2. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Agenda Greenville Co, SC Overview Process, Examples, Lessons Learned, and Community Feedback –Changes Since Last FIRM –Flood Depth & Analysis Grids –Flood Risk Assessment –Flood Risk Report, Map, and Database Conclusions 2

3. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County Overview Risk MAP Early Demonstration Project Purpose is to develop Flood Risk Datasets and Products for selected flooding sources in Greenville County Projected funded under CTP Early Demonstration MAS No. FY10.18 3

4. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County Overview Most highly populated county in South Carolina (10% of State population) First SC County modernized under Map Modernization First SC County to be studied under Risk MAP 4

5. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County Overview All streams included within the Demonstration Project area are within the Saluda HUC-8 Basin (03050109) 3 Communities affected: –City of Greenville –City of Travelers Rest –Greenville County Unincorporated Areas 40 Miles of Stream Identified for Flood Risk Datasets & Products 5

6. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Project Scope – Included Elements Flood Risk Datasets –Changes Since Last FIRM –Flood Depth Grids (10%, 4%, 2%, 1%, 0.2% Annual Chance Events) –Flood Velocity Grids (1% Annual Chance) –Percent Annual Chance of Flooding Grid –Percent Chance of Flooding over a 30-yr Period Grid –Water-Surface Elevation Change Grid (1% Annual Chance) –Flood Risk Assessment (Hazus Results) Flood Risk Products –Flood Risk Database –Flood Risk Map –Flood Risk Report Community Meeting (WebEx held on 5/11/2011) 6

7. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Community Meeting Format WebEx meeting held on May 11, 2011 Discussed the purposes of the data, goals of Risk MAP, and mitigation actions that could be undertaken Data within the Flood Risk Database at several key locations was presented to the community within ArcGIS Discussion centered around: –What the data means and how it can be used –Feedback from the community –Tie-ins to the community’s mitigation efforts 7

8. Changes Since Last FIRM

9. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Changes Since Last FIRM Process –GIS processing (Union of Effective and New floodplains) and table attribution –Manual identification of Contributing Engineering Factors –We developed custom tools to automate portions of the GIS processing 9

10. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Examples Greenville County: Changes Since Last FIRM Added to SFHA Removed from SFHA 10

11. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Examples Greenville County: Changes Since Last FIRM Added to Floodway 11

12. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Changes Since Last FIRM Lessons Learned –Populating the CSLF database was slightly more complex than originally anticipated (Contributing Engineering Factors) – once tools are fully in place and the database design is “locked down”, this shouldn’t be an issue Community Feedback –Thought this dataset would be very helpful –Asked whether or not there was information on the vertical change as well as the horizontal change (WSEL Change Grid) –Seemed to appreciate the chance to review the results in certain locations ahead of preliminary issuance 12

13. Flood Depth & Analysis Grids

14. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Depth Grids Process –Subtraction of Ground Elevation from Water Surface Elevation grid –We used in-house automated tools for mapping backwater fingers and around confluences – based on attributed cross sections and terrain data 14

15. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Depth Grids Some awareness is needed when using these grids along with specific buildings/homes 15 First Floor Elevation Depth reported in Depth Grid Depth within Structure

16. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Examples Greenville County: Flood Depth Grids 16

17. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Depth Grids Examples 17

18. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Depth Grids Lessons Learned –Production process fairly straight forward, but need to make sure confluences and backwater fingers are addressed –25 foot grids were too coarse in populated areas, and on smaller streams – recommend allowing for smaller grids if terrain accuracy supports Community Feedback –Felt the data would be beneficial to community officials, planners, emergency responders, etc. –Flood depth information at roads (road access) is an important part of community’s planning efforts –Had some reservations of having this information openly accessible to the general public – concerns about the devaluation of property that it could lead to 18

19. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Percent Chance of Flooding Grids Process –Computation of percent annual chance of flooding based on Water Surface Elevation curves and intersection with ground –Projection of probability of flooding during 30-yr time period –We used in-house automated tools for producing this dataset 19

20. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Percent Chance of Flooding Grids Examples (Percent Annual Chance) Home with greater than 10% Annual Chance of Flooding Outside SFHA but with Flood Risk 20

21. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Percent Chance of Flooding Grids Examples (Percent Chance over 30 years) Greater than 90% chance of flooding at least once during 30 years Nearly 20% chance of flooding at least once during 30 years 21

22. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Percent Chance of Flooding Grids Lessons Learned –Production process fairly straight forward, but need to make sure confluences and backwater fingers are addressed –25 foot grids were too coarse in populated areas, and on smaller streams – recommend allowing for smaller grids if terrain accuracy supports Community Feedback –None received, other than a question on whether the mortgage/insurance industry would have access to this data 22

23. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Water Surface Elevation Change Grid Process –Generate 1% WSEL Grid based on new study results –Generate 1% WSEL Grid based on effective study results –Subtract the effective from the new –Clip to the Changes Since Last FIRM areas that were SFHA on the effective maps and are also SFHA on the new maps 23

24. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Water Surface Elevation Change Grid Examples 24

25. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Water Surface Elevation Change Grid Examples 25

26. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Water Surface Elevation Change Grid Lessons Learned –Having effective GIS data for the models is helpful. This would eliminate the need to ‘reverse engineer’ the spatial information. –The more effective cross sections (all – not just the lettered cross sections) you have enhances the elevation change grids – an accurate WSEL Change Grid requires you to be able to accurately recreate the effective profile from the digital data Community Feedback –Very helpful to have this data in conjunction with the Changes Since Last FIRM dataset 26

27. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Velocity Grids Process –We used HEC-GeoRAS and its velocity mapping tools –Velocity distributions were specified within HEC-RAS as follows: 20 on each overbank 5 within the channel 27

28. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Velocity Grids Examples Structures Potentially Subject to High Velocities 28

29. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Velocity Grids Examples Structures Potentially Less Vulnerable to High Velocities 29

30. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Velocity Grids Lessons Learned –Velocity grids produced from a 1D model should be considered approximate at best, unless cross section spacing is very close and very detailed overbank n-values have been incorporated into the models (velocities sensitive to n-values) –2D models would produce velocity grids that are more accurate and defendable –Backwater areas are a challenge – would need to supplement separately or spend time manually adjusting cross sections Community Feedback –Velocity results over roads would be particularly beneficial to support the community’s efforts to identify where road closures should occur during a flood 30

31. Flood Risk Assessment (Hazus Results)

32. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Risk Assessment Process –Input depth grids from study into Hazus and compute flood losses –Calculate annualized losses based on the calculated results from each flood event (10%, 4%, 2%, 1%, 0.2% Annual Chance) 32

33. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Risk Assessment Examples Medium Flood Risk Low Flood Risk 33

34. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Risk Assessment Examples High Flood Risk (although closer inspection is warranted) Medium Flood Risk 34

35. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Risk Assessment Lessons Learned –Currently, somewhat cumbersome to export tabular results from Hazus and incorporate into Flood Risk Database format (although future tools should hopefully streamline this) –Message needs to be carefully crafted in areas where a census block reports flood losses, but most/all of the homes are outside the floodplain (due to the way Hazus assumes the distribution of buildings with a census block) – site-specific analyses will be much more accurate Community Feedback –Community has gone through an effort to collect information at specific structures to help them identify potential buyout properties – census block information may not provide that much benefit in these cases 35

36. Flood Risk Products: Flood Risk Database, Report, & Map

37. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Risk Database, Report, & Map Flood Risk Map Community boundaries Potential losses from 2010 AAL study supplemented with new Hazus runs from new modeling areas Community per capita losses Additional data available through FRD, FIRM and National Flood Hazard Layers 37

38. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Flood Risk Database, Report, & Map Lessons Learned –Database production will be easier in the future once the database format and standards are locked down –With so many different ways to look at the data within the database, a community user guide should be provided that recommends various attributes, or combinations of attributes, to look at depending on the situation –Flood Risk Map may be too “zoomed out” to be effectively used, especially if Areas of Mitigation Interest are not part of the project Community Feedback –Can see some use in the Flood Risk Map to help initially identify other areas for further investigation 38

39. Conclusions

40. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina Greenville County: Conclusions The Water Surface Elevation Change Grid should be delivered along with the Changes Since Last FIRM – they will be used hand-in-hand It is critical to have discussions early on at the Discovery meeting about the best way to optimize the balance between the community’s and FEMA’s resources to produce the flood risk data Although there is recognition that mitigation actions are easier to identify when the flood risk assessment data is provided at the building-specific level rather than census block level, the strategy for the dissemination of that information needs to have buy-in from the communities Although not a part of this project, the Areas of Mitigation Interest dataset should be considered in future Risk MAP projects – community had interest in undersized culverts and information about overtopping A community user guide should be provided that contains suggestions on how to view and symbolize the data for various purposes 40

41. Flood Risk Datasets & Products in Greenville County, South Carolina41 Questions? andrew.bonner@aecom.com daryle.fontenot@aecom.com coxm@dnr.sc.gov