight Simfund. Estimated Stock Mutual Fund Fees Collected and Stock Fund Net Assets* Estimated Fees Collected Total Net Assets Billions of Dollars
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Major Regulatory, Legislation, and Legal Issues SEC Proposals for Money Market Funds Retirement Policy Retirement Plan Coverage 401(k) Tax Incentives “Reform” Efforts Jones v. Harris and Fund Fees Financial Regulatory Reform 11
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