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Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov.

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Presentation on theme: "Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov."— Presentation transcript:

1 Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable The State of New Hampshire The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The State of New Hampshire Race/Ethnicity 95.0% White 1.0% Black 1.9% Asian 2.4% Hispanic Occupation 43.3% White Collar 56.7% Blue Collar Median Income $61.4k in state Partisanship 29.3% Republican 29.5% Democrats 41.3% undeclared 04 Presidential Vote Kerry, +1% SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

4 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Figure 1. Core Partisanship of New Hampshire Electorate, 2000-08

5 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Figure 2. Party Identification of Young, Migrant and Established Voters, 2008

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Incumbent John Sununu Occupation Technology executive Political Experience U.S. House of Representatives, 1997-2003 First Elected 2002 Committees Commerce, Science, and Transportation Foreign Relations Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs SOURCE: sununu.senate.gov

7 Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for John Sununu, 2003-08

8 Figure 3. John Sununus Favorability Ratings, October 2001-September 2008

9 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Challenger Jean Shaheen Occupation Teacher Small business owner Political Experience Senator, New Hampshire State Senate, 1991-97 Governor, New Hampshire, 1997-2003 SOURCE: shaheen.senate.gov

10 Figure 4. Jeanne Shaheen Favorability Rating, July 2007-September 2008

11 Figure 5. New Hampshire Senate Race Polling, July 2007-November 2008

12 Table 2. New Hampshire Senate Campaign Spending, 2008

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Quicker NOTE: Internet access required.

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Independent NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Remember NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Taxes NOTE: Internet access required.

17 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Energy NOTE: Internet access required.

18 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Leadership NOTE: Internet access required.

19 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Dig NOTE: Internet access required.

20 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: For New Hampshire Families NOTE: Internet access required.

21 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Stop Complaining NOTE: Internet access required.

22 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Where You Lead NOTE: Internet access required.

23 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Unbelievable NOTE: Internet access required.

24 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Serious NOTE: Internet access required.

25 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Whos Sununu Kidding? NOTE: Internet access required.

26 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Running NOTE: Internet access required.

27 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Honored NOTE: Internet access required.

28 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Spending NOTE: Internet access required.

29 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Promotion NOTE: Internet access required.

30 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Insanity NOTE: Internet access required.

31 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Dear New Hampshire NOTE: Internet access required.

32 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: High and Deep NOTE: Internet access required.

33 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: 90 NOTE: Internet access required.

34 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Choice NOTE: Internet access required.

35 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Time to Go NOTE: Internet access required.

36 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Sure Sees NOTE: Internet access required.

37 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Higher Costs NOTE: Internet access required.

38 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: 155 Billion Reasons NOTE: Internet access required.

39 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Chamber of Commerce Health Care NOTE: Internet access required.

40 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Not on Your Side NOTE: Internet access required.

41 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: New Hampshire First NOTE: Internet access required.

42 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Register NOTE: Internet access required.

43 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: No Thanks NOTE: Internet access required.

44 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Results


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