1. New trends of the EU post- enlargement migration from Latvia Zaiga Krisjane, Elina Apsite and Maris Berzins University of Latvia Migratory processes in Europe: evolution of the migratory interactions of the EU and Central and Eastern European countries Odessa 24-25.09.2010

2. Presentation outline Theoretical frame Data and methods Migration waves from Latvia Latvian migrants in the UK and Ireland Characteristics of the latest phase of migration Conclusions

3. Purpose to investigate the migration processes that have unfolded since the EU enlargement in Latvia, in particular has been analyze the situation since economic recession in 2008.

4. Theoretical frame Among possibilities to earn higher salaries also push factors often are mentioned - dissatisfaction with living and working conditions in home country (Galgoczi et al. 2009). However segmented labour – market theory by Piore (1979) argues that migration is not caused by push factors in sending regions (low wages or high unemployment), but by pull factors in receiving areas (a chronic and unavoidable need for migrant workers) (Massey 2004).

5. Main features of post-enlargement migrants There are a rising number of new researches on migration studies from the new member states. Many studies state that the majority of post- enlargement migrants have found employment in low paid jobs, despite some possessing relatively high levels of education and are not accessing higher-skilled occupations (Drinkwater et al. 2009; Barett & Duffy 2008). Results of the research suggest a temporary character of labour migration.

6. Migration waves from Latvia –Transition period (After regaining independency and before EU accessions) –After the EU enlargement –Global economic crisis Each stage has different migration volume, intensity, flows and main destinations

7. After the EU enlargement (Krisjane et al. 2009) Latvia, which used to be a receiving country for migrants, has become the sending country. There are changes of traditional migration flow pattern. Many migrants previous from rural areas went to larger cities then to capital for job. Nowadays they could go strait aboard for work.

9. Migration during recession Decision to migrate and consequently to stay abroad or return is not just reached on the basis of economic considerations there has been a growing interest in the role of social networks in facilitating transnational migration (Faist & Ozveren 2004). Eastern Europeans and particularly Latvians) traditionally have relied heavily on informal networks of all kinds.

10. Registered unemployment rate in Latvia 2004-2009 (%) (LR CSB, 2009)

11. Data and methods The research “ The geographical mobility of labour force” (2007) has involved qualitative and quantitative research methods: surveys of Latvian residents, formalised interviews with residents of Latvia who are working abroad, statistical analysis of the data

12. Economic motivations were of key importance to labour migrants, particularly in terms of the ability to earn more money. Wages were the dominant motivation for migration in all age groups. Reasons for working abroad, by gender (Krisjane et al. 2007)

13. Country Motivation Most important reason Second reasonThird reason UK Better wages than elsewhere Employer sent me; job offered in my area of specialisation; career opportunities Spoke/wanted to learn the language Ireland Better wages than elsewhere People already there recommended it Relatives, friends lived there; family circumstances Sweden Employer offered job; been there before; no real reason Employer sent me; job offered in my area of specialisation; career opportunities Better wages than elsewhere

14. Non Parametric test for worked migrants in the UK and Ireland (calculated from The geographical mobility of labour force)

15. Education of respondents who had worked in the UK and Ireland (calculated from The geographical mobility of labour force) EducationUKIreland Primary or lower11,026,0 General secondary26,328,0 Specialised secondary 34,737,5 Higher28,07,8 Total100.0

16. Areas of employment abroad, % of mentioned jobs (calculated from The geographical mobility of labour force) Employment UKIreland Various kinds of sales and catering work 9,59,54,8 Various kinds of industrial work 6,06,07,9 Various jobs in the service sector 20,720,715,9 Baby-sitting 4,31,6 Various kinds of building work 11,219,0 Various kinds of agricultural work 28,428,425,425,4 Managers and Professionals 3,46,2 Other 7,01,7 No answers 9,517,517,5

17. Latvian residents NINo registrations in the UK 2002-2009 ( http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd1/tabtools/nino_alloc_summ_tables_feb10.xls)

18. Personal Public Service (PPS) Numbers allocated to Latvians by years in Ireland

19. Reflection on recession migration flows from Latvia to the UK and Ireland

20. Migration during recession Currently migration wave from Latvia seems irreversable, because people are unable to find employment in Latvia and stay with their friends and relatives who are already living abroad (Hazans 2010)

21. Characteristics of the latest phase of migration Main d estinations (%) (LR CSB LFS) 20072008 1.UK 39.11. UK 45,6 2. Ireland 31,92. Ireland 22,6 3. Germany 4,93. Norway 5,3 4. Norway 4,54. Germany 5 5. Russia 3,05. Russia 3,9

22. Employment status of migrants in Latvia (LR CSB, 2008, 2009)

23. Characteristics of the latest phase of migration Demographic characteristics The age structure of Latvian residents registered in the UK National Insurance Number Allocations, 2004-2009 (%) (Department for Work and Pensions 2010) <1818-2425-3435-4445-5455-5960< 2004-2007 1.043.229.415.09.61.50.3 2008 1.944.627.513.99.42.00.6 2009 1.343.931.213.78.01.30.6

24. Characteristics of the latest phase of migration Several studies conducted in 2010 shows that the dominant motivation for emigration continues to be the desire to earn more money or to save for a specific goal. There have been an increasing number of survey respondents, however, those who simply says that they were unable to find work in Latvia. Respondents have been more willing recently than in the past to work at manual jobs just to earn a bit more money.

25. Based on survey and interview results we could find the following main common characteristics (profile) for the Latvian migrants after EU accession: Latvian migrants are mostly attracted by economic pull factors. The majority of the out-migrants from Latvia belong to the young adult category of the population. Latvian migrants have medium skills level and were concentrated in relatively low-skilled sectors In all respondent groups there were persons who wanted to return to Latvia, but almost none of them could define time frame. Conclusions

26. Latvian migrants are mostly attracted by economical pull factors. The majority of the out-migrants from Latvia belong to the young adult category of the population. Latvian migrants have medium skill levels and were concentrated in relatively low-skilled sectors In all respondent groups there are decreasing number of persons who want to return to Latvia. Due to recent economical crisis since beginning of 2009 interest of emigration possibilities among Latvians to the UK has even grown. Conclusions

27. The employment-related factors were found to be most important for the first post-EU accession migration wave. The greatest challenge facing last wave migrants will be to remain abroad only temporarily or make the move permanent. Conclusions

28. Thank you for your attention! zaiga.krisjane@lu.lv elina.apsite@inbox.lv maris.berzins@lu.lv