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Understanding Your Local Economy Garen Evans
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Outline –Anatomy of a local economy –Data Demographics Economics Fiscal –Issues Commuting Health
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Local Economy So what?
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The Local Economy Why? –We live here. –We work here. –Leaders are expected to make informed decisions. Citizens, commuters, businesses, tourists Potential entrepreneurs Fiscal Governance
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Resources Consumers Producers
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Local Economy Resources: –Air, water, land, minerals –People: labor force, children, students, retirees, tourists –Factors of production Producers: –Raw, processed, finished Consumers: –Intermediate –Final goods and services
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Factors of Production LAND LABOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
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Returns to Production Land «« rent Labor «« wages Capital «« interest Management «« profits
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What Flows In? Dollars from non-local purchases of locally produced goods and services. Manufactured goods and services Agricultural commodities Transfer payments Tourism dollars
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What Leaks Out? Non-local spending Consumer goods and services Non-locally purchased business inputs –Recall the four factors of production
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Measuring the Economy Composition –BLS: 12 industry super sectors Indicators –Demographic Population, income –Economic Industry sales, jobs –Fiscal Revenues and expenditures
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BLS Industry Super Sectors Construction Education and Health Financial Activities Government Information Leisure and Hospitality Trade Manufacturing Natural Resources and Mining Professional and Business Services Transportation and Utilities Other Services
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Economic Indicators
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Demographics Population –School-aged infrastructure –Elderly transfer payments: social security, Medicare, Medicaid Households –Owner-occupied –Important goal for low income communities Wealth accumulation Income:
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Income Total Personal Income Earnings –Less contributions to social insurance Dividends, interest, and rent –Investment income –Capital income –Property income Transfer payments
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Economics Industry Sales (output) Employment Labor Income Wages and salaries + proprietors incomes Total Value Added (GDP)
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Economics Industry Sales –Total Industrial Output All transactions Farmer sells cow to butcher$0.50 Butcher sells meat to McDonalds $0.75 McDonalds sells hamburger$1.75 Total Sales……………………………….$2.00
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Economics Total Value Added –Value of firms output less cost of intermediate goods that the firm purchases. Farmer$0.50 Butcher($0.75-0.50)$0.25 McDonalds ($1.75-$0.75)$1.00 Total Value Added……………………….$1.75
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Economics Employment: People & Jobs –Civilian Labor Force (CLF) Employed Persons Unemployed Persons Unemployment Rate = unemployed / CLF –Place of Work Employment Jobs
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Oktibbeha County 1995-2004 –Comparisons with region and state. –Population –Employment –Income –Sales –Commuting
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Population
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Population Growth
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Civilian Labor Force Employed + Unemployed UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Unemployed / (Employed + Unemployed) or Unemployed / Civilian Labor Force
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Unemployment Rate
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Civilian Labor Force
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Where Do We Work?
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Jobs in the Top Three Sectors
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Job Growth by Sector 1995-2004
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Earning Trends by Sector ($M 2000)
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Earnings Growth 1995-2004
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Income Components
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Total Personal Income
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Revenues and Expenditures Revenues –Taxes, charges, fees, transfers, bonds Expenditures –Health, hospitals, education, public welfare, highways, public safety: police and fire protection
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Tax Revenues Ad Valorem “according to the value” Property Taxes Retail Sales State Tax Levies State Transfers
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Property Taxes Assessed Value Taxable Value –10% Residential Property –15% Commercial Property –30% Motor Vehicles, et al. Tax Rate: Millage
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Millage Rate Millage Rate is the tax rate per $1000 of value. One Mill = 1/10 th of One Cent (0.001)
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Example – Class 1 Property Assessed Value: $120,000 Taxable Value: $12,000 (120000/10) Millage Rate: 111.09 Tax Levy: 12 * 111.09 = $1,333.08
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Retail Taxes Mississippi collects 7% sales tax on many retail products. Eligible municipalities receive part of sales taxes collected in their jurisdiction 18.75% City (ie., incorporated municipalities)
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Retail Sales in 2000 Oktibbeha County: $408 million $302 million in eligible municipalities: City Diversions: –Maben: $86,899 –Starkville: $3,687,185 –Sturgis: $40,838
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Commuting Oktibbeha County –18,401 total –15,071 own- commute –3,330 out-commute
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Out-commuters 3,330 MS: 3,134 AL: 73 TN: 17 LA: 26 Other: 80
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In-Commuters
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Other Issues 1. Local infrastructure –Capacity 2. Health Care –Impact of poor health – a case study
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1. Capacity Issues Capacity 5.76 Mgal/day Average 3.6 MGal/day Peak 4.4 Mgal/day
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Daily per-capita usage: 84 gallons (avg) Population growth: 2% –Exceed system cap by 2027 –Exceed system peak by 2017
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2. Health Issues Mississippi ranks highest for –Obesity –Heart Disease –Diabetes –Infant Mortality Employers –Educated workforce –Access to healthcare
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Health = Wealth = Health = Wealth … “During the past 30 days, how many days did poor physical or mental health keep you from doing your usual activities?” 20.4% of all respondents 8.1% of workers
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Health $$$ $32.9 Million Of LOST INCOME $144 Million in present value losses accumulate over 30 years
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Understanding Your Local Economy Garen Evans
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