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Sub-primes and the Credit Crisis PLS/EC 480 Greed and Need Dr. Emerson
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The Great Depression Stock Market Crash Banks loose capital Decline in market activity Government inaction FDR and try anything approach
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Regulation FDIC Security & Exchange Commission Glass Steagall Freddie Mac/ Fannie Mae
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Deregulation Deregulation of thrifts [Savings and Loans] No regulation of “derivatives” Mortgages sold in fractions- precursor of CDO. Gramm Leach Bliley
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Federal Reserve Bank Policies Low interest Sub primes unregulated No action on defaults Fed vs. Congress
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EVIDENCE: Sub Prime Problem Delinquency rate is 2 tenths of 1 % in 1979 Today 2% (10 times higher): 2,820,000 households and rising.
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Foreclosures and Sub Prime Rates of loss by mortgage type.
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Default Consequences GAO report: No piggyback and documentation 0% Piggyback OR little documentation 25-31% Piggyback AND no documentation = 60%
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Evolution of Crisis Rotten apple parallel Sub prime and impact on prime
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Jobs in the aftermath 2009, 0% job growth
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OECD Rate of US recovery versus other industrial democratic countries.
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Cost of gambling The Credit Crisis by J. Jarvis http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2009/02/25/the-credit-crisis- visualized/ http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2009/02/25/the-credit-crisis- visualized/
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Break Be back in 10 minutes for the analysis
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The Micro Economic and Political Consequences Bill Moyer’s Report http://www.pbs.org/ moyers/journal/071 82008/watch.html http://www.pbs.org/ moyers/journal/071 82008/watch.html
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1930s SAME as today’s crisis Unregulated market Commercial and high risk investments Worldwide crisis Downward spiraling Income disparities
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Differences? Starts as homeowner crisis US a global power US government reacts with TARP bailout FDIC protects depositors No tariffs OTHER
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Inside the Meltdown: Bush Administration, TARP 1 and Congress Matrix of Events –see web pageMatrix of Events
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Suggested Reforms Financial reporting No mart to marketing Accounting regulations No off shore companies Intelligible instruments Reinstate Glass Steagall Insurance reform Credit default swaps End “too big to fail”
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JONCO and other reforms: --In Dodd We Trust http://www.thedailyshow.co m/watch/tue-march-16- 2010/in-dodd-we-trust (Firefox)
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National Responsibility Federal Government
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What should States do?
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Citations Alford, Rob (2003). What are the origins of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Accessed August 28, 2008 at http://hnn.us/articles/1849.html. Bitner, Richard (2008). Inside the Subprime Debacle. U.S. News and World Report. 145 (2) 12. GAO Report (2007) Briefing to the Committee on Financial Service, House of Representatives. GPO: Washington, D. C.
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Citations Jost, Kenneth (2008). Financial Crisis. CQ Researcher 18(18), 409-422 Phillips, Kevin (2002). Wealth and Democracy. New York: Random House. Stigliz, Joseph 2010. Freefall: America, free markets and the sinking of the world economy. New York: Norton Press.
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Q and A
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