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Types of Population Policies
Pro-natalist / Expansive Anti-natalist / Restrictive
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U.S.S.R. - pro-natalist Starting on July 8, 1944 the government of the
U.S.S.R. began awarding medals to women in order to encourage a high fertility rate.
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Why did the government believe there was a need for a pro-natalist policy at this time ?
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Motherhood Medal 2nd Class
5 children 8,000,000 awarded
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Motherhood Medal 1st Class
6 children ,000,000 awarded
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Order of Maternal Glory 3rd Class
7 children ,000,000 awarded
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Order of Maternal Glory 2nd Class
8 children ,000,000 awarded
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Order of Maternal Glory 1st Class
9 children ,000 awarded
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Order Mother Heroine 10 children ,000 awarded
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Germany Cross of Honor of the German Mother
(Ehrenkreuz der deutschen Mutter)
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Bronze 3rd Class Mother’s Nazi Cross 4, 5
Bronze 3rd Class Mother’s Nazi Cross 4, 5 Silver 2nd Class Mother’s Nazi Cross 6, 7 Gold 1st Class Mother’s Nazi Cross 8 or more Diamond – 14 or more
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China - anti-natalist
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One Child Policy 1979 - rewards start once 1 child contract is signed
free medical care free daycare and schooling guaranteed job for child bonuses for parents extra maternity leave better housing bigger old age pension Penalties must repay financial benefits educational, medical benefits, & guaranteed jobs are withdrawn parents’ wages reduced
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Millions of dollars have been spent on education and on advertising.
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Do a good job in family planning to promote economic development
Do a good job in family planning to promote economic development
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The anti-natalist policies worked so well,
now China is promoting births again
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Bolivia
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Ethiopia
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Vietnam: Two children are enough!
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Why do you believe that most
posters show a girl rather than a boy ?
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What do you notice about this population pyramid? Note two things.
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India Wait until the 1st child is 3 before having your 2nd
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What do you notice about India’s pyramid?
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Egypt
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United States
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Why would a country want an anti-natalist policy ?
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Thomas Malthus ( )
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Current world population: 7.1 billion
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From Plan B 2.0 Per capita income in China will equal that of the US by 2031 if China’s economy grows at current pace. With a projected population of 1.4 billion at the time, a China as prosperous as the US would: Burn 99 million barrels of oil a day, 18% more than is now produced globally Consume 2/3 of world’s current grain harvest Use twice as much paper as the world currently produces Drive 1.1 billion cars, more than the world’s 2005 fleet of 800 million--forcing China to pave roads, highways, and parking lots equal to the area it now plants in rice.
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Why would a country want a pro-natalist policy ?
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Problem is not resources, but allocation of resources…
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Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 1
Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 1. Dependency ratio, currently 3:1, will become 1.5:1 by 2050.
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Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 2
Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 2. ‘Graying Means Paying’: the rise of the ‘old,old’ (85+ yrs old) will require care…Expensive care. Who will pay? Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Ireland already on verge of bankruptcy.
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Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 3
Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 3. In Germany, foreign workers (mostly Turkish) will constitute 30% of population. What problems might that entail?
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Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 4. Fewer soldiers
Costs of Population Decline/Aging Population: 4. Fewer soldiers. Thus, ignore some international problems, over-react to others.
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In recent years China has relaxed the
rules, and in some cases have even started encouraging two children. In many cases, parents are not taking advantage of this opportunity. Why ?
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Quebec - Pro-natalist 1950’s - one of the highest Fertility Rates in the developed world (Catholic & rural) FR of 1.4 (1.7 Canada) & Quebec’s share of Canadian population was decreasing
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1987 1st set of incentives $500 for each of 1st 2 children
$3000 for each subsequent child child care facilities improved & expanded tax free family allowance if 2 or more children interest free housing loans (up to $7000)
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1992 1997 2nd set of incentives $500 for 1st child $1000 for 2nd child
$6000 for each subsequent child other benefits remained the same 1997 Program ended after 10 yrs. of minimal success
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Greek debt crisis: Retirement age 58
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