1. OwlSimulation Energy Model

2. The four Mores of Citizens for Affordable Energy The Motivation

3. The Modules Model representation using modules

4. The Basics Four main modules o Consumer module o Producer module o Environmental module o Infrastructure module 10 energy industries (oil, gas, nuclear, biofuels, hydro, geothermal, solar, wind and hydrogen) Same model for each industry but different parameters Lambdas (functions) connect different modules Technology will be modeled by Events (modules that are activated at certain time and last some period of time)

5. Lambdas – relationships among system components Producer lambda Consumer lambda Infrastructure lambda Environmental lambda Function parameters are adjustable, such as –Current supply price –Current demand price –Supply and demand curves slopes –Ideal level of pollution –Regulation –Population size –…

6. Producer-Consumer relationship Supply and demand curves Feedback loop to find equilibrium price Current market values to start the simulation and calculate curve slopes

7. Linear Representation Environment Lambda: Collects pollution (currently in CO 2 levels) and generates regulation to the producer to reduce CO 2 levels if(pollutionIdeal < pollutionCurrent) regulation = -k*(pollutionIdeal - pollutionCurrent) else regulation = minRegulation where minRegulation is the user-supplied desirable level of pollution

8. Plan to Model the System Currently, found statistics and values to model gas industry Implemented the main components in code After testing the gas industry, we are going to model the other industries in similar way Four main modules (consumer, producer, environment and infrastructure) Functions that relate those modules Some modules are going to be simpler than others Environment will collect inputs from all industries and output regulation

9. Making the model more complex The goal of simulating one industry accurately is to prove that our theoretical model works Total number of modules for a large simulation: ~400 Producer will have 10 sub-modules (1 for each industry) Infrastructure will have 10 sub-models. Events such as new technology and natural catastrophes are modules too.