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Where to Look for Buying Opportunities if a Big Drop Occurs Daryl Montgomery June 29, 2011 Copyright 2011, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
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Background Material for Charts Moving Averages – 50-day, 200-day Bollinger Bands – plus or minus 2 standard deviations from a ~20-unit moving average. RSI – relative strength index, 80-overbought, 20 oversold, 50 divides bearish and bullish MACD – moving average convergence divergence, zero divide bullish bearish, peak and bottom numbers variable DMI – Directional Movement Index, +DI (blue), -DI (red) and trend line (black).
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What to Buy in a Big Drop In general, whatever goes down the most or is most off of its previous high. Things which have been depressed for a while: natural gas, interest rates, solar, uranium, and silver. If oil has a drop to around $80, grab it. Consider gold miners, particularly junior miners. Look at lithium, rare earth metals and base metals. Emerging market ETFs including small countries. On any drop, you can always buy the Swiss franc, Australian and New Zealand dollars, and gold.
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State of the Market
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Volatility Index VIX: Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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Volatility Index VIX: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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DJIA Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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DJIA One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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DJIA Three-Years Weekly with Volume
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S&P 500 Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
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S&P 500 One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
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Nasdaq Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Nasdaq One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Russell 2000 Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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Russell 2000 One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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DXY Dollar Index: Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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DXY Dollar Index: One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Things that Have Been Going Down for a While
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Natural Gas ETF GAZ Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Natural Gas ETF GAZ One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
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Solar ETF KWT Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Solar ETF KWT One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
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Uranium Miner DNN Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Uranium Miner DNN One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
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10-Year Bond Interest Rate Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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10-Year Bond Interest Rate One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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30-Year Bond Interest Rate Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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30-Year Bond Interest Rate One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Silver ETF SLV Three-Year Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Silver ETF SLV One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, DMI
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Oil ETF DBO Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Oil ETF DBO One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Oil 200% ETF UCO Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Oil 200% ETF UCO One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Uranium ETF URA One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Gold Miners and Metals
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Gold ETF GLD Three-Years Weekly 10-40 Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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Gold ETF GLD One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Mining ETF GDX Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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Mining ETF GDX One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Mining ETF GDXJ One-Year Daily 50-Day Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Gold Mining 200% ETF NUGT One-Year Daily 50-Day Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Nova Gold (NG) Five-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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Nova Gold (NG) One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Copper ETF JJC Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Copper ETF JJC One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Nickel ETF JJN Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Nickel ETF JJN One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Tin ETF JJT Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Tin ETF JJT One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Lithium ETF LIT One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Rare Earth ETF REMX One-Year Daily 50, 200-day moving average, RSI, DMI, MACD
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Emerging Markets
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EMERGING MARKET ETF EEM Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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EMERGING MARKET ETF EEM One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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BRAZIL ETF EWZ Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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BRAZIL ETF EWZ One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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INDIA ETF IFN Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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INDIA ETF IFN One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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CHINA ETF FXI Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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CHINA ETF FXI One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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RUSSIA ETF RSX Three-Years Weekly 10, 40-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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RUSSIA ETF RSX One-Year Daily 50, 200-Day Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
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