1. South Africa’s Climate change Response M&E system Framework
Hi-level Summary

2. Policy Mandate The NCCR Policy 2011 :
Effectively manage the inevitable climate change impacts
Make a fair contribution to the global effort to stabilise greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere
To formulate effective responses to climate change, South Africa needs a country-wide monitoring system to measure climate variables at scales appropriate to the institutions that must implement climate change responses
Chapter 5 of the NDP sets out government’s vision of South Africa’s transition to a low-carbon, resilient economy and just society which is well underway by 2030:
Detailed analysis and implementation of Mitigation policies and measures
Ensuring a just transition
Building resilience of both the economy and the society
Structural change, trade-offs and lock-ins:
Managing the transition
The state to assume a guiding role while responsibility for the transition is still borne collectively by all stakeholders
Align existing policy and mainstream mitigation and adaptation considerations into the activities of all government departments across local, provincial and national government.
Build an evidence base: To inform planning, prioritize data- collection mechanisms, including urgently setting up mandatory monitoring, evaluation and reporting processes for all relevant stakeholders.
Monitor, report and verify to understand South Africa’s progress against national goals of the envisaged economy and society
Policy Mandate

3. Objectives Cross-cutting objectives Over-arching objective:
Over-arching objective:
To track the transition towards a lower-carbon & climate-resilient South Africa, thereby providing evidence base to inform effective climate change response
Lower-carbon
What are the GHG emission trends?
Which mitigation response measures are being undertaken?
Which mitigation responses are working well in terms of impact & effectiveness?
 Climate-resilience
What are the impacts of climate change?
Which adaptation responses are being implemented & which ones are working well?
How is South Africa’s vulnerability and adaptive capacity changing?
Cross-cutting objectives
Climate finance:
What are the finance flows and impacts? How effectively is the finance contributing to climate change response?
 Communication and learning:
How are the outputs of the M&E system communicated and fed back to inform future decisions?
Objectives

4. Benefits of the CC M&E System
Provide evidence base of the impact of Climate change in South Africa
Informing response to climate change – scope of measures, their effectiveness, etc.
One-stop shop of climate change information in South Africa
Learning – for programme managers, for experts, for students, for policy-makers, for researchers, etc.
Institutionalize reporting of South Africa’s reporting obligations in international Forums; e.g UNFCCC
Inform SA negotiators under the UNFCCC
Support identification of resource requirements, allocations & opportunities in climate change response
Benefits of the CC M&E System

5. The M&E SYSTEM Long-term Sustainability Institutional Arrangements
COMMUNICATION
Climate Resilience analyses
Lower-carbon analyses
Data & info
provision
Data storage & processing,
Quality control
Data & information
analyses
Outputs
Monitoring = MRV Evaluation = impact Analyses
Climate Finance
analysis
Annual publication of Climate Change monitoring process
UNFCCC Reporting Obligations
OTHERS
The Web-based M&E System Platform
(QA / QC)
Data and information coordination network(s)
Standardization
[MRV guidelines]
Feedback & learning
Long-term Sustainability
Institutional Arrangements
Legal / Contractual Framework
System Review
The M&E SYSTEM

6. Annual Climate Change Report
Primary output:
Annual Climate Change Report
Information on observed and projected climate change impacts, climate risks as well as vulnerabilities
Information on enhancement of climate monitoring networks
Climate change response measures: Scope, geographical coverage, progress of implementation, impact and effectiveness & their contribution to sustainable development areas
Information on financial resources needed or existing to support response measures, including landscape, impact, effectiveness, gaps and available funding opportunities
Lessons learnt in climate change response, including what has worked well and what has not worked well; knowledge gaps and areas of improvement
Output of the System

7. 2. Sectorial & sub- sectorial-level 3. Response measure-level
The NDP presents South Africa’s vision of a lower-carbon economy as follows:
reduced dependency on carbon, natural resources and energy;
carbon emissions reduced to a sustainable level through mitigation policies;
economic activity has been decoupled from environmental degradation and carbon- intensive energy;
expanding economic activity, but decreasing consumption of non-renewable natural resources 1.
High- level
2. Sectorial & sub- sectorial-level
3. Response measure-level
Top-down
Bottom-up
Lower-carbon
TIERED-APPROACH

8. TIER 1 Indicators (National –level)
INDICATOR GROUP
Comments
Indicator Title
Description
Sustainable carbon levels
The primary indicator group to track the country’s performance against the national emissions trajectory range and the Copenhagen pledge
National GHG emissions profile
GHG emissions + removals, in CO2-eq
Lower-carbon productivity
Key indicators to assess decoupling of economic activity with carbon emissions
Reflecting overall efficiency of carbon resource utilization in an economy as well as lower-carbon technology level of a nation in a certain period
Carbon intensity of the economy
CO2-eq / GDP
Energy intensity of the economy
TPES / GDP
Lower-carbon consumption
A proxy indicator of the nation’s consumption pattern
Per-capita GHG emissions
CO2-eq / population
Lower-carbon resourcing
The development of “clean” energy (including renewable energy) is correlated to both resource endowment and technology development in a country
Proportion of renewables or zero- carbon energy to total primary energy
(Quantity of Renewable or zero- carbon energy) / TPES
Carbon intensity of the energy system
Energy CO2-eq / TPES
Lower-carbon sector growth
Demonstrates growth of key sectors
Growth in green jobs
Number and type of green jobs T T T
TIER 1 Indicators
(National –level)

9. (Response measure level) TIER 1 (National –level) Indicators
INDICATOR GROUP
Comments
Indicator Title
Description
Implementation Indicators
Indicator of the phases or stages of implementation of the response measures. These are to be defined together with the owner/implementer of the response measure
Achieved progress in implementation
E.g. No of stages or phases or units, etc.
(as appropriate)
Impact indicators
climate change mitigation impact of the response measure
Indicators of impact(s) on other relevant sustainable development priorities, including job-creation, also known as co-benefit or co-cost indicators
Net GHGs reduced
Reduced / sequestrated GHGs in CO2-eq
(relative to baseline)
Job-creation
Number and type of jobs created directly
Other social, environmental and economic co-benefit indicators
(As appropriately defined)
Effectiveness indicators
Key indicators of the effectiveness of the response measures in responding to climate change
Cost-effectiveness
CO2-eq / Rand
Job-creation effectiveness
No of jobs per CO2-eq
Or per Rand T T
TIER 3 Indicators
(Response measure level)
TIER 1 (National –level) Indicators

10. NATIONAL LEVEL – Annual Information
The National GHG inventory : (GHG emissions and sinks levels)
The country’s GDP statistics: Annual GDP values for the country, disaggregated by sector/sub-sector
South Africa’s Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) : National energy statistics disaggregated by type
Population statistics: Annual population statistics
Green Jobs: The number and type of direct jobs created (or lost) due to green industries.
RESPONSE MEASURE – Annual Information
Information on implementation progress: (phases, stages, units, etc. achieved)
Information for estimating climate change mitigation impact: generally monitored as the outcome. Institutions may also opt to do mitigation calculations themselves
Cost information: Amount of funding that went into the project in that year
Jobs: Number and type of jobs created by the response measure
Information on other Sustainable development benefits/costs resulting from the response measure. These are specific to the type of response measure T
Tier-1 & Tier-3
Data requirements

11. 4. TIER 3 (response measure) – Data requirements
ONCE-OFF INFORMATION
Name of response measure: e.g. name of project, programme, policy, etc.
Project description:
Geographical information:
Owner/Coordinator information:
Primary intended outcomes: Quantity or qualitative description of the targeted outcome(s) and target year(s); what is considered as the baseline for the response measure; etc.
Climate change impact: If known, the anticipated or projected climate change mitigation impact of the response measure.
Other sustainable development co-benefits (or co- costs): Information about other envisaged sustainable development benefits/costs from the response measure, and how impact on these is to be monitored.
Implementation plan:
Funding information: Information about the funders and budgeted funding, including the planned annual cost
ANNUAL INFORMATION
Information on implementation progress: (phases, stages, units, etc. achieved)
Information for estimating climate change mitigation impact: generally monitored as the outcome. Institutions may also opt to do calculations themselves
Cost information: Amount of funding that went into the project in that year
Number and type of direct jobs created by the response measure
Information on other Sustainable development benefits/costs resulting from the response measure. These are specific to the type of response measure and are specified the first time that the response measure is captured in the system.
4. TIER 3 (response measure) – Data requirements

12. The Web-based M&E System Platform & Database
AFOLU NETWORK
AFOLU responses
Others.
Response measure info
DTI
MCEP info
NCPC info
IPAP info
DoT subsidiaries
Mitigation projects info
DoT
The Web-based M&E System Platform & Database
Rail Recapitalization info
CNG programme info
SANRAL & eNATIS data
Mitigation-relevant policies and protocols
DPE Companies
DPE
Mitigation projects info
Freight Road-to-rail info
Aviation biofuels info
Bio-based electricity info
SAFCOL IP info
DWA
Green drop M&E programme
Wastewater mgt. info
Wastewater management info
Cities’ mitigation response info
Provincial Mitigation response measure info
ICLEI
carbon Climate Registry (cCR)
Mitigation responses info
DEA
Waste handlers and processors
Waste information system
Solid waste mngt. info
Industry Mitigation Plans info
Waste info Centre info
EPWP info
Green cars info
Green fund info
DoE
ALL ENERGY PROGRAMMES
DEMAND SIDE
EEDSM info
Municipal
Sectorial
SWH info
SUPPLY SIDE
REIPPP info
Biofuels info
Power EE info
Waste-to energy info
Industry
Eskom - IDM
Provinces
Local Municipalities
Supply side info
Demand side info
Cross-cutting info
CDM info
4. LC: Data-Sharing Network

13. Introducing the
IT HUB/WEB BASED PLATFORM

14. Now is the time: National momentum
11 reporting pioneers- but some more comprehensive than others
cCR is compatible with DEA National Climate Change Database
Report once! That is the aim
South Africa:
eThekwini, NMMB, Tshwane, Cape Town, Buffalo City, Johannesburg, Ekurhuleni, KwaDukuza, Steve Tshwete, uMhlathuze, Sol Plaatje

15. Offline reporting form
Recommended fields (in green)
Latest version offline reporting sheet can be downloaded from challenge/
OFFLINE

16. Key Elements of M&E of climate resilience
Building blocks
Key elements of M&E of climate resilience
Climate observations & enhancement of climate monitoring systems & networks
Projections, climatic & atmospheric data analysis & dissemination
Observed & projected climate impacts and climate risks
Monitoring changing vulnerability
Other stressors that affect vulnerability
Climate change governance and management
Understanding the effectiveness of adaptation projects/programmes

17. Prioritised activities for 2015/16
Finalisation of indicators for M&E climate resilience
Annual report on M&E climate resilience

18. Approach for undertaking prioritised activities
Monitoring systems & networks
National Government
Sector Departments
Provincial Government
Municipalities
Private Sector & NGO’s
Policies
Strategies
Regulations
Programmes
Projects
M&E for the transition to a climate resilient society
Annual report on M&E climate resilience
Approach for undertaking prioritised activities

19. Process for developing indicators

20. Annual report: Adaptation section
What is the evidence of changes in climate variables in SA?
What are the extreme weather events that have been observed in South Africa in the period 2010 – 2015?
What is the evidence of climate driven effects on South Africa’s natural, human and economic systems?
What is the evidence of climate risks and climate vulnerability of South African natural, human and economic systems?
What capacity (institutional and technical) exists in South Africa for measuring/monitoring/reporting climate variables, climate change impacts and climate vulnerability?
What is the current institutional capacity in South Africa to mainstream climate change in planning and implementation processes?
What is the scope of research on climate change adaptation in South Africa?
What are South Africa’s climate change specific actions to enhance resilience its society?

21. Annual report process (adaptation section)
Final version of the annual report scheduled for December 2015
Publication of the annual report scheduled for March 2016
Dedicated section on provincial climate change actions to enhance resilience
Provincial policies, plans, strategies, programmes and projects with explicit reference to climate change adaptation
Dedicated section on municipal climate change responses
Municipal climate change functions and powers

22. Provincial climate change responses (Gauteng)
Province
Climate change adaptation plans/strategies
Institutional arrangements and stakeholder platforms
Other relevant strategic documents
Gauteng
Gauteng climate change strategy and action plan 2011
Gauteng climate change forum (launch on 24th June 2015)
Green economy programme of Department of Economic Development 2010
Integrated energy strategy 2009
Environmental Management Framework (in progress, include climate change component)
Food security strategy 2012/13, implementation plan include climate change vulnerability
Uptake of Gauteng waste information regulation (provision of GHG information is included)
Biodiversity toolkit
Provincial Agriculture Risk Management Plan recognizes climate change and an Early Warning System has been developed and is used as a response

23. Gauteng Metros climate change responses
Metropolitan Municipality
Climate change plan/strategy
Other relevant strategic documents, structures and processes
City of Johannesburg
Energy & climate change strategy for the City of Johannesburg
Climate change adaptation plan for the City of Johannesburg
Greenhouse gas emissions reduction action plan
2040 City of Johannesburg Growth and Development Strategy
Revision of climate change adaptation plan to include Cost-benefit analysis, heatwave response plan and disaster mitigation & response
City of Tshwane
Green Economy framework
2055 Growth and Development strategy
City of Tshwane vulnerability assessments
Ekurhuleni
Developing climate change strategy and response plan
Developing departmental Climate Change Response Action Plans.
Energy and climate change strategy 2007
Revising Disaster Management Plan and Vulnerability assessments

24. Process for Municipalities1 3 2

25. Examples of municipal responses in Gauteng
Climate change/adaptation plans & strategies and integration into other policies and plans
Integration of climate change into IDPs and SDBIPs
IDPs
SDBIPs
West Rand District Municipality Green IQ Strategy
West Rand District Municipality IDP review 2015/16
Climate change identified as one of the cross cutting sectors in the implementation of the Green IQ Strategy
Mogale city climate change framework and operational climate change plan strategy

26. Recommendations
Request the forum to comment and provide further inputs (where necessary) on provincial, metro and municipal responses in Gauteng
Inputs should be submitted by 12th July 2015
The province is requested to indicated how this will be coordinated

27. Tracking CLIMATE FINANCE - summary
TOP-DOWN MONITORING:
- Tracking flows from source or implementing agency
- Public spend, bilateral, multilateral, etc.
BOTTOM-UP MONITORING:
- Tracking flows at project-level together with mitigation & adaptation monitoring
M&E system Database
To provide an overview of the landscape of climate finance supporting the country’s transition to a lower-carbon and climate-resilient society
To understand the resource needs for funding South Africa’s climate response actions
Tracking and monitoring the impact or contribution of funds deployed towards climate actions – successes and failures
To help improve transparency in climate finance inflows by
Helping to minimise “double-counting” of outcomes (emission reductions, etc.) and
Helping to identify “double-dipping” on same pool of resources
To support the fulfilment of South Africa’s international reporting requirements (including the National Communications and the Biennial Update Reports under the UNFCCC)
To provide an estimate of the degree to which other funds have been leveraged by public finance
To provide an estimate of the extent to which public climate finance has catalysed action (e.g. programmes going to scale, triggering more investment by private sector)
To help promote a country approach when mobilising financial resources

28. Phased IMPLEMENTATION

29. E-mail: tletete@environment.gov.za
Tel: