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W ILL G EOPOLITICS U NDO THE W ORLD E CONOMY ? Michael Lind September 2014
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Three Trends 1)Slowing growth 2)The Salafist revolution and the decline of Sykes-Picot 3)Increasing great-power rivalries
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Slowing Growth Worldwide Source: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2014
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Asia: A Middle Income Trap? Source: Asian Development Bank and the Financial Times
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Political Responses to Slow Growth Exporting unemployment by: 1.Promoting current account surpluses 2.Protectionism 3.Immigration Restriction
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Euro Area Current Account Source: Eurostat
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Weak global growth has meant limited improvement in net exports
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Modes of Protectionism Since 2008 Source: AIEN Network
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The Salafist Revolution and the Decay of Sykes-Picot Implications for financial and internet integration Implications for trade, travel and immigration
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Trade Follows the Flag Source: The Washington Times
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TTIP and NATO Source: Curiousmatic & Economy In Crisis
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BRICS members and SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) Source: SCO & Wikimedia
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RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) Source: Wikimedia
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Russian Pipelines Source: Samuel Bailey
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Sino-Pakistan Pipeline Source: South Asia Investor Review
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