1. Cocaine Trafficking Network within the United States LT Young LT Foster LT Carline

3.  Primary means are private and commercial vehicles.  Favor particular routes to supply U.S drug markets.

4.  Cocaine is widely available throughout the country.  Demand for illicit drugs in United States is rising.

6.  Major city distribution hubs have a maximum limitation on the quantity of metric tons of cocaine which can remain in the city for distribution.  City’s demand for drugs is a function of its metro population and the total population of destination cities.

10. > 1 Million.5-1 Million >.5 Million

11.  The cartel has well-developed transportation and distribution networks within the U.S.  Extensive network of cities to facilitate the the cartel’s trafficking operations within the U.S.  Destination cities represent the network nodes.

13.  Interdictions by the Drug Enforcement Agency  Attacks for the cartel to use alternate routes for distribution of the supply to the final destination major city.

14.  Maximize distribution  Maximize profit  Minimize interdiction

15. PrimalDual

16.  278 metric tons  Overall expected seizure percentage is approximately 10%

17.  Border seizures  Drug distribution to cities  Constant seizure rate

19. Update 7 June 200719 Start San Diego San Diego LA End Tucson TUDAL Dallas SDLA

20. interdiction plan with 0 Attacks: flow with interdictions in place = 251.2

21. interdiction plan with 1 Attacks: attack arc: San Diego -> LA flow with interdictions in place = 245.6

22. interdiction plan with 2 Attacks: attack arc: San Diego -> LA attack arc: San Diego -> DEN flow with interdictions in place = 215.7

23. interdiction plan with 3 Attacks: attack arc: Laredo -> HOU attack arc: San Diego -> LA attack arc: San Diego -> DEN flow with interdictions in place = 213.2

24. interdiction plan with 4 Attacks: attack arc: Chicago -> NY attack arc: Jacksonville -> NY attack arc: SanDiego -> LA attack arc: Tucson -> PHX flow with interdictions in place = 206.7

25. interdiction plan with 5 Attacks: attack arc: Chicago -> NY attack arc: ElPaso -> HOU attack arc: Jacksonville -> NY attack arc: Laredo -> HOU attack arc: SanDiego -> LA flow with interdictions in place = 197.9

26. interdiction plan with 6 Attacks: attack arc: Chicago -> NY attack arc: ElPaso -> HOU attack arc: Jacksonville -> NY attack arc: Laredo -> HOU attack arc: SanDiego -> LA attack arc: Tucson -> PHX flow with interdictions in place = 176.8

37.  All cases: Maximize Chicago, Dallas, Detroit  If no pending attacks, maximize Los Angeles  1-3 attacks, maximize Houston, New York  4-6 attacks maximize Washington DC

38.  Fails to display all possible transit paths for the cartel, i.e. back roads.  Does not account for the time for the routes to transit drugs  Does not account for alternative methods such as noncommercial vessels, ultralight aircraft, freight trains, and tunnels

39.  Smuggling routes within Mexico  Production of the drugs within the United States  Drug distribution operations gangs migrating to areas in Great Lakes, Pacific, and west central regions to expand drug distribution

40.  National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 ◦ National Drug Intelligence Center ◦ www.justice.gov/ndic/pubs44/44849/​44849p.pdf  www.justice.gov/dea

41. QUESTIONS?