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THE GLOBAL SOUTH
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The Global South Who is the GS? Global Institutions & the GS Development Hurdles GS Economic Development Tactics ¤
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5 CATEGORIES OF GS COUNTRIES Who is the Global South?
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5 Categories of GS Countries 1. Emerging Markets Who are they? Who are they? Growth Greater % of people =middle class (>$10/day) Investment ¤ http://qz.com/172953/whose-fault-is-the-emerging-market-sell-off/
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5 Categories of GS Countries 2. Countries in Transition (CITs)Countries in Transition Central and Eastern European (East bloc Soviet satellites) Former Soviet Republics (FSRs) Growth rates differ ¤
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5 Categories of GS Countries 3. Frontier markets Investment category Coined 1992 Below EEs More risk ¤ http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting/2013/06/03/cheer-up-morocco-frontier-markets-are-hot/
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5 Categories of GS Countries 4. Least Developed Countries (LLDCs)Least Developed Countries US (GDP per capita=ranks 10th) at ~$51,700 Average GDP per capita of LLDCs at $750 Burundi, Congo, Somalia at $200 GDP per capital http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28nominal%29_per_capita ¤
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5 Categories of GS Countries 5. Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs)Heavily Indebted Poor Countries 2012 IMF-WB identified HIPCs 39 countries 29 in sub-Saharan Africa Debt relief- HIPCs qualify 36 accepted full or partial relief ~$72 B 4 in process Reliance on single cash crops Cotton accounts for 46% of Mali’s exports ¤
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Global Institutions & the GS
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MNCs IGOs IMF WB GATT WTO OECD OECD G7, then G8, now G7 again now G20G20 NGOs Representation by GS Representation on behalf of GS ¤
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INTERNAL & EXTERNAL POLICY STRATEGIES GS Development Tactics
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Internal Policy Strategies Import substitution Nationalization of industries Establishing cartels Protectionism ¤
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GS Development Tactics External Policy Strategies Regional IGOs ASEAN, Mercosur, SADC, SAARC, etc. International IGOs Group of 77 (132), NAM, UNCTAD, etc. International pressure Monetary reforms Trade reforms Development Economic sovereignty Economic aid ¤
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Development Hurdles
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Historical Disadvantages Colonization; Neocolonialism Primary v. manufactured goods Cash crops Natural resources Price volatility Lack of national unity Institutions favor GN Accrued debts in 1960s and 1970s Lack autonomy over debt management ¤
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Debt Creation Oil-rich countries Western banks Developing countries
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Development Hurdles Political stability Institutions Infrastructure Market isolation Conflicting interests with GN Self-interested actors Sustainable development expectations Corruption ¤
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Development Hurdles How does corruption affect China? Politics Accusations Vote-buying Who controls what Land, licensing, title-selling Passing/ enforcing laws FDI ¤
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Development Hurdles http://theactivistwriter.com/tag/corruption-statistics/http://theactivistwriter.com/tag/corruption-statistics/ Based on 2011 statistics from Transparency Int’l2011
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Development Hurdles (cont.) Currency instability Lack banking / credit access 41% in GS- mostly EEs- have bank accounts Sub-Saharan Africa- 27% men; 22 % women 7 % in GS have credit cards http://www.economist.com/blogs/feastandfamine/2012/04/banking-developing-world Gender equity ¤
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Women’s Development http://www.glpinc.org/Web_pages/Illiteracy_Globally.html
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Development Hurdles (cont.) Income inequality Development income equality More developed greater equality Less developed lesser equality Map on next slide
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Income Inequality http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Gini_Coefficient_World_CIA_Report_2009.png
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Development Hurdles Income inequality (cont.) Stark exception is US 1% control 36% of wealth Top 10% control 75% China: 5% control 23% of wealth Bottom 5% control.1% Brazil: 10% control 51% of wealth Mexico & Argentina: 10% control 42% of wealth Data from http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/20/world/asia/survey-in-china-shows-wide-income-gap.html?_r=0 http://en.mercopress.com/2010/03/27/gap-between-rich-and-poor-in-latinamerica-is-largest-in-the-world-says-un http://money.howstuffworks.com/one-percent-control-third-of-wealth.htm http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/20/world/asia/survey-in-china-shows-wide-income-gap.html?_r=0 http://en.mercopress.com/2010/03/27/gap-between-rich-and-poor-in-latinamerica-is-largest-in-the-world-says-un http://money.howstuffworks.com/one-percent-control-third-of-wealth.htm ¤
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Development Hurdles Income inequality (cont.) Lower income inequality = higher growth rates http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2011/sdn1108.pdf http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2011/sdn1108.pdf Consequences of income inequality Fewer people with resource access Economic opportunities tied to political stability More susceptible to corruption Limited tax base to support government http://www.worldbank.org/depweb/english/beyond/global/chapter5.html ¤
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Development Hurdles (cont.) Reliance on GN Foreign Aid Technology FDI Employment Formal v. informal sector Remittances ¤
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What are remittances? Who uses them? >½ to Asia Transfers are expensive 40% of money transferred goes to rural areas Lower fees- potentially better than both aid, FDI Bank concerns Rely on informal systems G8 pushed to lower fees =$30 B for migrants ¤
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Recap
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Good News? Fewer people in extreme poverty Healthier people ¤ YearBillion People% Living on <$1.25/ day 19811.94 BP52% 20081.29 BP22% 20111.1 BP15% http://economy.money.cnn.com/2012/03/01/650-million-escape-extreme-poverty-thanks-china/http://economy.money.cnn.com/2012/03/01/650-million-escape-extreme-poverty-thanks-china/ ; http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2011/gaef3313.doc.htm ; http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overviewhttp://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2011/gaef3313.doc.htm http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overview
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The Global South Who is the GS? Global Institutions & the GS Development Hurdles GS Economic Development Tactics
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