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Analyzing a Junior Mineral Company News June 17, 2009 1 Dr. John-Mark Staude President & CEO
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Canadian National Instrument 43-101 This sets out standards and guidelines for reporting. It helps the investor. The Security Commission monitors for compliance. Professional Geologist- Engineer Certification required on technical portion of news releases. There are three main categories on resources (Measured, Indicated, Inferred). www.Sedar.com 2
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Four types of companies in Resource Sector 0 2 Greenfields ~4 - 5 Years Pre-Discovery 1 - 2 Years Discovery 2 - 3 Years Feasibility & Permitting 2 Years Development 1 Year Start-Up Depletion Full Value Competitive High Risk Potentially High ValueFew Competitors and Lower Risk 4 6 8 10 Institutional Investing Begins Speculative Stock Ahead Of Known Value Orphan Period Speculators Leave Value Opportunity Time Relative Value 1. 2.3. 4. Value Chain
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Low Probability, Long Time T No one knows Highland Valley
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5 ? Context- make calls, ask questions, due diligence
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Geologic Perspective 1.Company (size, business, track record) 2. Project location, stage 3. Context, past results, context, number of holes 4. Possible deposit type? 5. Length of intervals 6
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Deposit types are key Assay results in news releases- need to be interpreted in the context of deposit types - (porphyry, epithermal, veins, placer, not disclosed) 7
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Value vs Length of Intercepts 8 Source: Research Capital, 2009
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Drill results 4 news factors 1.Grades vs. Lengths vs. Depths High grades are good but a) is there volume?, is it deep?, how long of intervals? Gross size of system – giants are very rare, trades are on results and grades 2. Grades that investors should look for when reviewing stocks: 1% Cu, 2% Ni, 1 g/t Gold, PGM, 300 g/t Ag, 0.1% Mo, 0.1% U308 Think about the $ value of the rock. Current metal prices times the concentration. 9
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3. Drilling assays –Core has more data, earlier stages and deposit type 4. Spacing of drilling results – see if there is a map on the website, where are the new holes relative to earlier results 10 Drill results 4 news factors
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District play – scale potential
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Metallurgy The % metal is going to be extractable Not just the sexy assay number in the P.R. Minerals, elements = good and bad Analysts help at this stage and into the engineering stages 12
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Examples- on the news the stock jumps Appleton (AEX), Ventana (VEN), Keegan (KGN), Serengeti (SIR), 13
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Conclusions 1.Size potential, location, value-meters 2.Graphics – maps and sections on website to see where the numbers are coming from 3.Deposit types 4.Stage of project (leverage, risk) 5.Ask experts, due diligence 14
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John-Marks Geotutorial Video YouTube Video - released July 1 st, 2009 - field geology - covers sampling methods - better understand press releases Email info@rivres.com to Alex Mason about questions youd like to see covered from the resource investor or geologic field perspective?info@rivres.com 15
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