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Goizueta Investors February 28, 2008
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Agenda Market Recaps Domestic International Stock Market Game Update Book Review: Liar’s Poker GI Challenge Guess the Dow Contest Winner M&Ms Contest Winner Upcoming Events
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Weekly Newsletter Your one-stop shop for all things financial Published every Monday Located at select GBS classes, all GI events Features Weekly Market Recaps and Special Interest Articles Available at www.GoizuetaInvestors.comwww.GoizuetaInvestors.com
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Dow 198.29, 1.6% 12,582.18 Nasdaq 18.34, 0.78% 2,331.57 S&P 13.71, 1.01% 1,367.68 Domestic Market Recap February 2008 A: UBS write-down (1/30) B: ISM disappoints (2/5) C: Buffett offer to bond insurers (2/12) D: Fed minutes (2/20) E: Bernanke testimony (2/28) B C D E A DJIA: January - February 2008
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Economy Crude oil at record prices Weak economic data across the board Stagflation back in investors’ vocabulary
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Interesting News Microsoft offers $44.6 billion for Yahoo (2/1) Research in Motion sells more BlackBerries to consumers (2/21) Delta and Northwest discuss merger, held back by disagreements (2/26)
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Market Recap: International 1/30/08 – 2/27/08 EnglandFTSE 1006,076.50213.903.6% GermanyXETRA-DAX6,997.85110.931.6%1.6% FranceCAC 404,968.8227.370.6%0.6% Hong KongHANG SENG24,483.84192.040.8%0.8% JapanNIKKEI 22514,031.30530.783.9%3.9%
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Market Recap: International US Dollar Index
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Market Recap: International Commodities surge continues Gold: $973.40 per troy oz. Crude Oil: $102.49 per barrel MGE Wheat: $24 per bushel Inflationary pressures felt throughout the world PPI: +7.4% year over year
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Market Recap: International Sovereign Wealth Funds $3 trillion in total assets ADIA: $900B Govt. Investment Corp. of Singapore: $300B Nearly $40B invested in US financials Very little disclosure No regulation, no disclosure requirements IMF working on “best practices” code
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Private Equity What is it and what do they do? Who are the big names? How does a private equity fund make money? What does a private equity deal look like? Why has private equity been all over the news? I want to work in private equity, what should I do?
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What Private Equity Does Buys private firms, or buys publicly traded companies and takes them private. Leveraged buyouts (LBO’s) Uses money from institutional or wealthy individual investors. Borrows money against these investments for more capital. Industry has $2 trillion under management (est.) $782 billion of PE deals in 2007 (down 53% YTD 2008) Largest PE transaction is the $45 billion buyout of TXU lead by KKR ($8b equity) First PE buyout of a public company was done by KKR in 1979 in a deal totaling $355 million
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How Private Equity Makes Money Effect of Leverage: Return w/o leverage: 66.7% Return w/ leverage:300.0% Effect of Leverage: Return w/o leverage: 66.7% Return w/ leverage:300.0% ($k)
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The Big Players First firm to take a public company private Henry Kravis made $51,369/hr last year First PE firm to offer an IPO Founder Steven Schwarzman richest man in private equity
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Berkshire Hathaway While not strictly considered a PE firm, Berkshire Hathaway is very similar This makes it the largest PE firm, worth over $200 billion A shares go for $140k, B for $4,675 The Big Players won’t talk to you unless you have at least $10 million Smaller middle market firms will want at least $500k Warren Buffet is the only PE fund manager who will reveal his strategy You can read his investor letters Or go meet him next year, but still read the letters, there’s great stuff there
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11 Fantasy Stock Market Rankings DateRankingUserGain since InceptionTotal Portfolio Value 2/27/20081tmac00165.16%$16,516 2 Pear40.54%$14,054 3micht198637.17%$13,717 4pwehttam29.87%$12,987 5gautam816.29%$11,629 6gregoryrives12.05%$11,205 7lazehaze9.66%$10,966 8meanspride8.53%$10,853 9McLaughlin8.32%$10,832 10jbasago8.25%$10,825
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Fantasy Stock Market Game
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Book Review Liar’s Poker By Michael Lewis VS
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GI Market Challenge DJIA on 2/22: 12,381.02 Max Ogienko 12,171.00 -210.02 M&Ms in the Bottle: 432 Rebecca Dodson 448 +16
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GI Market Challenge At what level will the Dow close on 3/21? Email guesses to dow@learnlink.emory.edudow@learnlink.emory.edu Check it at: Blog.GoizuetaInvestors.comBlog.GoizuetaInvestors.com Deadline: 11:59pm on Thursday, 3/6 Winner announced at next meeting
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Resume Drop Box
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Upcoming Events 3/6: Bowling Night 3/10: Spring Break 3/18: GI Day 3/26: Movie Night: Boiler Room Private Equity Seminar Third General Body Meeting
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