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What We Know So Far… Data plots or graphs
Look for the overall pattern and identify deviations and outliers Numerical summary to briefly describe center and spread
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Density Curves The key idea is that we can use a mathematical model (a density curve) as an approximation to the overall pattern of data. If the pattern is sufficiently regular, approximate it with a smooth curve.
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Density Curves Software can replace the separate bars of a histogram with a smooth curve that represents the overall shape of a distribution. The software doesn’t start from the histogram—it starts with the actual observations and cleverly draws a curve to describe their distribution. In the figure, the software has caught the overall shape and shows the ripples in the long right tail more effectively than does the histogram. It struggles a bit with the peak. For example, it has extended the curve below zero in an attempt to smooth out the sharp peak. For the irregular distribution in the figure, we can’t do better.
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Here is a histogram of vocabulary scores of 947 seventh graders.
Example Here is a histogram of vocabulary scores of 947 seventh graders. The smooth curve drawn over the histogram is a mathematical “idealization” for the distribution.
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Example The areas of the shaded bars in this histogram represent the proportion of scores in the observed data that are less than or equal to This proportion is equal to
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Example Now the area under the smooth curve is shaded. Its proportion to the total area is now equal to (not 0.303). This is what the proportion on the previous slide would equal to if we had LOTS of data.
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Density Curves: Definition
Always on or above the horizontal axis Have area exactly 1 underneath curve Area under the curve indicates the “theoretical” proportion of values in that range. Remember the density is only an approximation, but it simplifies analysis and is generally accurate enough for practical use. Come in a variety of shapes, bell-shaped density is commonly used.
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Mean The mean of a density curve is the
balance point, at which the curve would balance if made of solid material.
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Median The median of a density curve is the
equal-areas point, the point that divides the area under the curve in half.
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The mode is the peak point of the curve.
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Median The median and the mean are always equal on a symmetric density curve Mean > median for a right-skewed distribution Mean < median for a left-skewed distribution
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Example Determine which letter corresponds to the median, mode, and the mean of the following density curves.
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Example Copy this picture into your notes.
Guess where you think the Median and the Mean are by drawing an arrow pointing to them Guess what values they actually are.
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Examples Copy this histogram into your notes. Sketch a smooth curve that describes the distribution well. Mark your best guess with an arrow for the mean and median of the distribution.
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Examples Sketch a smooth curve that describes the distribution well. Mark your best guess with an arrow for the mean and median of the distribution.
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Uniform Distribution The figure below shows the density curve of a uniform distribution. The curve takes the constant value. Sketch the curve.
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Example The curve takes the constant value 1 over the interval from 0 to 1. This means that data described by this distribution take values that are uniformly spread between 0 and 1. (a) Why is the total area under this curve equal to 1? The area under the curve is a rectangle with height 1 and width 1. Thus the total area under the curve = 1 ´ 1 = 1 (b) What percent of the observations lies above 0.8? 20%. (The region is a rectangle with height 1 and base width 0.2; hence the area is 0.2.) (c) What percent of the observations lie below 0.6? 60%. (d) What percent of the observations lie between 0.25 and 0.75? 50%. (e) What is the mean µ of this distribution? µ = 0.5, the “balance point” of the density curve
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Questions for Previous Picture
(a) Why is the total area under this curve equal to 1? The area under the curve is a rectangle with height 1 and width 1. Thus the total area under the curve = 1 ´ 1 = 1 (b) What percent of the observations lies above 0.8? 20%. (The region is a rectangle with height 1 and base width 0.2; hence the area is 0.2.) (c) What percent of the observations lie below 0.6? 60%. (d) What percent of the observations lie between 0.25 and 0.75? 50%. (e) What is the mean of this distribution? 0.5, the “balance point” of the density curve (a) Why is the total area under this curve equal to 1? The area under the curve is a rectangle with height 1 and width 1. Thus the total area under the curve = 1 ´ 1 = 1 (b) What percent of the observations lies above 0.8? 20%. (The region is a rectangle with height 1 and base width 0.2; hence the area is 0.2.) (c) What percent of the observations lie below 0.6? 60%. (d) What percent of the observations lie between 0.25 and 0.75? 50%. (e) What is the mean µ of this distribution? µ = 0.5, the “balance point” of the density curve
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Summary The mode is the peak point of the curve
The median of a density curve is the equal-areas point The mean of a density curve is the balance point The median and the mean are always equal on a symmetric density curve Mean < median for a left-skewed distribution Mean > median for a right-skewed distribution Uniform distribution has a constant curve.
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Density Curve Worksheet Due Wednesday
HOMEWORK Density Curve Worksheet Due Wednesday
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