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Published byBarbra Robinson Modified over 9 years ago
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Brazilian Banks and Liquidity Peter Shaw Managing Director, Latin America Financial Institution Brazilian Chamber of Commerce New York, October 27, 2008
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Loan Growth Leads to Diversified Portfolio Loan GrowthLoan by Segment, June 2008 Source: Fitch Ratings Source: Brazil Central Bank
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Asset Quality – Adequate to Date, But Will Be Challenged Non Performing Loans*/ Gross Loans Loan Loss Reserves/ Non-Performing Loans* * For Brazilian System and banks HSBC were considered loans classified from E-H Source: Fitch Ratings.
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Capital Compares Well Regionally Total CapitalCapital Tier 1 Source: Fitch Rating
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Funding Largely Made in Brazil Source: Fitch Ratings Third Party Funding Composition Top 10 Banks
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Focus on Liquidity – Talking Points >Flight to quality vs. Flight from the system, benefiting larger banks –Beneficiaries starting to deploy liquidity >Funding largely “Made in Brazil” –Less than 10% of total funding is cross border >Like the rest of the world, a broad funding base is proving its worth –Most vulnerable are those dependent on institutional funding >Inherent mismatch, exacerbated by longer term consignado lending >Regulators proactive in providing tools for managing through liquidity pressures THEREFORE >Approach ahead will be to rate fundamentals, not volatility >Banks are actively managing individual situations – generally realistic in their approach, prioritizing liquidity over prior strategic goals, and assets are proving good source of liquidity –Successful in managing liability outflow, but may damage franchises in medium, term >National ratings express our view of relative creditworthiness, and make use of broad range of scale
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The Fitch GroupFitch RatingsAlgorithmicsFitch Solutions Fitch Ratings www.fitchratings.com London 101 Finsbury Pavement London EC2A 1RS +44 20 7417 4222 New York One State Street Plaza New York, NY 10004 +1 212 908 0500 +1 800 75 FITCH Singapore 7 Temasek Blvd. Singapore 038987 +65 6336 6801
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