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Jan H. Jansen E-mail: jan.jansen@han.nl
Finance Lecture # 1 Jan H. Jansen
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Wind energy
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Dropbox URL:
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Minor Wind Energy Project Management
Finance Law Supply Chain Management Construction Mechanical Engineering Energy
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Minor Wind Energy Project Management
Finance Law Supply Chain Management Construction Mechanical Engineering Energy Commercial Engineering
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Educational unit: WEPM-C (7.5 ECTS)
Commercial Educational unit: WEPM-C (7.5 ECTS) WEPM-C-LW Law 30% ≥ 5.5 WEPM-C-FC Finance 40% ≥ 5,5 WEPM-C-SC ISCM
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What is our ambition? Recognizing trends in the Wind Energy market
Analyzing an annual report of a wind energy supplier; Constructing an cash flow overview of wind energy project; Establish risk awareness (project- , exchange -, interest rate- and political risks) Decision criteria for an investment in a wind energy project (PBP, ROI, NPV, IRR and BET). Financially sourcing a wind energy project.
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Assessment WEPM-C-FC WEPM-P-FR Written exam of 120 minutes (PW8)
Finance will also be assed in the final report and presentation of the project of this minor
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Programme Lecture Topic 1 Overview Energy Market 2 Annual Reports 3
Project Financials, Value Propositions & Business Model 4 Business plan I 5 Business plan II 6 Case study WEPM 7 8 Written Exam
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Energy Market Oil Gas Coal Nuclear Wind Electricity Hydro Solar
Biomass Geothermal
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Electricity market Complex market The art of electricity
See slide before The art of electricity Not directly tangible Storage problems Capacity Transformation of Wind (free good) into Electricity (economic good)
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Overview Energy Market
Macro level Energy prices (P) Energy demand (Q) Meso level / Industry level Micro level / Firm level Value chain & supply chain Annual Reports
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Macro level Energy prices (P) Energy demand (Q)
Prices of substitutes / Trends Energy demand (Q) Trends
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Renewable energy in final energy consumption (2020 target) Source: www
Renewable energy in final energy consumption (2020 target) Source: 2006 2007 2008 2020 Target % To cover: United Kingdom 1.5 % 1.8 % 2.2 % 15 % 12.8 % France 9.6 % 10.2 % 11 % 23 % 12 % Denmark 16.8 % 18.1 % 18.7 % 30 % 11.3 % Netherlands 2.5 % 3 % 3.2 % 14 % 10.8 % Italy 5.3 % 5.2 % 6.6 % 17 % 10.4 % Belgium 2.7 % 3.3 % 13 % 9.7 % Spain 9.1 % 9.5 % 10.7 % 20 % 9.3 % Germany 6.9 % 9 % 8.9 % 18 % Austria 24.8 % 26.6 % 28.3 % 34 % 5.7 % Sweden 42.7 % 44.2 % 44.4 % 49 % 4.6 %
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Renewable electric energy in the EU
Resource: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: Hydro energy 60.60 % 64.40 % 60.00 % Wind energy 20.40 % 17.10 % 21.00 % Biomass 17.00 % 16.70 % Geothermal energy 1.20 % 1.00 % Solar energy 0.80 % 0.50 % Resource:
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Meso level / Industry level
Wind Energy Farm Distribution Suppliers
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Micro level / Firm level
Wind Energy Farm Input > Throughput > Output Procurement > Production > Sales
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Annual reports Market & Strategy Corporate Governance
Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Sustainability Financial ratios Profitability Liquidity Solvency Activity
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Structure of the balance sheet
Equity: Issued Capital Retained earnings / Reserves Long Term Liabilities Provisions Loans Bonds Current liabilities: Creditors / AP Bank overdraft Taxes Dividend Fixed assets: Property, Plant & Equipment Intangible assets Financial noncurrent assets Current assets: Inventories Debtors / AR Cash & Cash equivalents
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Structure of the income statement / profit & loss account
Costs Costs of Sales: Cost of raw materials Cost of (manufacturing) labour Costs of depreciation of equipment Overhead costs: Selling expenses R&D expenses General expenses Administrative expenses Other expenses Incidentals Financial charges Operating income Revenues / Sales
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Profit definitions Gross Profit: Revenues - Cost of Sales
Operating Income / EBIT: Gross Profit - Overhead costs EBITDA: EBIT + Depreciation + Amortization EVA: NOPAT - Capital Charges : NOPAT = EBIT - Taxes Capital Charges = Invested Capital * Cost of Capital
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Performance of the company: Liquidity
The ability of an asset to be converted into cash without a significant price concession Current ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities Quick ratio: { Current Assets -/- Inventories } / Current Liabilities
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Performance of the company: Solvency
Solvency shows how the extent to which the firm is financed by debt Debt Ratio: Debt / Total Assets Debt-To-Equity Ratio: Debt / Shareholder’s Equity
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Performance of the company: Profitability
Compares profit (output) with invested money (input) of the firm Gross Profit Margin: Gross Profit / Sales ROI (ROA) = Return on Investment (Assets) Net Profit after taxes / Total Assets ROE = Return on Equity Net Profit after taxes / Shareholder’s Equity
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Performance of the company: Economic activity
Provides performance information of the efficiency of some internal processes Asset turnover Sales / Assets Inventory turnover Cost of goods sold / Inventory Receivable turnover (collection period) Sales / Receivables
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Du Pont formule ROE = NPM * TAT * EM
NPM = Net Profit Margin (Market profit) NPM = Net Profit / Sales TAT = Total Assets Turnover (Utilisation) TAT = Sales / Total Assets EM = Equity Multiplier (Financial structure) EM = Total Assets / Total Equity
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Altman’s Z-score Working Capital / Total Assets * 1.2 Retained Earnings / Total Assets * 1.4 EBIT / Total Assets * 3.3 Market Value Equity / Book Value Liabilities * 0.6 Sales / Total Assets * 0.999
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Annual reports (2010) of Sustainable Energy Industry
Van Oord (case for the lectures) Teams Eneco Vestas ABB RWE GE Siemens Nordex BP Shell
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Organisation # Company URL Team members Van Oord www.vanoord.com
Van Oord Mr Jan Jansen 1 Eneco 2 Vestas 3 ABB 4 RWE 5 GE 6 Siemens 7 Nordex 8 BP 9 Shell
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