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Public To Privates: A Growing Trend? Nikos Stathopoulos Partner, Apax Partners 16 th June 2004
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Stock Market Investors Are Now Short- Term Investors Financial markets have become very short-term under influence of mutual funds and hedge funds, which have short-term targets to meet. Markets are much more volatile: - 1990-1997: Outlier* days varied between 1% and 7% p.a. - 2000-2003: Outlier days have averaged 35% p.a. Role of a public company is now ‘To deliver short-term profits and the expectation of long-term profits’ *Outlier day = the NASDAQ 100 was up or down >3%
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The Private Equity Industry Is Therefore Becoming The Long-Term Funder Of Large Corporations When public companies miss their targets, share price falls in overreaction of volatile markets Private equity firms are funded by long-term investors and are capable of stepping in, taking a long term view and returning the companies later to public markets In addition to their traditional role of acquiring divisions of companies
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What Is A “Public To Private” Transaction? A private equity backed bid for a publicly listed company. Backing management team of the target company (MBO) or introducing “Buy In” management. Traditionally, Public to Private deals have been “friendly” and are recommended or supported by target’s major shareholders. Common characteristics of Public to Private (PTP) candidates are: - A large cash position relative to market capitalisation - Limited equity research and attention - A need to restructure to achieve profitability
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There are Several Drivers of Public To Private Deals Target companies are often neglected by the market leading to a reduction in share price relative to their underlying value. Valuation discounts are driven by: -Concentration of funds in the institutional fund management community -Increasing demand for investments in corporates with larger market capitalisation and greater liquidity -Shift of Investment Banks’ research away from smaller companies Loss of research and trading coverage can increase volatility and reduce liquidity further. Increasing regulation and disclosure requirements for public companies. Dissatisfaction by management of small to mid-cap companies: -Lack of liquidity -Lack of flexibility -Lack of interest Constant pressure for companies to demonstrate performance Target company may need to undergo: -A fundamental reorganisation -A restructuring of its debt/equity financing away from limelight of public arena -Generate an exit route for major shareholders, when no other viable alternative exists ExternalInternal
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But PTPs face Significant Challenges Requirement for regular announcements during the transaction. Amount of due diligence is often restricted. Limited warranty comfort. Considerable advisers’ fees incurred by the bidder before announcing the deal. Time consuming. Regulatory control. Strict timetable.
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Public To Private Buyouts In Europe By NumberBy Value (% Of Deals) UK represented ½ of the value of PTPs in Western Europe in 2003
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Public To Private Buyouts/BuyIns in the UK In 2003, value of PTPs outweighed the money raised in IPOs for the first time in 3 years Source: CMBOR/Barclays Private Equity/Deloitte & Touche 2003 saw the highest level of PTPs since 2000
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Industrial Distribution Of UK PTPs Deals By Value (2000-2003) Value £m
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In 2003, PTPs Accounted For A Quarter Of Total Market Value Of Buyouts In The UK By VolumeBy Value (% Of Deals)
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London Stock Market: A Source of Public to Private Buyouts YearMain Market AimTotal Exits Buy-Outs ( Number) Buy-Outs ( % Of Total) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 126 200 250 222 208 167 179 42 70 97 100 72 85 112 168 270 347 322 280 252 291 7 27 46 42 33 22 36 4 10 13 12 9 12 Source: CMBOR/London Stock Exchange
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Athens Stock Exchange: A Source of PTPs too? 150 companies have a market cap below €30m. 110 companies have market cap below €20m. 30 companies have market cap below €10m. Turnover of listed companies in Athens Stock Exchange ranges from €2m to €5bn. Market Cap (1) Number Of Companies €1 billion + €500-1,000m €250-500m €100-250m €50-100m €1-50m 17 11 17 50 55 198 _____ 348 (1) As of 10 June 2004
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Looking Ahead 2003 was a record year partly due to unusual market conditions making PTPs affordable: -Low equity valuation -Low interest rates Future is less certain: -Improving company valuations in Europe -Major stock markets recovering -Impact of currency markets (weak US Dollar) -Resistance from institutional fund managers to “cheap takeovers” -Requirement for “certain funds” in the EU -Funds unconditionally available to fund bid before announcing offer -Complication of PTPs Question is: Do the advantages of being a public company outweigh the disadvantages?
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