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Finance & Investment Club Fall 2012 Supply Chain Management Software and Services
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2 Industry Rating: Industry Summary Key Factors: Cloud based software is a new field that is experiencing rapid growth The cheap costs and growing security of cloud servers are drawing in more customers Supply chain management is a key component in the growing internet retailing sector
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3 Industry Definition Firms in this industry specialize in supply chain management (SCM) solutions that provide strategic planning, optimization, and execution for business processes across a wide range of industries. These firms develop, deploy, and maintain a variety of software and services that are highly tailored and industry-specific. Key Companies of Focus DSGX: 40-F E2OPN: S-1 Descartes Systems Group (NASDAQ: DSGX) Market Cap: 558.95M Aspen Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: AZPN) Market Cap: 2.31B SciQuest, Inc. (NASDAQ: SQI) Market Cap: 411.06M American Software, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMSWA) Market Cap: 227.94M Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NASDAQ: MANH) Market Cap: 1.17B JDA Software Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: JDAS) Market Cap: 1.42B E2open Inc. (NASDAQ: EOPN) Market Cap: 438.47M
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4 Technology Goods and Services Sector Summary Breakdown Technology 77243.6B (100%) Information Technology 10477.9B (13.6%) Business Software and Services 4253.1B (5.5%) Application Software and Services 640.0B (0.83%) Industry Breakdown by Market Cap ($BN) JDAS 691.243 M MANH 329.253 M AMSWA 102.636 M DSGX 99.2 M AZPN 198.154 M SQI 53.438 M EOPN 55.523 M
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5 5 SaaS SubscriptionProfessional Services FY2011 Revenue Segments Software LicensingOther
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6 Revenue Generation Develop Provide Maintain Software Package Software-as-a- Service Customer Professional Services License Fee Subscription Fee Additional Fees Training and support Technical Maintenance
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7 Trends af IT and Software Spending Growth Rising E-Retail Sales Increasing Adoption of Software-as-a- Service (SaaS) Platforms
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8 Trend I: SCM Software Spending Forecast CAGR 5.4% IT 2011: 3.6 TN 2015: 4.1 TN SCM software prime consumers include North America and Western Europe with nearly 79% or market revenue. Asia/Pacific IT spending is on pace to reach US$743 billion in 2013, a 7.9% increase from 2012. Shift towards diversified suppliers Increasing complex and fragmented supply chains due to globalization and outsourced manufacturing Software 2011: 268 BN 2015: 334 BN SCM Software 2011: 7.7 BN 2015: 10.33 BN SCM software is used worldwide IT 2011: 3.6 TN 2015: 4.1 TN Software 2011: 268 BN 2015: 334 BN SCM Software 2011: 7.7 BN 2015: 10.33 BN Source: Gartner Research – Worldwide Supply Chain Management software growth
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9 Trend II: SaaS-based Technology Expected to Gain Momentum Low cost of installation Larger audience outreach including small and medium- sized enterprises High demand for productivity in developing countries Eastern Europe CAGR: 25.02 % Latin America CAGR: 26.76 % Source: Research and Markets: Global Supply Chain Management Software
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10 Trend III: E-Retail as a Growing Channel of Sales 6%7% 8% % of total US retail Sales $BN Consumers rely more and more on online research before purchases. Consumers use Brick-and-mortar stores to sample and then buy online at a lower price. Three product categories (computers, apparel, and consumer electronics) represented more than 45 percent of online sales($67.6 billion) in 2011 Convenience, Cost, and Speed are important strategies for online retail Source: Forrester Research - Forecast Online Retail Sales; Marketing Charts $M
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11 Risk Heavy Competition from large ERP vendors developing new SCM technologies − ERP vendors can devote more resources to creating SCM software and services −Oracle and SAP are slowly developing SCM technology which increases buyout risk for smaller companies Highly complex and sophisticated software may contain defects and errors that are hard to detect and may lead to software inaccuracy −Defects or errors in software lead to inaccuracy and hurt both the customer and company’s revenue and reputation. Research and Development activities may not generate significant returns −Product development activities are costly and recovering investment in product development may take a significant amount of time. −Cannot estimate with any certainty the revenue from R&D investments. Large portion of revenue comes from professional services, which is very reliant on prior sales of software −If software sales stagnate, professional services revenue will consequently suffer.
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12 Industry Porter Five Forces DSGX: 40-F E2OPN: S-1 Rivalry High Suppliers Low New Entrants High Buyers Low Suppliers Low Low Cost of Production Substitutes In-house production of software Difficult for customers to drive down prices on very specialized software Complex software for superior supply chain results
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13 Supply Chain Management Software and Services Industry Rating: Industry Conclusion Key Factors: Cloud based software is a new field that is experiencing rapid growth The cheap costs and growing security of cloud servers are drawing in more customers Supply chain management is a key component in the growing internet retailing sector
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