1. Egypt AnPro-Model Manual Item – 2 Principal Features and Structure of the Model
Part 1: overview of the UNESCO Template ANPRO-Model
(Slides 2 - 9)
Part 2: the Egypt AnPro-Model
(Slides )

2. Egypt AnPro - Model Manual Item – 2: Principal Features and Structure of the Model
 Part 1:
Overview of
the UNESCO Template ANalysis and PROjection Model
The Egypt AnPro-Model is based on the UNESCO Template ANPRO-Model of the Handbook for Decentralized Education Planning. The overview of the Template Model in Slides helps to better understand the Egypt Model.

3. Origin of ANPRO Model
UNESCO’s country experience with spreadsheet-based ESMs
started in late 1980s
- pioneered by UNESCO-World Bank Cooperative Program
- continuously developed at Headquarters, by Field Offices and by IIEP
in 2001 UNESCO (Regional Office Bangkok) prepared the
EFA Planning Guide, published in 10 languages
- it contains a how-to-do methodology and an analysis and projection tool
in the form of an Excel based ESM  the ANPRO Model
- its objective (i) help education ministries prepare a “credible” EFA plan
(ii) ensure consistency in EFA planning by countries and donors
in 2005 UNESCO published the
Handbook for Decentralized Education Planning
(2006 in French, 2007 in Arabic)
- it provides concept, methodology, tools for education planning
in the context of public sector management reform
(medium term expenditure frameworks, decentralization, etc.)
it contains an ESM analysis and projection tool  the ANPRO Model
 This is an updated and expanded version of the Model
which replaces the one contained in the EFA Planning Guide! 3

4. Purpose of ANPRO Model
The ANPRO Education Simulation Model is designed
 (1) to provide essential analytical and projection data
needed for the planning process
- the technical as well as the policy setting process
 (2) to facilitate plan implementation monitoring
 (3) to be used in particular
- for target setting, priority setting, resource allocation
- setting of implementation indicators 4

5. Users of ANPRO Model Users of the ANPRO Model are:
 in countries:
- ministry of education
- ministry of finance
- ministry of planning
- sector management units at sub-national, decentralized levels
- research and training institutions
 at international level:
- financial donors and TA providers:
for international programs like EFA/FTI, MDG, PRGS
- training and research institutions 5

6. Principal areas of use of data produced by the Model
The data produced by the ANPRO-Model are needed and used
for all principal phases and steps of the planning process:
Sector diagnosis, situation analysis; i.e. analysis of how the education sector functions at present
identification of possibilities for improving the functioning of the sector (sub-sectors)
projections of likely future developments of major components of the sector (sub-sectors) under alternative sets of goals and targets,
i.e. under alternative policies and strategies
projections of the resources needed to attain these goals and targets (human, material, financial resources)
assessment of the feasibility of goals and targets in terms of human, material and financial resources
identification of resource gaps
setting of implementation priorities
setting of indicators for monitoring of plan implementation 6

7. Typical features of ANPRO Model (page 1)
 ANPRO-Model is:
- designed in Excel and simple to use
- easily adaptable to specific country situations
- using existing data; it does not require expensive and complex
new data collection
 Analytical tools linked to the Model allow to check consistency
and validity of baseline data, projection assumptions and targets.
The ANPRO-Model is an instant tool for dialogue and negotiation:
(i) within the education sector
(ii) between the Ministry of education and the Ministries of Finance
and of Planning
(iii) between central and sub-national level entities
(iv) between Government and donors
Dialogue and negotiation concern the setting of targets and implementation priorities, filling of resource gaps, allocation of resources. 7

8. Typical features of ANPRO Model (page 2)
The Higher Education sector is not included in the ANPRO-Model
for the following reasons:
in most countries the HE sector is under a separate ministry
in all countries, the HE sector structure and functioning, its regulatory framework, its stakeholder constituency, its management culture, its resource allocation decision process, its separate chapter in the public budget, its own forms of financing, are particular features which make HE significantly distinct and different from the pre-HE education sector.
HE has its own, specific planning approaches. 8

9.  Part 2: The Egypt AnPro-Model (slides 10-16)
Egypt AnPro-Model Manual Item – 2: Principal Features and Structure of the Model =====================================================
 Part 2: The Egypt AnPro-Model (slides 10-16)
The most recent application of the ANPRO-Model is the
Egyptian Analysis and Projection Model (Egypt AnProModel)
which was designed for and applied in the preparation of the
National Strategic Plan
for Pre-University Education Reform in Egypt
2007/08 – 2011/12

10. Structure of the Egypt AnPro-Model (page 1)
 The Egypt-ANPRO Model includes all education subsectors which
are under the authority of the Ministry of Education:
- Preschool
- Primary
- Preparatory
- General Secondary
- Technical Secondary
- Adult Literacy
 The Model allows separate treatment of:
- Public schools (schools under government responsibility)
- Azhar schools
- Private schools
The Model-structure is the same for the different subsectors. As example
Slides show the Model-structure of the PRIMARY subsector. 10

11. Structure of the Egypt-AnPro Model (page 2)11

12. Structure of Egypt AnPro - Model (page 3)
Pupil Sub -
Model
Teacher Sub
Example :
Primary Model
Links between sub
models
Pupils
Number of Classes
Number of Schools
Capital Expenditure
Sub
Recurrent Expenditure
Graduates 12

13. Structure of Egypt AnPro- Model (page 4)13

14. Structure of Egypt AnPro- Model (page 5)14

15. Structure of Egypt AnPro- Model (page 6)15

16. Structure of Egypt AnPro-Model (page 7)16