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Defending Principles Against a Tsunami SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov.

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Presentation on theme: "Defending Principles Against a Tsunami SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov."— Presentation transcript:

1 Defending Principles Against a Tsunami SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 4 th District of Connecticut The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov Defending Principles Against a Tsunami

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 4 th District of Connecticut Race/Ethnicity 76.7% White 11.3% Black 4.0% Asian 15.0% Hispanic Occupation 71.8%White Collar 15.6% Blue Collar Median Income $81.4k in district $65.5k in state Partisanship Cook Political Report, Partisan Voting Index, D+5 04 Presidential Vote Kerry +6% SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

4 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Incumbent Chris Shays Occupation Financial services industry Political Experience Member, Connecticut House of Representatives, 1975-1987 First Elected 1987 Committees Government Oversight Financial Services Homeland Security Other Peace Corps, 1968-1970 SOURCE: shays.house.gov

5 Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for Christopher Shays, 1993-2008

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Challenger Jim Himes Occupation Vice President, Goldman Sachs Vice President, Enterprise Foundation Political Experience Commissioner, Greenwich Housing Authority Member, Greenwich Board of Estimate and Taxation SOURCE: himes.house.gov

7 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Table 2. Campaign Fundraising by Shays and Challengers, 2000-2008

8 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: The Polls

9 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Hope and Straight Talk NOTE: Internet access required.

10 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Leading Newspapers NOTE: Internet access required.

11 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Restoring Faith in Our Future NOTE: Internet access required.

12 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Results for Connecticut Families NOTE: Internet access required.

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Dream House NOTE: Internet access required.

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: No Waiting NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: 21 Years NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Fundamentally Strong NOTE: Internet access required.

17 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: 21 Years in Washington NOTE: Internet access required.

18 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Our Economy is Fundamentally Strong NOTE: Internet access required.

19 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Results

20 SOURCE: electiondissection.blogspot.com The Results

21 Table 3. Vote Swings in Connecticuts 4 th District, 2004-08

22 Table 4. Connecticuts 4 th District Split Ticket Voting, 2008


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