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Review of IOOF MultiMix Trusts December Quarter 2011
Presented by: <IOOF Investment Team> IOOF Investment Management Limited Date: <Enter Date>
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Disclaimer This presentation is issued by IOOF Investment Management Limited (IIML) ABN AFSL IIML is a company within the IOOF group of companies, consisting of IOOF Holdings Limited ABN and it's related bodies corporate. This presentation is of a general nature only and is not intended to represent or be a substitute for specific financial or investment advice. The information presented does not take into account any investor's objectives, financial situation or investment needs. You should obtain and consider a copy of the Product Disclosure Statement available from our website before you acquire a financial product. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. Neither IIML nor any company in the IOOF group guarantees the performance of any fund or the return of an investor's capital. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The Lonsec Limited (‘Lonsec’) ABN ratings (assigned as follows: IOF0092AU – November 2011; IOF0098AU – November 2011; IOF0094AU – November 2011; IOF0095AU – November 2011; UFM0051AU – November 2011; IOF0093AU – November 2011; IOF0097AU – November 2011; IOF0090AU – November 2011) presented in this document are limited to ‘General Advice’ and based solely on consideration of the investment merits of the financial products. They are not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold the relevant products, and you should seek independent financial advice before investing in these products. The ratings are subject to change without notice and Lonsec assumes no obligation to update the relevant documents following publication. Lonsec receives a fee from the Fund Manager for researching the products using comprehensive and objective criteria. Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011
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Agenda Financial markets review – December 2011 Market outlook
MultiMix sector trusts review – December 2011 MultiMix diversified trusts review – December 2011 Strategic tilting Appendices Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011
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Financial markets review – December 2011
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Investment returns for major asset classes
Total return major listed asset classes Year to 31 December 2009 % Year to 31 December 2010 Year to 31 December 2011 Quarter to 31 December 2011 Month to 31 December 2011 Australian shares 37.59 1.90 -10.98 2.05 -1.44 International shares (in A$ - unhedged) -0.30 -2.04 -5.34 2.00 0.21 International shares (hedged) 26.71 13.13 -1.91 8.69 0.98 Australian bonds 1.73 6.04 11.37 1.94 0.78 International bonds (hedged into $A) 8.03 9.28 10.51 2.04 Australian listed property trusts 9.56 -0.68 -1.56 3.81 -2.55 International listed property trusts (hedged) 27.41 22.54 1.43 8.31 2.15 Source IRESS Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011
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Financial markets – quarter in review
All major asset classes posted positive returns for December 2011 quarter Australian dollar rebounded in December quarter from US$0.97 to US$1.03 Hedged international shares returned 8.7% while unhedged returned 2.0% Developed markets outperformed emerging markets Best performing asset class was hedged international listed property with a return of 8.3% Solid returns from fixed interest as a result of softer global growth expectations and two interest rate cuts from 4.75% to 4.25% Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 6
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Market outlook European crisis: some positive signs emerging though structural issues still persist United States: some positive economic signs emerging China: continuing to grow but some concerns emerging Australia: further rates cuts anticipated Equity Markets: positive start to 2012, remain cheap but susceptible to shocks Global fixed income: an expensive safe haven Currency markets remain volatile and are hostage to macroeconomic events Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 7
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MultiMix sector trusts review – December 2011
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MultiMix Australian Shares Trust
December 2011 Vinva 16.4% Alliance Bernstein 16.2% Solaris 18.4% Integrity 15.8% Perennial 16.4% Legg Mason 8.7% Merlon 8.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Australian Shares Trust 1.05 -13.01 6.32 S&P ASX 300 Accumulation Index 2.05 -10.98 7.67 Excess return -1.00 -2.03 -1.35 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 9
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MultiMix International Shares Trust
December 2011 Credit Suisse Asset Management 5.8% Perennial 4.3% Neuberger Berman 19.9% Wellington 9.3% SSGA 36.6% LSV Asset Management 24.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix International Shares Trust 0.86 -7.57 -2.70 MSCI All Countries World ex Australia $A Index * 1.60 -5.71 -2.71 Excess return -0.74 -1.86 0.01 * International shares benchmark changed from MSCI World ex Australia $A Index (unhedged) from October Figures shown here are a composite of both indexes Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 10
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MultiMix Diversified Fixed Interest Trust
December 2011 Perennial Enhanced 9.4% Loomis Sayles 11.7% IIML Income 7.0% PIMCO (Aust fixed interest) 11.3% IIML CMT 11.3% Cash 1.7% PIMCO (Intl fixed interest) 26.5% Perennial Australian Fixed Interest 21.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Diversified Fixed Interest Trust 1.94 8.32 9.22 50% UBS Comp Bond Index / 50% Barclays Capital Global Agg Index 2.00 10.95 7.79 Excess return -0.06 -2.63 1.43 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 11
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MultiMix Cash Enhanced Trust
December 2011 Cash 1.1% IIML 66.8% Perennial 32.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Cash Enhanced Trust 1.33 5.45 5.99 UBSA Bank Bill Index 1.22 5.00 4.38 Excess return 0.11 0.45 1.61 Performance is net of management costs and expenses Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 12
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IOOF Wholesale Income Trust
December 2011 Cash 0.9% Perennial Income Fund 99.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % pa IOOF Wholesale Income Trust 2.14 7.18 13.13 UBS Credit FRN Index (from 31/12/10) 1.15 5.13 4.42* Excess return 0.99 2.05 8.71 Performance is net of management costs and expenses Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *Performance figure is a composite of UBSA bank bill index and the UBS Credit FRN Index. Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 13
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IOOF Cash Management Trust
FUM: $1.5b Weighted average duration: 60 days Term deposits: 50% Maximum exposure: CBA 33% A1+ exposure: 84% A1 exposure: 16% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 1 Month % 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % pa 5 Years % pa IOOF Cash Management Trust 0.39 1.20 5.12 4.30 5.28 UBSA Bank Bill Index 1.21 4.99 4.37 5.48 Excess return 0.00 -0.01 0.13 -0.07 -0.20 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011
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MultiMix Wholesale Australian Property Trust
December 2011 Colonial First State 22.4% Challenger 77.6% Total Returns for periods ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Wholesale Australian Property Trust 4.95 -0.51 5.52 S&P ASX 300 Property Trust Accum Index 3.81 -1.56 2.32 Excess return 1.14 1.05 3.20 In CW we were 6 out of 10 managers surveyed and median We have moved up in survey and are now No1 over the past year REIT Mkt steady recovery. The sector has outperformed the broader equity market. Reduced gearing and focused on core property competency. Also reduction in international exposure No manager changes both beat benchmark Challenger who are the core manager 6.7% vs index 5.8% CFS small to medium coy 16% V good return Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 15
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MultiMix Wholesale International Property Trust
December 2011 Cash 1.6% Cohen & Steers 30.8% Perennial 67.6% Total Returns for periods ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Wholesale International Property Trust 7.25 -5.18 11.37 UBS Global Investors ex Aust AUD hedged net TR 8.86 1.94 18.82 Excess return -1.61 -7.12 -7.45 In the CW survey we were not included in the survey The absolute return for the fund was very positive Index did 36% but this as explained previously is not the index that this fund is measured against . We use the FTSE index and this index has an exposure to developers. Out exposure with managers is up to 25%. Developers have been hit hard in past 12 months largely due to limited access to capital Perennial did 25% Cohen and Steers 28% This sector is currently under review and we have Russell working with us on this exercise Performance is net of management costs and expenses Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 16
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MultiMix Wholesale Alternatives Trust
December 2011 Alternative Debt Strategy Weight % Infrastructure 22.7 Subordinated Debt 14.7 Credit Opportunities 11.3 Cash 51.3 Alternative Equity Strategy Weight % Private Equity 15.3 Special Situations 2.3 Discretionary Hedge Funds 10.2 Systematic Hedge Funds 43.6 Cash 28.6 Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 17
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MultiMix diversified trusts review – December 2011
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MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust
December 2011 Alternatives 10.4% Cash 6.8% Australian shares 29.1% Fixed interest 16.6% Property 7.1% International shares 30.0% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust 1.32 -3.89 4.70 Strategic benchmark* 2.18 -2.62 5.26 Excess return -0.86 -1.27 -0.56 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *For further information on the strategic benchmark, please refer to a copy of the IOOF MultiMix Trust Product Disclosure Statement available from our website Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 19
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IOOF MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust detractions (Quarter to December 2011)
Zero hedged benchmark Zero hedged benchmark detracted from performance (US $0.97 to $1.03) Hedged international shares returned 8.7% while unhedged returned 2.0% Trust had unhedged stance over the December quarter and past 12 months Rationale for continued zero hedged benchmark Our view: AUD remains overvalued Commodity prices may be weaker Australian interest rates are likely to fall AUD classified as a risk asset Historically, markets fall, so too does A$ AUD a natural hedge Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 20
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IOOF MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust detractions (Quarter to December 2011)
Fixed income Tilt away from global bonds to cash hurt as US Treasuries rallied US 10 year government bond yield unsustainably low at 1.88% at end of December, so we are maintaining tilt Underperformance of sector trusts Australian equities International equities International listed property Alternatives – growth Property Plus Fund Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 21
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IOOF MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust detractions (Quarter to December 2011)
Overweight international versus Australian equities Australian equities outperformed unhedged international equities for the quarter However, over the 12 month period, unhedged international equities has outperformed Australian equities Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 22 22
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IOOF MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust positive contributions (Quarter to December 2011)
Outperformance of Australian Listed Property sector Outperformance of Alternative – Debt Trust Fixed interest managers generally outperformed Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 23 23
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Asset allocation update
IOOF MultiMix Balanced Growth Trust Asset class Target allocation (%) Range (%) Actual as at December 2011 Cash & short-term securities 3 0-15 6.8 Diversified fixed interest 22 10-35 16.6 Alternative – defensive 3.3 Property 10 0-20 7.1 Australian shares 30 20-40 29.1 International shares 25 15-35 30.0 Alternative – growth 7 100 Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 24
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MultiMix Moderate Growth Trust
December 2011 Alternatives 10.0% Australian shares 17.4% Cash 25.4% International shares 14.9% Property 7.0% Fixed interest 25.3% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Moderate Growth Trust 1.76 -1.35 5.42 Strategic benchmark* 2.41 -0.18 5.76 Excess return -0.65 -1.17 -0.34 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *For further information on the strategic benchmark, please refer to a copy of the IOOF MultiMix Trust Product Disclosure Statement available from our website Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 25
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IOOF MultiMix Moderate Growth Trust detractions (Quarter to December 2011
Zero hedged benchmark Zero hedged benchmark detracted from performance ($A0.97 to $1.03) Hedged international shares returned 8.7% while unhedged returned 2.0% Trust had unhedged stance over the December quarter and past 12 months Rationale for continued zero hedged benchmark Our view: AUD remains overvalued Commodity prices may be weaker Australian interest rates are likely to fall AUD classified as a risk asset Historically, markets fall, so too does A$ AUD a natural hedge Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 26 26
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IOOF MultiMix Moderate Growth Trust detractions (Quarter to December 2011)
Fixed income Tilt away from global bonds to cash hurt as US Treasuries rallied US 10 year government bond yield unsustainably low at 1.88% at end of December, so we are maintaining tilt Underperformance of sector trusts Australian equities International equities International listed property Alternatives – growth Property Plus Fund Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 27 27
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IOOF MultiMix Moderate Growth Trust positive contributions (Quarter to December 2011)
Underweight equities (early December) Australian and international equities underperformed cash for the month of December Outperformance of some sector funds Outperformance of Australian Listed Property sector Outperformance of Alternative – Debt Trust Fixed interest managers generally outperformed Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 28 28
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Asset allocation update
IOOF MultiMix Moderate Growth Trust Asset class Target allocation (%) Range (%) Actual as at December 2011 (%) Cash & short-term securities 5 0-25 25.4 Diversified fixed interest 35 25-45 25.3 Alternative – defensive 0-15 5.0 Property 10 0-20 6.9 Australian shares 22 10-35 17.4 International shares 18 5-30 14.9 Alternative – growth 5.1 100 Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 29
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MultiMix Capital Enhanced Trust
December 2011 Australian shares 9.1% Cash and short term securities 46.7% Property 5.1% Diversified fixed interest 39.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Capital Enhanced Trust 1.67 4.96 7.82 Strategic benchmark* 1.89 6.27 6.67 Excess return -0.22 -1.31 1.15 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *For further information on the strategic benchmark, please refer to a copy of the IOOF MultiMix Trust Product Disclosure Statement available from our website Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 30
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MultiMix Conservative Growth Trust
December 2011 Australian shares 9.8% Alternative 7.9% International shares 7.1% Cash and Short term securities 33.3% Property 8.6% Diversified fixed interest 33.3% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Conservative Growth Trust 1.83 3.16 7.11 Strategic benchmark* 2.08 4.45 6.41 Excess return -0.25 -1.29 0.70 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *For further information on the strategic benchmark, please refer to a copy of the IOOF MultiMix Trust Product Disclosure Statement available from our website Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 31
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MultiMix Hi Growth Trust
December 2011 Cash and short term securities 2.9% Alternatives 8.1% Property 5.5% Diversified fixed Interest 4.7% Australian shares 39.5% International shares 39.3% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa MultiMix Hi Growth Trust 1.02 -6.55 3.74 Strategic benchmark* 2.16 -5.83 4.14 Excess return -1.14 -0.72 -0.40 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *For further information on the strategic benchmark, please refer to a copy of the IOOF MultiMix Trust Product Disclosure Statement available from our website Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 32
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Multi Series Balanced Trust
December 2011 Cash and short term securities 5.5% Australian shares 33.9% International shares 30.2% Diversified fixed interest 25.3% Australian listed property 5.1% Total Returns for period ending 31 December 2011 3 Months % 1 Year 3 Years % pa Multi Series Balanced Trust 1.52 -4.20 4.49 Strategic benchmark* 2.14 -2.64 4.44 Excess return -0.62 -1.56 0.05 Performance is net of management costs and expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Source: IOOF *For further information on the strategic benchmark, please refer to a copy of the IOOF MultiMix Trust Product Disclosure Statement available from our website Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 33
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Strategic tilting update
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Currency/overseas assets
Asset allocation committee decided to put more money offshore (Australian Equities to International Equities) for the Balanced Growth and Hi Growth Trusts (November 2010). All funds maintain a zero hedge target benchmark. The AUD is trading at historically high levels We see the following three main catalysts for Australian dollar weakness: increased risk aversion from the ongoing debt crisis in Europe RBA easing decline in commodity prices prompted by the economic slowdown in China Valuation on overseas shares was attractive – especially in the US The natural hedge – if markets fall, AUD falls – GFC example Tilt has outperformed by 4.3% as at 31 December 2011 Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011
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AUD/USD Source: Datastream Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011
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Global fixed interest/cash tilt
August 2010, 20% allocated to cash funded from global bonds within IOOF’s MultiMix Diversified Fixed Interest Trust Rationale US Gov’t bonds yields unsustainably low at 1.88% Cash and term deposits currently have a high running yield with no duration risk Status/Outcome Since implemented, global bonds outperformed cash Tilt has underperformed by approximately 2% as at 31 December 2011 Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 37
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US 10 year government bond yield
Source: IRESS Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 38
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United diversiAAppendices
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News update MultiMix sector funds review – September 2011
Chant West ratings confirmed January 2012 Multi Series Balanced Trust Enhancements and Research House Feedback Review of IOOF MultiMix Funds Dec 2011 40
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