1. Role of Risk Identification for Development and Implementation of the ICPAC Regional Strategy L.A.OGALLO IGAD CLIMATE AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC) www.icpac.net

2. Djibouti Ethiopia Eritrea Somalia Kenya Burundi Rwanda Uganda Tanzania Sudan CLIMATE RISK REDUCTION FOR DEVELOPMENT : Mainstream Current and future climate risks (+ climate change) for sustainable development CLIMATE TOOLS and APPLICATIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT Established by NMHSs, UNDP and WMO IN 1988

3. MAINSTREAM CLIMATE IN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT STILL MOST VULNERABLE CONTINENT !!

4. SOCIO-ECONOMIC GROUPS IN AFRICA IGAD and EAC

6. KEY ISSUES Climate risks of the region Function of (climate hazards and vulnerable/capable conditions of the society) climate risks for sustainable reduction priorities include: Safety of society and Investments National / regional Defense: Peace and Security : Conflicts Water resources Agriculture and Food security Health Energy: Hydro energy Tourism and hotel industry Settlement (+cites) and infrastructure Environment issues Sustainable economic development Poverty Reduction

7. ICPAC’s and NMHSs Climate Risk reduction activities in support of Development Understanding and mapping of Regional climate hazards: Past, Present and Future patterns- data problems Climate change Science, mitigation, Impacts, vulnerability and adaptation Capacity building : capacity very low Down scaling climate products for specific sector applications; Pilot projects WMO; NOAA, USAID,ISDR, IRI, etc Education and awareness: Advocacy and Policies issues; WMO, NOAA, USAID, ISDR: UNDP Climate outlook forum ; bulletins, booklets Gender mainstreaming Indigenous knowledge Partnerships

8. WATER RESOURCES APPLICATIONS USGS / FEWS NET Translation of Seasonal Forecast into Potential Rainfall amounts; March –May 2007 from COF19 Given in Feb 2007 Seasonal CLIMATE OUTLOOK SOME APPLICATIONS

9. FOOD SECURITY OUTLOOK PRODUCTS ? WITH FEWS/NET

10. Forage Available: Status (February 2007) and Forecast for May 2007 Total Forage Available (kg/ha) 3500 2500 to 3500 1500 to 2500 1000 to 1500 600 to 1000 300 to 600 < 300 Not monitored Wetlands LIVESTOCK AND CONFLICTS MANAGEMENT

11. MALARIA

12. DEMONSTRATED APPLICATION OF THE CLIMATE OUTLOOK SYSTEMS Comparison between Observed and Predicted OND Thiba Inflow anomaly into Kamburu Dam between 1982 – 2001-Kenya

13. THANKS TO THE MEDIA IN THE REGION

14. DISSEMINATION To rural Community ISDR SUPPORT

15. KEY CHALLENGES Observations and data management Research: Understanding of local / regional processes; university/ community/ policy linkages; multi disciplinary Climate Tools: modeling, computing, etc Capacity building: Empowerment of countries /communities Information exchange / dissemination Climate change issues: Detection, attribution, impacts, vulnerability, mitigation, and adaptation Integrated disaster risk reduction strategies

16. Education and awareness Dissemination strategies: Policies and NMHSs Influence: Cost benefit analysis : Coordination, Collaboration and Partnerships with stakeholders: Kingdoms protections by sectors RESOURCES REQUIREMENT Regional Plans/ Strategies: AU/ECA ClimDev efforts Take advantage of Large and frequent events and improved seasonal prediction skills in some regions eg EL NIÑO