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Natural Gas Technologies For The Future
Melanie Kenderdine Gas Technology Institute Energy and Nanotechnology: Strategy for the Future Houston, Texas May 2-4, 2003
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Drivers for Natural Gas Demand
Resource Abundance Overall Growth in Energy Demand Geopolitics of Oil Inexpensive Power Generation Environmental Benefits
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World Gas Consumption By Region, 1999 & 2020
Eastern Europe North America Ind. Asia Dev. Asia W. Europe Middle East Africa C./S. America 1999 2020 est. Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook, 2002
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% World Gas Reserves By Region
36 36 Eastern Europe North America 5 W. Europe 3 8 Middle East Asia & Oceania 4 8 C./S. America Africa 79% of the world’s gas reserves are in 12 countries Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook, 2002
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World Coal/Gas/Oil Consumption By Region, 1999/2020
Eastern Europe North America Ind. Asia W. Europe Middle East Dev. Asia C./S. America Africa Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook, 2002
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% World Oil/Gas/Coal Reserves By Region: Geopolitical Issues In Focus
57 36 27 North America 26 36 18 7 30 Eastern Europe W. Europe 5 9 3 8 3 Asia & Oceania 8 Middle East 4 2 8 C./S. America 6 6 Africa Coal Gas Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook, 2002 Oil
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Global Electricity Consumption: 75% Demand Increase by 2020
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Economics of New Baseload Electric Plant Costs Are Driving US Gas Demand
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% Increases in CO2 Emissions, 1999/2020
Eastern Europe +45% North America + 42% Ind. Asia +23% W. Europe +21% Middle East +72% Dev. Asia +122% C./S. America +139% Africa +140% Worldwide Carbon Emissions Expected to Increase 61%
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Technology Challenges for Natural Gas
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Challenge #1: Developing Conventional/ Unconventional Gas Resources
Near Term Enhanced Drilling Enhance Seismic Techniques Reservoir Management Unconventional Gas Production Mid Term Ultradeep-Water Production Unconventional Gas Production from multiple sources Deep Drilling Advanced Coalbed Methane Long Term Methane Hydrates New Architecture for Ultradeep-water Production and Transport
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Countries With Coalbed Methane Development Programs
United Kingdom Canada Russia United States Ukraine China Brazil Australia
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Location of World’s Known and Expected Methane Hydrate Deposits
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Methane Hydrates: Long Term Potential, Significant Hurdles
Enormous potential resource. USGS estimates that there are 320,000 tcf in the US. Methane is 10 times more effective than CO2 in causing global warming. Impacts of methane hydrate production unknown. Gas hydrates may cause landslides on the continental slope Production methods unclear Role in ecosystem not clearly understood
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Challenge #2: Accessing Stranded Natural Gas Resources
Near Term LNG Infrastructure and Efficiency LNG Quality Gas to Liquids Mid Term Super Pipelines Floating LNG Production/ Regasification/ Storage GTL Compressed Natural Gas Transport Long Term Methane Hydrates Gas by Wire
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World’s Stranded Gas Reserves By Region and Amount
$8 $11 $6 $6 $10 $6 $5 Import Markets Source: World LNG/GTL Review ($US Recent Price) 10-60 tcf tcf tcf 1500 tcf
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World’s LNG Facilities and Markets: Growing Regional and Global Markets
Source: World LNG/GTL Review Existing Facilities Proposed Facilities Markets
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LNG Costs and Infrastructure
Gas Production: ………………$ $1.30 Liquefaction: …………………..$ $2.50 Shipping………………………….$ $1.10 Regasification…………………...$ $1.50 TOTAL: $ $6.40 Source: GTI LNG Source Book, 2001 17 LNG Liquefaction (Export ) Terminals 40 Regasification (Import) Terminals 130 LNG Tankers (120 M Metric Ton Capacity) Source: University of Houston Institute for Energy Law & Enterprise
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R & D Needs for Liquefied Natural Gas: Lowering Cost, Increasing Flexibility
Floating LNG liquefaction/ regasification/ storage facilities Subsea cryogenic pipelines for offloading product to onshore storage facilities Use of salt caverns for LNG storage Micro-LNG facilities
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Gas To Liquids Technology: Accessing Stranded Gas, Serving Middle Distillate Market
technology enables us to bring stranded gas to markets by converting gas into high quality liquid fuels that can be transported to market in the existing petroleum infrastructure
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Gas To Liquids Technology: Reducing Capital Costs
Capital costs of GTL have been reduced by 60% in last decade. Still, syngas step accounts for 60% of the capital costs. Research to address this cost: Direct conversion from methane to desirable liquid hydrocarbon via catalytic oxidation Catalysis improvements for indirect conversion Plasma technology for conversion of natural gas into syngas before catalytic reaction Ceramic membranes Co-location with LNG plants
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Challenge #3: Extending the Resource Base By Developing Alternatives to Natural Gas
Near Term Wind Energy Geothermal Energy Mid Term Coal Gasification Coal Liquefaction Enhanced Oil Recovery Biomass Gasification Solar Photovoltaics Long Term Hydrogen and Hydrogen Infrastructure Affordable Nuclear Power Plants With Manageable Waste
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Enhanced Oil Recovery Could Change the Geopolitics of Oil
Canada billion barrels heavy oil Venezuela 272 billion barrels heavy oil Saudi Arabia reserve estimates: 250 billion barrels Steve Holditch, SPE Conference, 2002
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EOR Technology Challenges to Produce Venezuelan/Canadian Heavy Oil Reserves
Evaluation of formations* Special engineering* New types of completion methods* Significant hydraulic fracturing* Horizontal and multi-branched well bores* Advanced drilling technologies* + Carbon sequestration Desulfurization technologies *Steve Holditch, SPE Conference, 2002
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Anthracite/Bituminous
Subbituminous/Lignite
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Coal/Biomass Gasification: Rivals Natural Gas in Environmental Quality
Produce hydrogen, ammonia, or synthetic natural gas from coal or biomass High-efficiency production of electricity with no release of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere High-sulfur coal easily handled with GTI’s technology “Green Power From Coal”
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R &D Challenges for Commercial Coal or Coal/Biomass Gasification
Lowering of Cost -- $1200 per megawatt hr. compared to $900 for conventional coal fired plant Membranes to separate oxygen from air for gasification process and hydrogen and CO2 from coal gas Feeding and uniformity of feedstock Improved gasifier designs Advanced cleaning technologies Recycling of solid wastes + Carbon sequestration
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Distributed Generation Large Scale Distributed Generation
Challenge #4: More Efficient Use of Natural Gas/ Environmental Mitigation Near Term Power Generation Gas Turbines Distributed Generation End Use Efficiency Mid Term Advanced Gas Turbines Large Scale Distributed Generation Fuel Cells Gas to Liquids Gasification Long Term Carbon Sequestration Super Batteries
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Global Diesel Market: 36 million barrels per day
World’s 3 Major Auto Manufactures Moving To Low Sulfur Diesel Engines/Regulations US: 15 ppm 2006 EU: 50 ppm 2005 Germany: 10 ppm 2003 Japan: 50 ppm 2004 Global Diesel Market: 36 million barrels per day
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Environmental Regulations Could Drive Gas to Liquids Market
9% lower 30% lower 43% lower 45% lower Hydrocarbons Carbon Monoxide Nitrogen Oxides Particulates Gas Derived Diesel Petroleum Derived Diesel
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Regional Supply/Demand Patterns Suggest Various Technology Pathways for Natural Gas
LNG Infrastructure CNG Transport Unconventional/Ultra-deep Gas to Liquids Fuel Cells Hydrogen Methane Hydrates Enhanced Oil Recovery Renewables Infrastructure Improvements Super Pipelines/Pipelines Energy Efficiency LNG Coalbed Methane Methane Hydrates Ultra-deepwater Coalbed Methane LNG Efficiencies Methane Hydrates Fuel Cells Hydrogen Renewables Coal/Biomass Gasification Pipelines/Superpipelines LNG Efficiencies Coalbed Methane Energy Efficiency Methane Hydrates Ultra-deepwater Distributed Generation Gas-to-Liquids LNG Efficiencies Energy Efficiency Enhanced Oil Recovery Ultra-deepwater Development LNG CNG Transport Methane Hydrates Renewables Ultra-deepwater Distributed Generation Gas-to-Liquids LNG Efficiencies Energy Efficiency Coal Gasification Gas-to-Liquids Coalbed Methane Coal Gasification LNG Efficiencies All regions should invest in carbon sequestration
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Government R&D Expenditures in Select Countries for Nanotechnology
US………….$700 M per year DOE…………………$197 M (Fy04 req) EU………….$600 M per year Japan………$1 B (2002) Taiwan……..$600 M per year
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Challenge #1: Developing Conventional/ Unconventional Gas Resources
Near Term Enhanced Drilling Enhance Seismic Techniques Reservoir Management Unconventional Gas Production Coalbed Methane Mid Term Ultradeep- Water Production Unconventional Gas Production from Shales/Tight Sands/Deep Drilling Advanced Coalbed Methane Long Term Methane Hydrates New Architecture for Ultradeep-water Production and Transport Possible Nanotechnology Applications Advanced fluids mixed with nanosized particles to improve drill speed Nanosensors for reservoir characterization Removal of gas impurities via nano –separation Nanocrystalline substances for drilling materials
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Challenge #2: Accessing Stranded Natural Gas Resources
Near Term LNG Infrastructure and Efficiency LNG Quality Gas to Liquids Mid Term Super Pipelines LNG GTL Compressed Natural Gas Transport Long Term Methane Hydrates Gas by Wire Possible Nanotechnology Applications Nanocatalysis for gas to liquids production Nanoscale membranes for gas to liquids production Nanostructured materials for compressed natural gas transport
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Challenge #3: Extending the Resource Base By Developing Alternatives to Natural Gas
Possible Nanotechnology Applications Nanotubes for fuel cell cars Nanocatalysis for coal liquefaction Nanocomposites for hydrogen storage Nanosensors for reservoir characterization Filters for more efficient ethanol processing Near Term Wind Energy Geothermal Energy Mid Term Coal Gasification Coal Liquefaction Enhanced Oil Recovery Biomass Gasification Solar Photovoltaics Long Term Hydrogen and Hydrogen Infrastructure Affordable Nuclear Power Plants With Manageable Waste
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Challenge #4: More Efficient Use of Natural Gas/ Environmental Mitigation
Near Term Power Generation Gas Turbines Distributed Generation End Use Efficiency Mid Term Advanced Gas Turbines Large Scale Distributed Generation Fuel Cells Gas to Liquids Gasification Long Term Carbon Sequestration Super Batteries Possible Nano-technology Applications Nano-crystals or photo catalysts to speed up the breakdown of toxic wastes Nano-scale coatings for more efficient catalytic conversion Nano-structure catalysts to remove pollutants/ impurities from natural gas Nanocrystalline materials for water treatment Polymeric nano-particles to remove pollution from catalytic conversion
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Nanotechnology: Avoid the “Valley of Death”
Maximize interdisciplinary collaboration Involve industry as stakeholders Utilize university research capability Leverage federal/national labs Emphasize pre-competitive results Include studies on technology choices/ down selection & technology migration Societal Implications of Nanoscience and Nanotechnology, Sep/ 29,2000
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