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, Jeffrey A. Finkle, CEcD President & CEO International Economic Development Council (IEDC) January 30, 2012
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Results of a 2012 online survey of our members about 2011 Update on U.S Job Growth Key Trends in ED
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Survey Results
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1. In comparison to 2010, how has your organization's operating budget shifted ?
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2011 Responses: Lack of access to capital/financing 47% Declines in real estate development 39% City/County/State budget cuts 38% 2010 Responses: City/County/State budget cuts 52% Lack of access to capital/financing 51% Declines in real estate development 41%
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Lack of skilled labor 28% Inadequate Infrastructure 23% Business closures/downsizing 23% Lack of political support for ED 21% Industry restructuring 20% Complicated permit process/regulations 15% Taxes 10%
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IncreasedDecreasedStayed About the Same Relocations23%45%55% Expansions47%17%38% Visits32%24%38% Prospects38%24%35% Real Estate Projects20%39%34% Infrastructure Projects29%21%43% Redevelopment Projects 20% 44% 4. In 2011, has your organization seen an increase in the following types of projects ?
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Prospects decreased by 24% in 2011, compared to the decrease of 35% in 2010 Expansions increased to 47% in 2011, compared to 39% in 2010 RE projects decreased by 39% in 2011, an improvement from the 55% decrease in 2010
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o Chamber of Commerce 54% o Local or State government 48% o Regional EDO 45% o Community college/vocational school 43% o University 39% o Another Local EDO 39% o Workforce Investment Board 37% o State EDO 33% o Private sector company 32%
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Partner with community colleges to offer training programs focused on reducing unemployment 61% Act as an intermediary between employers & job seekers 48% Facilitate Real Estate redevelopment to create job opportunities 28% Partner with a private company for training and job skills 32%
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Hosted or co-hosted job fairs Collaborated with local WIB Started business incubators
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Notable increase in social mktg in 2011, with 34% using it - - it was not even among top replies in 2010 Business retention was 65% in 2010, but 52% in 2011 Entrepreneurship & small business development was 51% in 2010 and is 41% for 2011 Collaborating regionally remained steady with 46% in 2010 and 47% in 2011
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More business attraction 60% More business retention 47% More entrepreneurship & small business dvpt. 36% Engaging more in strategic partnerships 33% Concentrating on a regional basis 20%
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Positive expectations for job growth in 2012, but for jobs at the lower end of the pay scale Expectations for consumer spending to remain flat A desire to see more focused job training and retraining for workers and unemployed to increase U.S. competitiveness
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Update on U.S. Job Growth
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As of Nov 2011, 239 of 372 metros had employment greater than the same time in 2010 * However most metros are still far from their pre-recession employment totals * According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor
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* For Nov 2011, only 54 metros (15%) were at levels exceeding their November 2007 totals** * 310 metros are still below their pre-recession total * On average, U.S. metros are 4.9% below their Nov 2007 levels** ** Analysis from Garner Economics LLC
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2011 has proven to be a year of few breakouts The average annual employment growth rate among metros held at around 0.7%
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Only 34 metros exceeded their 2007 employment totals in all eleven months of 2011 ** This group is comprised of 15 metros in Texas 4 metros in the Dakotas 2 metros in Alaska Another 5 metros are home to military installations **Analysis from Garner Economics LLC
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Key Trends in Economic Development
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Areas of Focus: Fundraising Strategy Hiring
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Fundraising Increased demand for accountability A shift in the perception of ROI A resilient economy long-term vs. # jobs & firms Smart Mayors are increasingly reaching out to private sector for support Shift in funding from public sector to private Over 60% of funding is from private sector today
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* Based on Data from 98 NCDS client organizations (Local & Regional Chambers and EDCs) that receive funding from municipal govts. and local business community
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Fundraising-Players Traditional funders - i.e., utilities, banks - have diminished capacity Today: a broader spectrum includes hospitals, cable companies, law firms, waste management firms
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Fundraising-Challenges Public EDOs often lack skills for engaging the private sector Less public money available Investors are streamlining funding Pledges are no longer a given year to year, nor or they automatic
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Strategy Increase in mergers & consolidations State level: shifts in ED delivery systems - moving towards PPPs Developing strategic plans that focus more on Quality of Life issues OR that are product drive QOL: harder to measure, more inspirational Product driven: infrastructure, industrial parks
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Hiring There is increased demand for ED professionals at senior levels Leadership crisis is forthcoming - - retirements at higher levels will increase in next 5 years
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Hiring Collaboration & partnership skills of the EDO are more important to private sector CEOs There is more emphasis on “pay for performance” – using metrics to evaluate job performance
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Hiring New top level ED professionals will need to be more business savvy…and know how to raise money …and know how to work with private sector & universities…and know how to start a company New PPPs will pay more for the right leader with ED & business experience
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Lack of access to capital/financing is still a big issue Declines in RE development persist City/county funding declines hinder local ED efforts Lack of skilled labor is growing problem EDOs are engaging in more strategic partnerships Regional collaboration is on the rise BRE remains a key strategy, but many looking to focus on attraction in 2012
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Most EDOs will need more money to achieve goals Job growth still lags behind pre-recession rates Shrinking public sector funds mean that more EDOs will look to private sector for funding ROI criteria has shifted towards resiliency Investor scrutiny is ever more stringent Shift towards PPPs and consolidation of EDOs ED professionals will need to be ever more deft, knowledgeable and adaptable in the future
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Questions? Please visit our website at www.iedconline.org Join IEDC on Facebook and LinkedIn!
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