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Published byEugene Welch Modified over 9 years ago
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STOCKS
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Talking about Stocks 3 Stocks I saw on TV 3 Stocks I saw on TV
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Industry Overview Venture Capital Oak, Sequoia, Kleiner Perkins Equity/Debt (stocks/bonds) Citadel, Cerberus (hedge funds); Fidelity, Vanguard (mutual funds) Private Equity KKR, Blackstone, TPG
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Investment Types and Company Lifecycle Venture Capital Equity/ Debt Private Equity LaunchesGoes Public Growth slows Start-up Public CompanyMature Company Stage in Company Life Cycle Typical Investment Type
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Venture Capital
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Typical Entry strategy Acquire stake in young, start-up firm Value added VCs provide funding, networking, and advice to the companies they invest in Typical Exit strategy Take portfolio companies public or sell them to other companies Example Bessemer Venture Partners invested $1-2 million in Skype, and when Skype was acquired by eBay, Bessemer made a 100-fold return on its investment
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Angel Investment Google and Investment Google and Investment
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IELTS Card Describe how a business is financed What are the options How long would it take to finance them What are the risks What business of yours do you think you want fiannced and how would you do it.
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Debt/Equity Investing
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Latin American Bonds Case for Latin American Bonds Case for Latin American Bonds
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Debt/Equity Investing Typical Entry strategy Acquire position in stock or bonds of company Value added Investors can lobby companies to take measures to raise stock prices, such as share repurchases or divestitures Typical Exit strategy Unwind position in stock or bonds of company Example After doing comprehensive research on AutoZone, ESL, a hedge fund, concludes AutoZone is undervalued and buys shares in the company. In time the market comes to realize that the company is indeed undervalued and ESL sells its AutoZone shares after earning a 30% return.
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Top Debt/Equity Investors Hedge Funds Cerberus Citadel ESL SAC Capital Silverpoint (debt investing) Mutual Funds Fidelity Vanguard
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Hedge Fund Hedge Fund Manager Hedge Fund Manager
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Debt/Equity Investing
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Private Equity Typical Entry strategy Borrow money to buy of a public company’s shares and take it private again, in a Leveraged Buyout (LBO) Value added Improve company’s operations through restructuring, divestitures, or refinancing Typical Exit strategy Take company public again or sell to other firm Example Nelson Peltz buys Snapple from Quaker Oats for $300 million, turns company around within a few years, and sells it for $1.5 billion
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Top Private Equity Firms Bain Capital Carlyle Group Kohlberg, Kravis, & Roberts (KKR) Texas Pacific Group (TPG) Thomas H Lee Partners Warburg Pincus
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INVESTING BASICS Sponsored By Bank of America Presented by WIC & WUFC
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What’s the Investment Universe? Stocks Bonds Derivatives Real Estate Commodities Currency
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Types of Analysis Fundamental A method of evaluating a security by attempting to measure its intrinsic value by examining related economic, financial and other qualitative and quantitative factors. Value of a firm = Discounted value of future cash flows Technical A method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead use charts and other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future activity.
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Where to Begin? Develop a differentiated view Top Down View on the economy or a sector Drill down into individual stocks, or trade a basket of companies Bottom Up Start with a company specific story Investigate the firm’s prospects based upon micro factors
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How to Evaluate a Business Sustainable competitive advantages Barriers to entry, Substitutes Buyer and Supplier Leverage Technology, Infrastructure, Human Capital Cost structure Fixed vs. variable Margin Analysis Management Opportunities for growth
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Valuation Methodolgy Discounted Cash Flows Determine cost of firm’s capital Estimate the firm’s future cash flows Add back value of non-operational assets Multiples P/E = (EPS/(r-g)) EBITDA/EV (EBITDA-Capex)/EV ROA, ROIC Net Debt/EBITDA
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Derivatives Contract that “Derives” its value from another security Future - Obligation to exchange cash at some specified date for the underlying Option - Right but not the obligation to buy/sell (call/put) underlying at specified price Derivatives often allow for enhanced leverage
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Options Continued A multitude of strategies Understand Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Rho, Vega) Basic idea is that payoff is asymmetric
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