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Introduction to Advanced Candlestick Patterns
Thank your Host – Mona and The FOREX Traders Association for inviting you to speak. Introduce Pat Johnson, Business & Marketing Director and Debi McDonough, Editorial Department Explain this is Advanced by request but the beauty of candlesticks is the quick and easy visual … Introduction to Advanced Candlestick Patterns
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Advanced Candlestick Patterns
Fry Pan Bottom Cradle Pattern Jay-Hook Scoop Pattern Belt Hold Breakout Patterns
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Fry Pan Bottom The downtrend starts waning with the appearance of small trading bodies As the trend starts slowly curling up, a gap up in price indicates that strong buying sentiment has now returned
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Long Rounded Curved bottom
Fry Pan Bottom Long Rounded Curved bottom
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Fry Pan Bottom – minutes, days, months
The indecisive rounding bottom is the predominant factor
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Fry Pan Bottom - Past Analysis
Big Percent move at top has a different meaning when a pattern can be identified
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Fry Pan Bottom measuring point
A dimple usually marks the Halfway point
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Fry Pan Bottom - A Break Out or Failure?
Easy identification of a failure, which makes for easy stop loss procedures
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Fry Pan Bottom can become a Cup and Handle
Or a J-hook pattern
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Fry Pan Bottom – Exuberant buying
Want to see break out buying
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Fry Pan Bottom – What is expected?
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CLWR – Classic FP results
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MICC – excellent option trades
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VCI Expected results 55% Gain
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SQNM Breaking into new highs
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INCY What is the entry strategies?
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MEOH Option Strategies
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SPWRA What does a gap up tell us?
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BAS – What do you do with this chart?
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MD What pattern?
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MGM – Next target? Then what?
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What do we want to see at the end of a FPB?
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What Are we looking for now?
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FPB/J-hook classic Fry Pan Bottom J-hook
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Cradle Pattern The Cradle Pattern is a symmetric bottom pattern that is easy to identify. A downtrend becomes obvious with a large black candle at the bottom. A series of small or indecisive trading days trade in a flat area. A bullish candle, more powerful with a Bullish Engulfing signal, is formed of approximately the same magnitude as a Bearish candle at the end of the downtrend. This signifies that the Bulls have come out of the indecisive trading area with decisive force.
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Cradle pattern
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Cradle Pattern
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Cradle Pattern what is the predominant indicators?
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Cradle pattern
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Cradle Pattern at the MA’s
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Cradle pattern
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Jay Hook Pattern The first move of the uptrend is very strong.
A candlestick sell signal indicates a pullback about to occur. After a few days, small indecisive candles start to appear Doji, small Hammers, Bullish Engulfing signals
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Jay Hook Pattern The first test becomes the recent high
Indecision as found in candlestick sell signals at the recent high becomes a quick indicator to get out of the position A Bullish candle breaching the recent high illustrates that investor sentiment is taking prices up
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Jay Hook Pattern How to differentiate between profit taking and a full-scale reversal.
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J-hook
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Jay Hook
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J-Hook – How to Identify
The pull back is stopped when Candlestick buy signals appear Stochastics do not get to the Oversold area
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J-hook - what is first criteria?
A strong price trend
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J-Hook with added confirmation
Indecisive trading at a major moving average Adds more evidence of a J-hook pattern potential
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J-Hook – Easy Expectations
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Scoop Pattern An extended flat trading area
Followed by a pullback Buy signals bring price back up to flat trading range Once price breaks above flat range, look for strong uptrend
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Scoop Pattern formation
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Scoop Pattern- Completed
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Scoop pattern
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Scoop pattern off the MA’s
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Scoop pattern - Do not scan for a Scoop
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Scoop pattern Use it to analyze
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Scoop Pattern - What should happen upon confirming?
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Scoop Pattern - A strong trend to potential targets
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DHI 50 MA resistance?
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Mini Scoops
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WY
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LVS
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PCX
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MEE What is the buy criteria?
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WYNN
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Belt Hold Pattern Strong prevailing trend
The candlestick body should be the opposite color of the prevailing trend Gap on the open, continuing the trend The open is the high or low of that trend The length of the body should be a long body. You can read my full article on ‘The Belt Hold Signal’ in Feb 2006 issue of Stocks & Commodities Magazine. The Bullish Belt Hold is a long white candle that has gapped down in a downtrend. From it’s opening point, it moved higher for the rest of the day. The bearish Belt Hold is just the opposite. It is formed with a severe gap away from the existing uptrend. It opens at it’s high and immediately backs off for the rest of the day
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Belthold
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Belthold - Adds strength to existing trends
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Belthold – shows the sellers are flushed out
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Belthold – gets rid of the last of the sellers
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Belthold
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Belthold
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Belthold Bearish
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Knowing when to get on board and when to take profits.
Breakout Patterns Knowing when to get on board and when to take profits.
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Breakouts
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Breakouts
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Breakout – where to buy?
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Moving Averages Support
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Analyzing The Market
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DOW
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MA’s support and targets
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MA’s act as magnets
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MA’s and patterns
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MA’s once breached , will come back and test
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MA’s Targets
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MA’s – first attempts usually fail
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Wave 1-2-3
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The T-line
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Trend channels
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Trading Gaps Gaps represent enthusiasm to get into a position to the point that investors will pay prices away from any of the previous day's trading range. Great for identifying panic selling at the bottom and exuberant buying at the top.
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High Powered Scanning Techniques with Candlesticks
Market trend Strongest sectors Strongest signals in those sectors Additional indicators confirming Best Target potentials Easy stop loss points
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HAR – Stop Loss
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Analyze best potentials
The Signal The pattern Where is it moving from? Ma’s, trendlines? Where is the next resistance area? What is the sector doing?
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Money Management Eliminate Emotions
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The Point of investing is to have the probabilities in your favor
The Point of investing is to have the probabilities in your favor! Candlestick signals provide the positive probabilities
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Candlesticks are merely the graphic depiction of what investor sentiment is doing
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Trend Analysis Made easy with Candlesticks
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2008 Downtrend Easy analysis
Sell signals at declining MA’s Double Top at 200 MA Dumpling Top Cradle BUY J-hook
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MA’s support to resistance
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Double Top at 200 MA
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Dumpling Top has expectations
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The Bottom – Morning Star/Cradle Pattern
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J-hook ends with Cradle pattern
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What is the market doing Now?
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Recent Rec - XTEX
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CSIQ
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MIPS buying the BO
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CCME buying the J-hook
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SOHU buy on BO
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Buy when the patterns say to buy - BAS
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F signals and MA’s
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Cradle Pattern – indicates very strong uptrend
What was the market doing?
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DOW trend
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Signals at the MA’s make HP trades
CORN
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XIDE buy on BO confirmation
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WFR – signals need confirmation
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