1. World Population Growth Rate: 1950-2050
U.S. Census Bureau, International Data Base

2. Number of children per woman from peak year to present
Too Few Babies?
Number of children per woman from peak year to present
Replacement rate
Source: U.N. Population Division

3. Countries with Falling Population
Hungary Moldova
Bulgaria Belarus
Estonia Russian Federation
Georgia Czech Republic
Latvia Poland
Armenia Germany
Romania Japan
Lithuania Croatia
Ukraine Slovenia

4. Countries with Population beginning to decline 2010-2030
Italy Macedonia
Slovakia Spain
Bosnia Taiwan
Greece South Korea
Serbia Austria
Portugal Finland
Cuba China

5. Fertility Rates Dropping Over Time: Average Number of Children Born per Woman

6. Life Expectancy at Birth

7. Average Retirement Age of Men (and number of years in retirement as of 2010)

8. 65+ population as % population aged 20+

9. Public Old-Age Benefits Pensions and Health (% GDP)

10. % Change in Population, 2005-50

11. Government Pensions as % of After-Tax Income; Households Age 60+

12. Public Debt/GDP 2011—Rapidly Rising Who Is Deepest in the Hole?
UK 83%
US 100% (rising very fast)
France 84%
Germany 79%
Canada 70% (falling)
Italy 120%
Japan 230%
Australia 17%
Sweden 41% (falling)

13. Median Age of Population
Country
China
Czech Republic
Germany
India
Iraq
Japan
Kenya
Uganda
U.S

14. Labor Supply and Taxes: 1970-74 & 1993-96
(work by Ed Prescott, Nobel Prize, Economics, 2004)
Country
Tax rate
Hours of Labor per Week per Adult
Germany
0.52
0.59
24.6
19.3
France
0.49
24.4
17.5
Italy
0.41
0.64
19.2
16.5
Canada
0.44
22.2
22.9
U.K.
0.45
25.9
22.8
Japan
0.25
0.37
29.8
27.0
U.S.
0.40
23.5

15. Europe Lacks Entrepreneurial Culture
Edmund S. Phelps, Nobel Prize, Economics:
“The economic systems in Europe are not well structured for high performance…. The root problem is a dearth of economic dynamism.”
Compared to the U.S., Canada and U.K., Europeans do not want challenging jobs or responsibility. The concern is about protecting what exists (entitlements). European companies and economies lack “dynamism” and resist entrepreneurial activity.

16. Europe Withering Away?
Esko Aho, former Prime Minister of Finland, in a report to the European Commission in 2006:
Europe is “living a moderately comfortable life on slowly declining capital. This society, averse to risk and reluctant to change, is in itself alarming, but it is also unsustainable in the face of rising competition from other parts of the world.”

17. While in China…
“China has become a nation of opportunity seekers, trusting that any problem can be solved along the way. The competitive advantage of today’s China, as a nation and as a people, is the willingness to adapt to what is necessary and beneficial.”
John Naisbitt, Global Trends Forecaster

18. Next Door in Russia Population 142,000,000
Population is falling about 1 million per year; low birth rate; life expectancy is falling (disease, alcoholism); aging population
Russia leased 1 million hectares of forest land in Siberia to China in 2006 in “Joint Venture.” Opened oil pipeline to China in 2010 for $25 billion “loan.”
What is economic policy in Russia?

19. Health in Russia Is Very Poor

20. Meng Dani lives here: “There is so much land, and so little of it is used.” In her hometown in Hailar, Inner Mongolia, “little land, a lot of people, and no work.”

21. % Average Annual Change Real GDP Per Capita

22. Nations Rise and Fall and Rise