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PFX HFX FFX SCOUTf/x Evaluating players’ tools with PITCHf/x, HITf/x and FIELDf/x data. Max Marchi.

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Presentation on theme: "PFX HFX FFX SCOUTf/x Evaluating players’ tools with PITCHf/x, HITf/x and FIELDf/x data. Max Marchi."— Presentation transcript:

1 PFX HFX FFX SCOUTf/x Evaluating players’ tools with PITCHf/x, HITf/x and FIELDf/x data. Max Marchi

2 PFX HFX FFX Caveats

3 PFX HFX FFX Caveats Examples Rough (Quick’n’dirty)

4 PFX HFX FFX Caveats Sample size Examples Rough (Quick’n’dirty)

5 PFX HFX FFX Caveats Sample size Interactions Not in a vacuum Examples Rough (Quick’n’dirty)

6 PFX HFX FFX Caveats Sample size Interactions Not in a vacuum Know your precision Examples Rough (Quick’n’dirty)

7 PFX HFX FFX

8 PFX HFX FFX Pitch characteristics Pitch typeSpeedh.mov.v.mov. Slider83.92.42.3 Curve77.35.3-5.3 Four Seamer92.1-6.08.6 Four Seamer92.1-6.08.6

9 PFX HFX FFX Pitch characteristics Pitch typeSpeedh.mov.v.mov. Slider (Gregerson) 83.9 83.3 2.4 5.0 2.3 1.9 byte Curve (Isringhausen) 77.3 77.0 5.3 5.8 -5.3 -11.8 break Four Seamer (Hochevar) 92.1 91.8 -6.0 -8.7 8.6 7.8 tail Four Seamer (Harden) 92.1 92.2 -6.0 -4.8 8.6 11.8 hop

10 PFX HFX FFX Deception “[pitcher’s name]’s change-up looks like his fastball as it leaves his hand” ThinkSwingplate Bud Norris0.100.073.3 Raul Valdes0.020.074.1 Mark Lowe0.060.085.1 Felix Hernandez0.140.092.8 Francisco Liriano0.09 4.0

11 PFX HFX FFX Stamina “[pitcher’s name] is able to maintain his velocity throughout the game” (note: 100 = average pitcher’s speed)

12 PFX HFX FFX Stamina “[pitcher’s name] is able to maintain his velocity throughout the game” (note: 100 = average pitcher’s speed)

13 PFX HFX FFX The rest Selection/sequencing Command/control Inducing “fishing” …

14 PFX HFX FFX Not only the pitchers…

15 PFX HFX FFX

16 PFX HFX FFX Blocking PitchWP+PB rate Fastball0.24% Change-up0.49% Curve0.60% Slider0.73% Knuckleball1.37% Source: Dave Allen (baseballanalysts.com)

17 PFX HFX FFX Framing Catcher50-50 called strike area David Ross3.65 Jose Molina3.56 Brian McCann3.54 Ryan Hanigan3.47 Yadier Molina3.40 …… Dioner Navarro2.92 Gerald Laird2.85 Jorge Posada2.82 Kenji Johjima2.74 Ryan Doumit2.71

18 PFX HFX FFX Game calling

19 PFX HFX FFX Controlling the running game PitchSB success Fastball75% Slider80% Change-up82% Curve84% Pitch speed Stolen bases86.6 mph Caught stealings87.1 mph

20 PFX HFX FFX Controlling the running game Source: Jeremy Greenhouse (baseballanalysts.com)

21 PFX HFX FFX

22 PFX HFX FFX Discipline Batter50/50 swing area* Vlad Guerrero16.3 Jeff Francoeur13.8 Miguel Tejada13.4 Ryan Braun13.3 Carlos Lee13.0 …… David Wright7.1 Magglio Ordonez7.0 Geovany Soto6.8 Marco Scutaro6.6 Mike Cameron6.2

23 PFX HFX FFX The blind spot

24 PFX HFX FFX Spray / Hitting to the pitch

25 PFX HFX FFX Power

26 PFX HFX FFX Power

27 PFX HFX FFX Enter FIELDf/x data

28 PFX HFX FFX Defense: a number or a chart? Source: David Pinto (baseballmusings.com) 504 480 -24 461 477 +16

29 PFX HFX FFX Arm

30 PFX HFX FFX Arm Positions when CF releases the ball Positions when 3B gets the ball Throwing - strength - accuracy

31 PFX HFX FFX First step - The phrase 'off with the crack of the bat', while romantic, is really meaningless, since the outfielder should be in motion long before he hears the sound of the ball meeting the bat. Joe DiMaggio link1 link2

32 PFX HFX FFX First step - The phrase 'off with the crack of the bat', while romantic, is really meaningless, since the outfielder should be in motion long before he hears the sound of the ball meeting the bat. Joe DiMaggio link1 link2 - anticipation - reaction

33 PFX HFX FFX The pivot 6-4-3 Double plays Play#Time from SS to 2B*Pivot time** 1.60 2.40 3.27.60 4.53.40 5.53.40 6.53 7.67.33 * From SS releasing the ball to 2B getting the ball ** From 2B getting the ball to 2B releasing the ball

34 PFX HFX FFX Base running

35 PFX HFX FFX Jumping out of the box

36 PFX HFX FFX Jumping out of the box

37 PFX HFX FFX Leading off base

38 PFX HFX FFX Leading off base

39 PFX HFX FFX Leading off base

40 PFX HFX FFX Catching

41 PFX HFX FFX Catching We would need… Runner’s position at pitch release Runner’s position when ball crosses plate Time when catcher obtains possession of the ball Time when catcher releases the ball Position where 2B/SS receives the ball Time when 2B/SS obtains possession of the ball

42 PFX HFX FFX Catching We would need… Runner’s position at pitch release Runner’s position when ball crosses plate Time when catcher obtains possession of the ball Time when catcher releases the ball Position where 2B/SS receives the ball Time when 2B/SS obtains possession of the ball Pitcher holding runners

43 PFX HFX FFX Catching We would need… Runner’s position at pitch release Runner’s position when ball crosses plate Time when catcher obtains possession of the ball Time when catcher releases the ball Position where 2B/SS receives the ball Time when 2B/SS obtains possession of the ball Catcher’s transfer time

44 PFX HFX FFX Catching We would need… Runner’s position at pitch release Runner’s position when ball crosses plate Time when catcher obtains possession of the ball Time when catcher releases the ball Position where 2B/SS receives the ball Time when 2B/SS obtains possession of the ball Catcher’s throw - speed - accuracy

45 PFX HFX FFX Thank you


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