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1 KCTCS 2006-10 Strategic Plan Performance Measure Target-Setting April 18, 2007.

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Presentation on theme: "1 KCTCS 2006-10 Strategic Plan Performance Measure Target-Setting April 18, 2007."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 KCTCS 2006-10 Strategic Plan Performance Measure Target-Setting April 18, 2007

2 KCTCS Strategic Plan 2006-10 Goals Promote excellence in teaching and learning Increase student access and success Expand diversity and global awareness Enhance the economic development of communities and the Commonwealth

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4 Population The Bluegrass WIA had a population of 547,280 in 1980. By 2000, the number of persons had grown by 25.3% to 686,003 (1980, 2000 Census). This growth was nearly two and a half times the state average; Kentucky’s population increased by 10.4% during this time period. Although 40% of the overall growth in the Bluegrass WIA between 1980 and 2000 was due to the increase in Fayette County, the fastest growing counties were Anderson, Scott, and Jessamine. Each of these counties grew by approximately 50%. Source: decennial census (1980, 1990, 2000)

5 % White alone, NH United States69.1 Kentucky89.3 Bluegrass87.4 Source: Census 2000 Percentage of Population White alone, not Latino Bluegrass block groups 2000

6 Density Map Minority Population Bluegrass block groups 2000 Source: Census 2000 1 star = 1 person % White alone, NH United States69.1 Kentucky89.3 Bluegrass87.4

7 Population Projections The latest Kentucky Population Research (KPR) forecast projects that the region will continue to experience high growth over the next twenty years, expanding by 31.6% to 902,482 persons in 2030. Bluegrass is a growing region and will experience population growth at all age groups between 2000 and 2030, though it will be concentrated in the population 55+, which will account for 72.9% of the growth. Source: Census 2000, Kentucky Population Research, November 2004

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9 * highest degree Source: Census 2000 Educational Attainment Population Aged 18-64 2000 Bluegrass WIAKentuckyUnited States Less than 9 th grade 4.9% 6.4%5.1% 9 th -12 th grade, no diploma 12.2% 14.6%12.3% High school graduate, includes equivalency + 82.9% 78.9%82.5% Some college, no degree 24.8% 22.2%24.2% Associate degree* 5.5% 5.3%6.7% Bachelor’s degree + 22.9% 16.7%23.6% Graduate or professional degree 8.6% 6.4%8.1%

10 BluegrassKentucky Less than High School20%21% High School or GED45%44% Some College6%4% Vocational or Associate Degree12%13% Bachelor’s Degree15%13% Graduate or Professional Degree2%5% The Most Requested Education for High Demand and Hard to Fill Jobs in the Bluegrass WIA and Kentucky Source: Kentucky Labor Market Information Survey

11 Labor Force Participation The Bluegrass labor market participation rate, 66.2% of persons 16+ were in the labor force in 1999, is higher than that of Kentucky (60.9%) and the United States (63.9%). Labor market participation ranged from 49.1% in Estill County to 71.7% in Woodford County. Males were more likely to be in the labor force than females. In the Bluegrass, 72.7% of males participated in the labor force versus 60.2% of females. Source: Census 2000

12 Industry Average Quarterly Employment Percentage of Total Employment 722 Food Services and Drinking Places24,3368.8% 561 Administrative and Support Services20,9157.6% 336 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing16,9326.2% 541 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services13,8615.0% 452 General Merchandise Stores13,1974.8% 621 Ambulatory Health Care Services12,9784.7% 622 Hospitals9,8113.6% 238 Specialty Trade Contractors7,6142.8% 522 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities6,1272.2% 445 Food and Beverage Stores6,0612.2% All Industries Average Quarterly Employment = 275,115 Source: Local Employment Dynamics, Census Bureau (2005 – Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) Top Private Industries by Total Employment Bluegrass WIA 2005

13 Top Private Industries by Job Creation Bluegrass WIA 2005 Industry Average Quarterly Job Creation 561 Administrative and Support Services3,538 722 Food Services and Drinking Places1,015 622 Hospitals821 541 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services431 623 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities420 522 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities355 336 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing341 621 Ambulatory Health Care Services289 452 General Merchandise Stores281 484 Truck Transportation276 All Industries Average Quarterly Job Change = 11,108 Source: Local Employment Dynamics, Census Bureau (2005 – Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4)

14 Unemployment Rates Bluegrass WIA, Kentucky and the United States 2005 - 2007 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, WorkforceKentucky.ky.gov

15 KCTCS Planning and Effectiveness Funnel 2006-2010 Model, Revised Vision/Mission 5-Year Goals Measures Targets Core Indicators I M P R O V E M E N T F E E D B A C K Evaluation Outcomes Action Strategies Implementation

16 Analysis Design Execution/ Evaluation System Analysis Design Colleges Execution/ Evaluation Framework for Success © STRATEGIC PLAN

17 Measure: Fall Headcount Enrollment Target: Scenario 1: Current Target Source: Official data as submitted to CPE. Note: Maintains enrollment projections and targets established in 2005. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

18 Measure: Credentials Awarded per 100 Students Target: 10 Percent Annual Increase in Credentials, 100,000 System Enrollment Source: Official data as reported to CPE. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target Note: Measure is number of credentials awarded per academic year/fall headcount, multiplied by 100.

19 Measure: Developmental Students Passing First College-Level Course, Three-Year Average, English Proposed Target: Scenario 1: Non-Developmental Rate Note: Percent of students passing highest-level developmental course who enroll in college-level course within three terms and receive a passing grade. LCC portion of BCTC included beginning fall 2005. Source: KCTCS Data Base. Actual Projection Target

20 Measure: Developmental Students Passing First College-Level Course, Three-Year Average, Math Proposed Target Scenario 1: Non-Developmental Rate Note: Percent of students passing highest-level developmental course who enroll in college-level course within three terms and receive a passing grade. LCC portion of BCTC included beginning fall 2005. Source: KCTCS Data Base. Actual Projection Target

21 Measure: Results from the Community College Survey of Student Engagement CCSSE Benchmarks of Effective Educational Practice:  Active and Collaborative Learning  Student Effort  Academic Challenge  Student-Faculty Interaction  Support for Learners Source: CCSSE

22 Measure: Results from the Community College Survey of Student Engagement Implementation 6 KCTCS colleges administered CCSSE during 2005-06 10 KCTCS colleges will administer CCSSE during 2006-07 2-year administration cycle will continue in 2007-08 and 2008-09 Baseline data available fall 2007

23 Measure: Results from the Community College Survey of Student Engagement Target In 2009-10, KCTCS will exceed the national average on CCSSE’s benchmarks of effective educational practice by 5 percentage points. Note: Target for 2005-06 and 2006-07 was participation of one-third of KCTCS colleges.

24 Measure: Net College Cost at Two-Year Institutions as a Percent of Median Family Income Proposed Target Source: Figure for 2003-04 and 2005-06 from National Center for Public Policy in Higher Education, Measuring Up. Figure for 2004-05 KCTCS estimate using NCPPHE formula. Note: Lower numbers indicate better performance. Actual Target KCTCS more affordable than benchmark states.

25 Measure: Total Credentials Awarded Target: Scenario 2: Baseline Increase Source: Official data as reported to CPE. Note: Includes certificates, diplomas, and Associate degrees. Projections and target assume 10 percent annual increase. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

26 Source: Official data as reported to CPE.

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29 Measure: Participation Rate Target: 100,000 Headcount Enrollment Source: KCTCS Data Base, US Census Bureau population estimates. Note: KCTCS fall credit enrollment as a percentage of adult (ages 18-64) population. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

30 Proposed Measure: Full- and Part-Time Retention Rates (IPEDS Definition) KCTCS Trend Source: Official data as reported to CPE, ORPA calculation. Note: Percent of fall first-time students returning or graduating by the following fall.

31 Measure: Full-Time Retention Rates (IPEDS Definition) KCTCS Benchmark States, Fall 2005 Source: IPEDS (benchmark states), official data as reported to CPE. ORPA calculations. Note: Percent of first-time, full-time students returning or graduating by the following fall.

32 Measure: Full-Time Retention Rates (IPEDS Definition) Target: Scenario 2: Average Benchmark States Actual Projection Source: Official data as reported to CPE, ORPA calculation. Benchmark state information from IPEDS. Note: Percent of first-time, full-time students returning or graduating by the following fall. Target is average retention rate for benchmark states, 2005. Projections assume linear progress. Target

33 Measure: Part-Time Retention Rates (IPEDS Definition) KCTCS Benchmark States, Fall 2005 Source: IPEDS (benchmark states), official data as reported to CPE. ORPA calculations. Note: Percent of first-time, part-time students returning or graduating by the following fall.

34 Measure: Part-Time Retention Rates (IPEDS Definition) Target: Scenario 2: Exceed Benchmark Median Actual Projection Source: Official data as reported to CPE, ORPA calculation. Benchmark state information from IPEDS. Note: Percent of first-time, part-time students returning or graduating by the following fall. Target and projections assume 0.4 percent annual increase (increase required for full-time rate to reach benchmark average. Target

35 Source: National Student Clearinghouse Measure: Total Number of Transfers Target: Scenario 2: 15.2 Percent Transfer Rate Note: Number of academic year students transferring to an in- or out-of-state four-year institution within three years. LCC portion of BCTC included beginning 2008-09, 2007-08 and 2008-09 projections assume linear progress to 15.2% target. 11,211 11,748 13,436 Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

36 Measure: Minority Enrollment Target: Scenario 2: Kentucky Minority Population Note: Percent of fall students with known race/ethnicity in all race/ethnic categories other than white and non-resident alien. Source: KCTCS Data Base, LCC Legacy Data, Kentucky Population Research, How Many Kentuckians. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

37 Measure: Enrollment in Multi-Cultural Courses Target: Scenario 3: Aggressive Source: Official data as reported to CPE. Note: Duplicated enrollment in selected multi-cultural and foreign language courses.. Target assume 9.4 percent increase in 2007-08, 9.0 percent increase In 2008-09 and 8.0 percent increase in 2009-10. Actual Projection Target

38 Measure: Number of Businesses Served Target: Scenario 2: 15 Percent Growth Source: Self-reported, college CEDs. Note: LCC portion of BCTC included beginning 2004-05. Target is 10% increase over three-year average. Projections assume linear progress. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

39 Measure: Percent of First-Time Takers Passing Licensure and Certification Exams Target: Scenario 1: Exceed National Average Source: KY Board of Nursing, KCTCS Colleges. Note: Includes results from NCLEX (nursing), American Registry of Radiologic Technologists, Certified Respiratory Therapists Exam, Physical Therapy Assistant Exam, and Dental Hygiene exam. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target

40 Measure: Total Workforce Development Enrollment Target: Scenario 2: 15 Percent Growth Source: Self-reported, college CEDs. Actual Projection Current Target Proposed Target Note: Credit and non-credit enrollment. LCC portion of BCTC included beginning 2004-05. Target is 15% increase over three-year average. Projections assume linear progress.


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