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Assessing student and market demand: The example from the Kinesiology PhD proposal IQAP New Program Information Session December 6, 2012 Marijke Taks (PhD)
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Two online surveys (fall 2009) Past MHK graduates (2003-2009) Electronic mail or Facebook Status during their MHK program graduation date stream (AHP or SM) length of program internship vs. thesis route residential status at application undergraduate field of study pursued a PhD yes/no TWO GROUPS Current MHK students Electronic mail Current status within the MHK program start date current semester stream (AHP or SM) internship vs. thesis route residential status at application undergraduate field of study interested in a PhD Yes and maybe/No TWO GROUPS
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YES/past (*current) List all Universities and PhD programs you applied to (would be interested in)? Indicate the University and PhD program where you completed your degree OR where you are currently enrolled in? i)University: _________________ ii)Name of the program: _______________ iii)Start date (month/year):______________ * When would you expect to start your PhD (indicate Month/Year)? Open ended
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YES/past (*current) (cont’d) What was /is (would be) your enrolment status? (FT/PT) Current stage: In progress ___Expected completion date:__ Completed ___Date degree awarded (month/year) Incomplete/Left program: After how long in the program _____ Reason for withdrawal: …………
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YES/past (cont’d) Thinking back…. If the University of Windsor offered a PhD program in the Department of Kinesiology, would you have considered applying? YES NO MAYBE Open ended comment box
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NO/past/*current Would you have considered applying to a PhD program at the University of Windsor if the Department of Kinesiology had offered one at that time? YES/NO/MAYBE/Open ended comment box If the Department of Kinesiology at the University of Windsor were to offer a PhD program in the near future, would you consider applying? (past & current) YES/NO/MAYBE/Open ended comment box If applicable, please indicate when you would be interested in applying? Within 3 years OR After 3 years
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What we have not done Surveying master students from other institutions!
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SOME RESULTS
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Response rate Past MHK graduates (2003-2009) Population: N = 173 Reached: N = 162 E-mail: n = 128 Facebook: n = 34 Returned: N = 84 RR = 52% Current MHK students Population: N = 49 Returned: N = 32 RR = 65%
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Estimations based on past MHK students (N= 84) 48% internship (n=40) 52% thesis (n = 44) n = 14 applied for a PhD n = 30 did not apply for PhD Focus for further analysis The results for this sample were extrapolated based on a total population, being 52% of N = 173 n = 90
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Table 1: Estimations of potential market demand for a PhD program at the University of Windsor based on the PAST MHK students’ survey (extrapolations based on thesis students, or 52% of the total population of n = 173; thus: n = 90) Response (n = 44) Market demand extrapolation (based on population n= 90) n%Estimated N GROUP THAT APPLIED TO A PHD PROGRAM IN THE PAST 7 YEARS143229 Considered applying at PhD program at UWindsor if available (yes/maybe)122725 GROUP THAT DID NOT APPLY TO A PHD PROGRAM306861 Considered applying to PhD program at UWindsor if available (yes/maybe)173935 Within 3 years92018 After three years376
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Estimations based on current MHK students (N=32) 72% thesis route (n=23) n=19 interested in pursuing a PhD (‘Yes’: n = 6; and ‘Maybe’: n = 13) selected 28 PhD programs in Ontario universities How many of these students would chose to remain at the University of Windsor should there be that option? n = 16 would consider staying (‘Yes’: n = 14 and ‘Maybe’: n = 2; n=5 start in fall 2010; n = 9 start in fall 2011)
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Table 2: Estimations of potential market demand for a PhD program at the university of Windsor based on the CURRENT MHK students’ survey (extrapolations based on a total population of n = 49) Response (n = 32) Market demand extrapolation (based on population n= 49) n%Estimated N GROUP PLANNING TO PURSUING A PHD PROGRAM 195929 Considers applying at PhD program at UWindsor if available (yes/maybe) Potential start at UWindsor in Fall 2010 Potential start at UWindsor in Fall 2011 16 5 9 50 16 28 25 8 14 GROUP NOT INTERESTED IN PURSUING A PHD PROGRAM 13 41 20 Considered applying to PhD program at UWindsor if available (yes/maybe) 103216 Within 3 years 72211 After three years263
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Conclusion Projections greatly surpassed our target Extrapolated numbers may be inflated (by including the ‘maybe’s) High enough interest based on the respondents alone Easily meet the admission target
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Assessing student and market demand: The example from the Kinesiology PhD proposal IQAP New Program Information Session December 6, 2012 Marijke Taks (PhD) Thank you for your attention
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Conclusion All projections greatly surpassed our target, based on both the past and current surveys, of 4 doctoral students per year in the next five years Extrapolated numbers may be inflated (by including the ‘maybe’s) Based on the respondents alone, there is high enough interest to successfully implement a PhD program in the Kinesiology Department of the University of Windsor In addition, the faculty growth plan expects both an increase in undergraduate and graduate enrolment, which will also increase potential recruitment for the PhD program. Easily meet the admission target
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