1. The Future of Weather-Related Disasters Dr. Jeff Masters Director of Meteorology The Weather Underground, Inc. http://www.wunderground.com Dr. Jeff Masters Director of Meteorology The Weather Underground, Inc. http://www.wunderground.com

4. Arctic Sea Ice Loss: A Potential Culprit in Recent Weather Extremes

5. $15 billion+ U.S. Weather Disasters Since 1980 (NCDC)

6. Costliest U.S. Weather Disaster in History: Drought and Locust Plague of 1874 – 1877, $169 billion (2012 dollars)

7. $15+ Billion non-U.S. Weather Disasters Since 1980 Source: http://www.emdat.be

8. The Future of Tornadoes and Severe Thunderstorms

12. 12) Tampa Bay Hurricane Probability: 20% Bayshore Drive, Tampa FL, after the 1921 Hurricane

14. 11) Japanese Super Typhoon Probability: 10% Flooding from Category 5 Super Typhoon Vera, September 26, 1959 Strongest typhoon on record in Japan: 160 mph winds, 5,098 killed

15. Potential tracks of a $100-billion Japanese super typhoon

16. China floods and landslides, 2010: 4245 killed, $51 billion damage 10) China Flood Probability: 20%

17. 9) Galveston/Houston Hurricane Probability: 30% 1900 Galveston Hurricane damage

18. 8) Miami Hurricane Probability: 40% Miami Beach, 1926 Hurricane

19. 7) New Orleans Hurricane Probability: 30% New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina, 2005

20. Northern China dust storm, April 6, 2001 6) China Drought Probability: 20%

21. Tropical Storm Irene over New York City, August 28, 2011 5) New York City Hurricane Probability: 10%

24. New York's LaGuardia Airport after the November 25, 1950 Nor'easter

25. PATH Train Station in Hoboken, NJ during the December 12, 1992 Nor’easter

27. June 4, 2004 levee breach in the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta 4) California ARkSTORM Flood Probability: 20% 4) California ARkSTORM Flood Probability: 20%

29. 3) U.S. Drought Probability: 50% Texas drought, 2011: $12 billion in damage

30. A $100 billion, 1-in-100-year U.S. drought would seriously strain world food prices

31. 1988 Drought: 7,500 killed, $71 billion in damage

32. Dust Bowl Drought: 5,000 killed, 2.5 million people displaced

33. The future of drought, 30 years from now?

34. Old River Control Structure on the LA/MS border at normal water 2) Mississippi River Changes Course Probability: 10%

37. Interruption of Mississippi barge traffic to the nation's 1st, 6th, 11th, and 14th busiest ports: $300 million per day. Loss of 60% of U.S. grain exports. Interruption of 57 million tons per year of crude oil, chemicals, steel, concrete, fertilizers, rubber, plywood, etc. moving upriver. Inundation of 11% of Louisiana. Likely destruction of Morgan City (population 12,000) No fresh water for: - One million people, including all of New Orleans - Oil refineries that supply 14% of U.S. oil - Natural gas refineries that produce over 20% of U.S. natural gas - Petrochemical plants supplying over 20% of U.S. petrochemicals Costs of Mississippi River changing course

38. 1) Volcanic or Nuclear Winter Probability: 10% Mt. Pinatubo eruption, June 15, 1991, Philippines

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