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Tiecon 2010 Money, Money, Money How Much Do I Need? How Long Will It Last? How To Be Convincing
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Deborah Kranz 35 years of Financial Experience Fortune 100 Corps, VC’s & startups Motorola, Syva, Saga, 3Com, EY, KPMG, Interwest & Mayfield Fund Clients- Admob, ArcSight, Aruba Networks, Palo Alto Networks, Xros, Kace, Aster Data, Clearwell, Mimosa, Rhapsody, Lookout, Kior, Calera Significant Experience with Financial Plans
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Starting Your Company Where to Begin
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Why You Need A Model 4 Determine amounts and timing of cash needed to reach milestones and cash flow breakeven Determine the sources and uses of cash from startup to breakeven To help investors understand the ROI & Exit
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Compelling Idea Initial $ Needed What Milestones Break Even Point Market / % Share Profitability/Exit Research - Study Markets & Competitors Financial Statements Understand Financial Assumptions & Why They Matter Develop Company Financial Model & Validate The Plan Process
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Developing A Financial Model 6 Knowledge Prerequisites Sources of Comparative Information Presentation Format Development Steps Using the Model Frequent Problems
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Knowledge Prerequisites 7 Understand Your Industry What Problem Am I Solving? What Products & Services Am I Providing Understand & Analyze Your Customers & Markets Understand & Analyze Competitors
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Knowledge of Products & Services 8 Articulate problem you are solving & size of problem What is the value proposition I can offer? Understand & determine technology road map and specify key milestone dates Understand & determine pricing for products What are my competitive advantages? Are there barriers to entry? What are milestone dates for revenue
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Knowledge of Markets & Customers 9 What are the markets and how large? Who are the customers & what is their geographic distribution? What is my potential market share? How long is the sales cycle? What are my sales channels? Who are the competitors?
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Analysis of Competitors 10 Research & understand your competitors Public Information Bankers, attorneys, advisors How do you differentiate yourself from competitors
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Sources of Comparative Data 11 Market Studies – Industry report (Hoovers,1st Research) – Investment bankers (Goldman, Morgan Stanley) – Big 4 CPA industry reports – Google
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More Sources of Comparative Data 12 EDGAR System S-1,10K (financial data, business) – Accessible through Yahoo Finance – Google “Company Name S-1” Financial Consultants (Kranz & Assoc) – Comparative Start Ups
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SalesforceS-1 Information from Edgar 13
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Salesforce S-1 Information from Edgar 14
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Presentation Format 15 Key Financial Statements – Income Statement – Cash Flow – Timing differences – Equipment, Inventory Other Important Data – Headcount – Cash Burn – Cash – Capital Expenditures if significant – Inventory, if applicable
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Format of Income Statement 16
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Format of Cash Flow 17
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How To Use The Model 18 Go to www.kranzassoc.com Click on Resource Tab Useful Articles Tiecon Model Available May 20, 2010 Input Cells are Blue
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Definitions 19 Cost of Sales – Costs directly attributable to sales Gross Margin – Revenue minus Cost of Sales Operating Expenses (OpX) – Company Expenses except for Cost of Sales Capital Expenditures (CapX) – Cost of Equipment Cash Burn – Cash going out of company
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Steps in Developing Plan 20 Forecasting bookings and revenue Forecasting cost of goods sold-COGS Forecasting operating expenses-OPX Forecasting capital expenditures-CAPX Forecasting other uses of cash Forecasting sources of cash
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Bookings & Revenue Assumptions 21 Number of units sold Average selling price per unit Timing of orders vs. delivery Bookings versus Revenue Timing of customer payments
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COGS Assumptions 22 Costs Related to Revenue Generation Manufacturing or Operations Dept Costs Materials or Hosting & Bandwidth QA & Testing Purchasing
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Department Assumptions - OpX 23 Research & Development Sales & Marketing General & Administrative
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Research & Development Assumptions 24 Costs to achieve technical milestones Staffing Recruiting Consulting & Outside Services Development Costs
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Sales & Marketing 25 Expenses required for sales forecast Staffing Recruiting Travel Consulting & Outside Services Advertising & Promotion
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General & Administrative 26 Staffing – CEO, Finance/Accounting, HR, IT Recruiting Consulting & Outside Services – Legal (General & IP) – Audit and Tax Facilities (rent, utilities, communications) Supplies, other
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AssumptionsJanuaryFebruaryMarch Employee Staffing (#) Operations000 Research & Development, Eng223 Sales & Marketing000 General & Admin111 Fringe Benefit % of Salary20% Bonus % of Salary000 Avg Employee Salary ($000) Operations Research & Development, Eng$15.3$15.0$13.3 Sales & Marketing General & Admin$12.5 Recruiting Cost per new Emp ($000) Operations$8.0 Research & Development, Eng$8.0 Sales & Marketing$8.0 General & Admin$8.0 Travel Cost per Emp FTE ($000) Operations$0.2 Research & Development, Eng$0.3 Sales & Marketing$1.0 General & Admin$0.5 Sales Commissions as % or Revenue10% Staffing Assumptions $ in 000’s
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28 JanuaryFebruaryMarch Headcount (Year End)333 Income Projection ($000) Bookings$ - Revenue$ - Operations Salary and related$ - Recruiting$ - Travel$ - Consulting/outside services$ - Expensed equip/software$ - Occupancy, supplies, other$ - Operations Total$ - Materials/direct costs$ - Cost of Goods Sold$ - Gross Margin$ - Gross Margin Assumptions $ in 000’s
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Other Uses of Cash 29 Operating losses ([SALES-COGS-OPX] <0) CAPX Other assets (deposits, prepaid expenses, accounts receivable, inventory) Debt payments
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Forecasting CAPX 30 Outlining your Equipment Needs Computers and Software Industry Specific Equipment Leasehold Improvements Furniture
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Sources of Cash 31 Operating profit ([SALES-COGS-OPX] >0) Equity financing Debt financing Customer prepayments Accounts payable
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Debt Financing 32 Growth capital loans Equipment loans Equipment leases Account Receivables lines of credit
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33 JanuaryFebruaryMarch Research & Development, Eng Salary and related36 48 Recruiting––8 Travel111 Consulting/outside services555 Expensed equip/software444 Development related17 Occupancy, supplies, other222 Research & Development, Eng Total65 85 Sales & Marketing Salary and related––– Recruiting––– Travel––– Consulting/outside services––– Sales & Marketing related––– Occupancy, supplies, other––– Sales & Marketing Total––– General & Admin Salary and related15 Recruiting––– Travel111 Consulting/outside services333 Legal, insurance, fees10 Occupancy, supplies, other13 General & Admin Total42 Total Operating Expenses106 126 Operating Income (Loss)($106) ($126) Operating Expenses $ in 000’s
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34 JanuaryFebruaryMarch Operating Income (Loss)($106) ($126) Inventory (increase) decrease––– Accnts Rec (increase) decrease––– Prepaids/Deposits (increase) decrease(5) Accnts Payable increase (decrease)14 Accrued Payroll increase (decrease)111 Cash Flow from Operations(97) (116) Cash (Used for) Capital Expenditures(50) Debt Service Payments (prin + int)––– Equip/Growth Capital Financings––– Equity Investments10,000–– Cash Flow from Financing10,000–– Increase (Decrease) in Cash$9,853($147)($166) Beginning Cash$–$9,853$9,707 Ending Cash$9,853$9,707$9,541 Sources & Uses of Cash $ in 000’s
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Financings, Cash Burn, Cash Balance 35 Cumulative Financings Cumulative Cash Burn Cash Balance
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Common Forecast Problems 36 Time to market longer than forecast R&D staff ramp slower than forecast CAPX needs higher than forecast Sales ramp slower than forecast (both units & ASP) COGS higher than forecast
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Formed in 1995 40 experienced professionals – Cross all industries & stages Experience with: – Over 200 companies all stages – Over 20 Venture Capital firms – Over 15 IPO’s – Over 20 Mergers & Acquisitions Cost effective solution for startups
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QUESTIONS? 38
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