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Published byMuriel Kristin Harrison Modified over 9 years ago
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Redefining Active Management Yoonjai Shin, CFA Director, CI Investment Consulting
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2 CI Investment Consulting team Redefining active management Market outlook Agenda
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3 Yoonjai Shin, CFA Director Fund/manager analysis Asset allocations Currency strategy Fund selection Project management Andrew Ashworth Analyst Fund/manager analysis Cash flow management Performance reporting Lewis Harkes, CFA Senior Analyst Fund/manager analysis Performance reporting Alfred Lam, CFA VP & Portfolio Manager Investment strategy / Asset allocations Fund selection/ Currency strategy Communications Marchello Holditch Senior Analyst Fund/manager analysis CI Investment Consulting Team
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4 What do we manage? $20 billion in assets under management
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5 Best Fund of Funds Award -2011 Best Fund of Funds Award -2012 Best Global Fixed Income Balanced Award -2012 Best Global Fixed Income Balanced Award -2013 Industry recognition
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6 Bond return expectation is very low Equity returns are more attractive but have high volatility Investors can either take more risks or demand from their portfolio manager to work harder The new normal
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7 Redefining Active Management Total return = Asset mix + Alpha + Market Beta + Currency – Tax – Fees Optimize MaximizeManage Manage/ Reduce Minimize Reduce
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8 Access to managers under one roof
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9 Expected Return % Volatility 100i 40i60e 100e PE expansion.... For illustration purposes only; there is no guarantee on results. Gov’t Bonds GIC Solution for every investor
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10 Strong performance 2013*20122011 PSS 40i60e9.29.2-2.9 PS Balanced8.38.1-2.8 Quotential Balanced Growth Portfolio5.46.4-4.5 Fidelity Balanced Portfolio5.08.1-2.8 Dynamic Edge Balanced Portfolio5.06.0-3.7 AGF Elements Balanced Portfolio4.66.8-3.0 40% DEX, 60% TSX1.95.2-1.4 *May 31, 2013
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11 Why are we out-performing? Superior income allocation Overweight US equity Currency hedges did not cost us even though CAD has depreciated in general Strong performance from Cambridge and QV (PSS only)
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12 Source: TD Securities Overweight US Outlook: US vs. Canada
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13 Source: CIBC GDP growth forecast 2013 2014 US 2.0% 3.2% Canada 1.6% 2.4% Outlook: US vs. Canada
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14 Source: Rudebusch (FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010), Haver Analytics, Federal Reserve, CIBC Outlook: continued monetary easing
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15 Government of Canada benchmark bond yields - 10 year GRAPH PERIOD: 28 May 2012 - 28 May 2013 Source: Bank of Canada Volatility in bond markets leading to tactical opportunities Outlook: volatile bond markets
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16 Canadian dollar is 17% overvalued based on Purchasing Power Parity Source: Bloomberg Outlook: Canadian dollar
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