1. Life Cycle and Structural Vulnerabilities Findings from the 2014 HDR Sustaining Human Progress: Reducing Vulnerability and Building Resilience José Pineda, HDRO Social Protection for Families and Children New York, 20 May 2014

2. Overview Life capabilities and life cycle vulnerabilities – Path-dependency and hysteresis Early childhood – Building strong foundations to break the intergenerational cycle of deprivation Structural vulnerabilities – Embedded in social contexts. For some groups, their characteristics are associated with a higher vulnerability Policy implications – Certain groups of children, youth, working people and older adults at greater risk and/or less coping capacity

3. Life capabilities and life cycle vulnerabilities Life capabilities – Capabilities are built over a lifetime and have to be nurtured and maintained, otherwise they can stagnate Path dependency – Affected by investments in preceding stages of life – Also affected by the interplay among the immediate environment, the community and society Hysteresis – Short-term shocks frequently have long-run consequences – Some effects can be reversed, but not always; reversal is context-specific and not necessarily cost-effective

4. When investments in life capabilities occur earlier, future prospects are better

5. Early childhood: Building strong foundations to break the intergenerational cycle of deprivation Architecture of skills (coping abilities and cognitive and noncognitive competences) and its formation are (interdependent) strongly influenced by neural circuits that develop as a result of dynamic interactions between genes and early- life environments and experiences

6. Children exposed to innumerable risks Extremely vulnerable to inadequate access to health care or education, clean drinking water or proper sanitation and food – In developing countries (where 92 percent of children live) 7 in 100 will not survive beyond age 5, 50 will not have their birth registered, 68 will not receive early childhood education, 17 will never enroll in primary school, 30 will be stunted, and 25 will live in poverty – Undernutrition contributes to 35 percent of deaths due to measles, malaria, pneumonia and diarrhea

7. Meaningful differences: 30 million more words Family socioeconomic status Words heard per hour Words heard by age 4 Welfare61613 million Working class1,25126 million Professional2,15345 million Children’s early exposure to language in relation to family education and income makes a significant difference

8. Poor children are already at a vocabulary disadvantage by age 6, as shown in the case of Ecuador

9. Structural vulnerabilities Discrimination and exclusion – Prevent people from realizing their potential even if they have similar capabilities Social institutions (including norms) – Shape the capabilities and choices that are afforded to individuals – Discrimination against certain groups, weak rule of law, and violence can severely curtail freedoms that individuals enjoy Group-based discrimination and exclusion exist across multiple dimensions – Political participation, personal security and education, to name a few—and generate chronic and overlapping vulnerabilities

10. Policies for reducing vulnerabilities and building resilience Timing of intervention is critical – Importance of earlier and continuous investments in life capabilities Not everything requires money, good parenting is one of the most critical factors for good early childhood development – Universal access to early childhood development is critical for equalizing opportunities Social Protection – Offers cover against risk and adversity throughout people’s lives and especially during critical phases and transitions – CCT programs are helpful in protecting education and health status, and reducing intergenerational consequences of shocks

11. Important to better match budget allocations to developmental priorities

12. Final remarks Structural vulnerabilities interact with life cycle dynamics to place certain groups of children, youth, working people and older adults at greater risk – An example is the intergenerational transmission of vulnerability from disadvantaged parents to their children Alleviating the worst effects of poverty and deprivation, and breaking the intergenerational cycle of poverty, gives children (today and tomorrow) a better chance – Important role for social protection and universal access to social policies

13. Life Cycle and Structural Vulnerabilities Findings from the 2014 HDR Sustaining Human Progress: Reducing Vulnerability and Building Resilience José Pineda, HDRO Social Protection for Families and Children New York, 20 May 2014