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The Future? Global Trends 2030. 1. Big Power Rivalry? New Cold War or…

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Presentation on theme: "The Future? Global Trends 2030. 1. Big Power Rivalry? New Cold War or…"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Future? Global Trends 2030

2 1. Big Power Rivalry? New Cold War or…

3 2. Interdependence

4 US Trade Partners

5 China Trade Partners

6 3. Multipolarity USEUChinaIndiaJapanRussiaBrazil

7 4. US leadership? United Nations World Trade Organization IMF World Bank IAEA NATO APEC

8 5. Soft Power Leadership Liberal Democracy vs. 1.Theocracy 2.Soft Authoritarianism

9 6. Domestic Problems James Moody and Peter Mucha. “Portrait of Political Party Polarization.” Network Science / Volume 1 / Issue 01 / April 2013, pp 119-121 Network Science

10 Education Program for International Student Assessment rankings 2006 2009 Ranking: Reading 17 th Math: 31 st Science: 23rd

11 Deficit and Debt Federal Deficit (Historical Tables) (Historical Tables) FY 2014 Summary

12 National Debt National Debt: the accumulated deficits, plus other incurred debt by the US National Debt Clock http://www.usdebtclock.org/

13 Who owns the Debt 2011? Federal Reserve information 1.US Federal Reserve and other Government Financial Entities 2.Other Investors/Savings Bonds 3.China 4.Japan 5.Pension Funds 6.Money Market Funds/Mutual Funds 7.State and Local Governments in US 8.UK 9.Banks 10.Insurance Companies 11.OPEC nations 12.Brazil 13.Caribbean nations 14.Hong Kong 15.Canada

14 7. Fundamental Changes? A.Drones for everyone? B.Cyberthreats C.Urbanization plus increased inequality D.Disturbance Democracy E.Non-State Actors

15 A. Drones for everyone?

16 B. Cyber threats Is any information secure? Is any system secure?

17 C. Urbanization plus increased inequality Caracas, Venezuela

18 Mumbai, India

19 D. Disturbance Democracy 1999 Battle for Seattle

20 London 2011

21 E. Non-State Actors al-Shabab vs. Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Ethiopia (and US) ISIL vs. Iraq, Iran, Syria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia (and US) Disruption Civil war Bad ideologies

22 Transnational Organized Crime: Mexico vs. Drug Cartels source:http://www.utexas.edu/international/ioc/safety_updates.html

23 8. Inward Focus Public Opinion Runs Against Syrian Airstrikes, Pre Research Center for the People and the Press, SEPTEMBER 3, 2013 Widespread Middle East Fears that Syrian Violence Will Spread, Pew Research Global Attitudes Project, MAY 1, 2013


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