2. www.csee.wvu.edu/~jalali October 23, 2002

3. Overview Introduction Introduction Where we are? Where we are? Where we go? Where we go? What is the fourth wave? What is the fourth wave? What is education for the fourth wave? What is education for the fourth wave? Conclusions Conclusions

4. PART 1 Introduction?

5. “IMAGINATION, ” said Albert Einstein, “is more important than knowledge.” SCIENCE FICTION Imagination and fantasy often point the way to real- world developments. Many inventions, such as airplanes, radio, robots, the laser, and television, were first described in science fiction.

6. 1 st Wave: Agricultural Age (29,500 Years) Goal Produce Food 2 nd wave: Industrial Age (500 Years) Goal Produce Material 3 rd wave: Information Age ( 25 Years) Goal Produce Information What is the 4 th wave of change? ? 4 th wave: ? Age ( 20 Years ahead!)

7. Alvin Toffler and the Third Wave He has written about society, culture, the media, organizations, science, computers, politics, and economics. Third wave, based not on muscle but on mind. It is what we variously call the information or the knowledge age. ARE THESE CATEGORIES STILL RELEVANT?

8. Why Subject is Important During periods of great change (like now), we must know about the future. We must be able to prepare for what’s ahead. We should know the function of each age. We should know the role of breakthrough technologies in that process.

9. Today, only %17 of the workfource is directly involved in the material production of physical goods Simple workers will be reduced to 2% in the USA by year 2030 1960 19952030 33% 17% 2%

10. What is the Fourth Wave? Education for the Fourth Wave Space Age

11. What is the Fourth Wave? Education for the Fourth Wave Genetic Engineering Age

12. Education for the Fourth Wave

13. What is the Fourth Wave? Education for the Fourth Wave Nanotechnology Age

14. PART 2 Where we are? Internet Smell Detector Home Management Internet Refrigerator Internet Car

15. EDUCATION SCIENCESCULTURE COMMUNICATION WORKING FOR PEACE AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT UNESCO ’ S unique contribution: mobilizing the major intellectual sectors to prevent and solve problems, through coordinated action.

16. World Population from -1600 to 2000

17. 6.1 1.5 1 World Population 1000-2000 0.72 0.5 0.42 0.33 Population (in billion) Reduction of natural resources

18. 6.1 5 3 2 1.6 World Population 1900-2000 50% of the W. P. are under 25 years old. The W. P. will be increased one billion each 12 years till the year 2050. The land used for farming has been reduced by 50% from 50 years ago. Population (in billion)

19. lamp radio1906laser1960 plastic1909industrial robot1961 refrigerator1913microscope1970 lamp television1923video recorder1971 radar1940scanner1972 atomic bomb1945GPS1973 transistor1947genetic engineering1974 computer1948high speed train1978 optic fiber1955walk-man1979 lamp radio1906laser1960 plastic1909industrial robot1961 refrigerator1913microscope1970 lamp television1923video recorder1971 radar1940scanner1972 atomic bomb1945GPS1973 transistor1947genetic engineering1974 computer1948high speed train1978 optic fiber1955walk-man1979 Inventions from 1900-1980

20. COMPUTERS WILL BE MORE HUMAN

21. SOFTWARE WILL GET SMARTER

22. THE WEB WILL BE SMART WORLD WIDE WEB

23. Life Sciences - Re-Engineering of Life Itself Tele-diagnostics Technologies Implantable Integrated Biodevices Recombinant DNA – Genopharmacology Bio-engineered Organisms, Tissue Systems, Organs

24. PART 2 Where we go?

25. Primary Elements of The Emergent Operational Ecology Infotech Biotech Nanotech

26. THE THREE MOST IMPORTANT TECHNOLOGICAL ELEMENTS IN CHANGING THE WORLD High Speed CPU ’ s Large Capacity Memories High Speed Media

27. 200 1000 Transistor Count Versus Year for Microprocessors Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Million Year High Speed CPU ’ s 0.029 3.1 5.5 7.5 9.5 1.2 1000 200

28. THE FOUR CRUCIAL TECHNOLOGICAL COMPONENTS IN CHANGING THE WORLD High Speed CPU ’ s Large Capacity Memories High Speed Media

29. 200 1000 Transistor Count Versus Year for Microprocessors Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Million Year High Speed CPU ’ s 0.029 3.1 5.5 7.5 9.5 1.2 1000 200

30. Transistor Count Versus Year for Microprocessors Year Introduced Version Approximate Number of Transistors 1980 1990 1993 1995 1997 1999 2005 2011 8086 80486 Pentium Pentium Pro Pentium II Pentium III ULSI ? 29,000 1.2 Million 3.1 Million 5.5 Million 7.5 Million 9.5 Million 200 Million 1 Billion

31. The ULSI chip in the year 2005 Minimum feature size of process technology0.1 micro m Total number of transistors200 million Chip size550 mm^2 Clock frequency 2-3.5 GHz Number of I/O connections4000 Number of wiring levels7-8 Supply voltage0.9-1.2 V By the year 2011 there will be one billion transistor on a single chip. By the year 2011 there will be one billion transistor on a single chip.